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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 7

Momentum

MonacoNice
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
Stade Louis II., Monaco
Capacity
18,523
Surface
grass
Attendance
8,306

Teams

Coaches
Adolf Hütter · Franck Haise
Position
5 · 12
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3

Referee

Willy Delajod

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
19.7° (feels 19.6°)
Wind
7.3
Humidity
71%

Where to watch · 214

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Monaco

WLWLD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 11 GA 12 · xG 8.16–10.26 · xPts 6.12

  • D H Manchester City 2–2 xG 1.41–1.59 UEFA CL
  • L A Lorient 1–3 xG 1.1–2.54 FRA L1
  • W H Metz 5–2 xG 2.9–1.78 FRA L1
  • L A Club Brugge 1–4 xG 1.41–3.63 UEFA CL
  • W A Auxerre 2–1 xG 1.35–0.72 FRA L1

Nice

WLLDL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 9 · xG 7.42–6.73 · xPts 7.4

  • L A Fenerbahçe 1–2 xG 1.53–1.2 UEFA EL
  • D H Paris 1–1 xG 0.87–2.1 FRA L1
  • L H Roma 1–2 xG 1.04–1.06 UEFA EL
  • L A Brest 1–4 xG 2.13–1.67 FRA L1
  • W H Nantes 1–0 xG 1.85–0.69 FRA L1

All meetings · 38 matches since 2005

Monaco 1611 draws11 Nice

Goals 48–46 · 2.47 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 53%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Monaco 43 draws3 Nice

Goals 12–13 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Monaco 22 draws1 Nice

Goals 8–7 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • D Nice 0–0 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Monaco 2–2 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Monaco 2–1 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nice 2–1 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nice 2–3 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Monaco 0–1 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Monaco 0–3 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nice 0–1 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Monaco 1–0 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nice 2–2 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricMonaco all · 34Monaco at home · 17Nice all · 34Nice away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.591.880.940.71
W / D / L16 / 6 / 1210 / 2 / 57 / 11 / 163 / 3 / 11
Goals for / match1.761.941.091.06
Goals against / match1.591.351.761.94
Clean sheets21%29%18%12%
Failed to score21%12%32%29%
Both teams scored65%59%59%65%
Over 2.565%65%50%59%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.631.761.241.11
xG against / match1.431.211.711.78
xG difference0.200.55-0.47-0.67
Finishing vs xG0.140.18-0.15-0.05
xPts / match1.491.681.120.99
Points vs xPts0.100.20-0.18-0.28
Game state
Scored first44%53%38%41%
PPG when scoring first2.533.001.851.43
PPG when conceding first0.820.630.280.11
Came back from behind33%38%24%8%
Leads held84%100%54%43%
Minutes leading28%34%20%15%
Minutes level51%49%48%47%
Minutes trailing21%17%32%38%
First goal (min)43394242
First goal conceded (min)47483838
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half63%64%49%39%
Goals conceded in 2nd half61%56%52%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.410.210.24
Late goals against0.410.290.350.29
Style
Possession54%55%46%47%
Shots12.512.111.29.5
On target4.44.53.93.5
Shot conversion14%16%10%11%
Shots inside box73%74%65%66%
Big chances created3.03.12.72.1
Corners5.14.95.14.6
xG from set plays25%26%27%28%
Goals from headers12%12%11%6%
Pressure index12.313.29.08.4
Dominant minutes50.052.640.939.2
Pass accuracy83%84%82%82%
Fouls13.012.812.412.5
Cards2.442.062.122.24

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Monaco

0–15'55
16–30'76
31–45'1010
46–60'127
61–75'1412
76–90'1214

Nice

0–15'59
16–30'67
31–45'813
46–60'79
61–75'410
76–90'712

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Monaco · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.00) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.41

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.006
Early press (0-15, level)+0.306

Game state

When ahead-0.165
When level+0.216
When behind+0.122
10 min after conceding-0.413
10 min after scoring+0.236

Situations

At home-0.072
Away+0.024
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest+0.024

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.242
As favourite+0.013
Evenly matched+0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.235
Conceded late (76+)+0.025

Congested vs rested -0.07 · Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level -0.10

Nice · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: when behind +0.40

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.254
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)-0.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.092

Game state

When level+0.174
When behind+0.403
10 min after conceding+0.023

Situations

At home+0.252
Away+0.242
4+ days rest+0.254

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.432
v bottom-tier opponents+0.082
Evenly matched+0.272

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.204
Conceded late (76+)-0.084

Behind vs level +0.23

Monaco

Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 41%1.571.641.291.471.31
4-2-3-17 21%1.861.711.141.731.2
3-1-4-23 9%2.03.03.02.472.15
3-4-1-22 6%3.02.51.02.081.55
4-2-2-22 6%0.50.51.50.920.66

Nice

Current: winless 12 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 21%0.861.291.861.331.64
3-4-2-16 18%1.171.01.51.611.26
5-4-15 15%0.60.61.00.891.23
3-4-1-24 12%1.751.51.00.951.66
3-5-23 9%0.330.671.671.421.86

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.9Home 50% P 48%3.75Draw 25% P 26%3.8Away 25% P 26%

Double Chance

1.25Monaco or Draw 37% P 37%1.25Monaco or Nice 37% P 37%1.83Draw or Nice 25% P 26%

Draw No Bet

1.41 66%2.752 34%

Both Teams To Score

1.5Yes 62% P 65%2.5No 38% P 35%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.53Over 62% P 62%2.5Under 38% P 38%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.51.72Over 54% P 57%2.0Under 46% P 43%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 25–27.5% · 375 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home48%48%47%-1.0
Draw26%26%27%+1.9
Away26%26%25%-0.9

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 57%

Both teams to score · yes 65–67.5% · 319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes65%66%66%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.562%61%63%+1.5

Willy Delajod

Career
170 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
4.05 (3.76 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
25.5 · 6.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.43
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 92 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.984.06-0.2336
Fouls / match24.824.3+0.33
Fouls per card6.36.0+0.38 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.36+0.4868
Time added6.96.7+0.2352
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.14

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-02 50 291 1'9
2025-09-28 20 261 41'9
2025-09-14 41 241 40'8
2025-08-27 50 350 31'6
2025-08-24 · Monaco 30 211 84'8
2025-05-17 10 181 84'8
2025-05-10 40 240 48'10
2025-04-25 · Nice 40 200 43'10
2025-04-13 50 270 8'2
2025-03-29 15 10