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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 7
ParisParis
2–0
FT
LorientLorient

Momentum

– ParisLorient –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
Stade Jean Bouin, Paris
Capacity
15,097
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
18,084

Teams

Coaches
Stéphane Gilli · Olivier Pantaloni
Position
11 · 13
Formation
4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Benoît Millot

Where to watch · 198

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Paris

LWWLD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 12 · xG 9.46–10.01 · xPts 6.81

  • D A Nice 1–1 xG 2.1–0.87 FRA L1
  • L H Strasbourg 2–3 xG 1.72–1.96 FRA L1
  • W A Brest 2–1 xG 1.74–2.97 FRA L1
  • W H Metz 3–2 xG 3.08–1.55 FRA L1
  • L A Olympique Marseille 2–5 xG 0.83–2.65 FRA L1

Lorient

WLLDW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 13 · xG 8.76–8.03 · xPts 6.99

  • W H Monaco 3–1 xG 2.54–1.1 FRA L1
  • D A Le Havre 1–1 xG 0.97–2.76 FRA L1
  • L A Olympique Marseille 0–4 xG 0.19–1.85 FRA L1
  • L H LOSC Lille 1–7 xG 1.77–2.24 FRA L1
  • W H Rennes 4–0 xG 3.29–0.09 FRA L1

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Paris 11 draws0 Lorient

Goals 3–1 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Paris 11 draws0 Lorient

Goals 3–1 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Paris 11 draws0 Lorient

Goals 3–1 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

  • D Lorient 1–1 Paris FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Paris 2–0 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricParis all · 34Paris at home · 17Lorient all · 34Lorient away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.291.471.320.88
W / D / L11 / 11 / 127 / 4 / 611 / 12 / 113 / 6 / 8
Goals for / match1.381.651.411.00
Goals against / match1.471.591.501.53
Clean sheets24%24%21%18%
Failed to score26%29%29%53%
Both teams scored62%53%53%35%
Over 2.556%65%44%35%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.321.531.351.08
xG against / match1.621.601.381.57
xG difference-0.30-0.07-0.03-0.49
Finishing vs xG0.060.120.07-0.08
xPts / match1.251.391.341.07
Points vs xPts0.040.08-0.01-0.18
Game state
Scored first41%35%47%29%
PPG when scoring first2.142.672.192.20
PPG when conceding first0.630.800.530.27
Came back from behind33%40%42%27%
Leads held69%88%65%60%
Minutes leading23%25%26%16%
Minutes level49%40%49%48%
Minutes trailing28%34%25%36%
First goal (min)41413738
First goal conceded (min)40324542
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%54%58%65%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%52%67%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.410.590.380.53
Late goals against0.380.350.470.41
Style
Possession50%52%45%45%
Shots11.713.511.310.7
On target4.04.53.93.5
Shot conversion12%12%12%9%
Shots inside box67%69%63%61%
Big chances created2.42.82.01.5
Corners4.45.53.53.8
xG from set plays26%30%33%30%
Goals from headers4%7%6%0%
Pressure index10.512.710.19.6
Dominant minutes46.054.542.842.1
Pass accuracy84%84%84%84%
Fouls10.610.89.59.5
Cards2.352.821.681.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Paris

0–15'73
16–30'99
31–45'59
46–60'510
61–75'76
76–90'1413

Lorient

0–15'46
16–30'76
31–45'95
46–60'811
61–75'77
76–90'1316

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Paris · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.124
Early press (0-15, level)-0.364
Late push (76+, level)-0.313

Game state

When ahead-0.062
When level-0.154
10 min after scoring-0.242

Situations

At home-0.212
Away-0.042
4+ days rest-0.124

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.082
v bottom-tier opponents-0.162
As favourite-0.162

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded when ahead+0.222
Conceded late (76+)-0.194

Ahead vs level +0.09

Lorient · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.96

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.124
Early press (0-15, level)+0.374
Late push (76+, level)-0.152

Game state

When ahead-0.322
When level-0.144
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.963

Situations

At home-0.072
Away-0.182
4+ days rest-0.124

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.022
Evenly matched-0.232

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.214
Conceded when ahead+0.162
Conceded late (76+)-0.064

Ahead vs level -0.18 · Behind vs level +0.28

Paris

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-310 29%1.51.92.01.421.79
5-4-18 24%1.00.750.881.041.42
4-2-3-17 21%1.431.571.01.341.09
4-1-4-13 9%2.02.671.671.962.36
4-5-12 6%0.50.01.51.052.0

Lorient

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-128 82%1.291.391.681.371.46
3-4-34 12%1.751.750.51.680.99
5-4-12 6%1.01.01.00.410.96

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.75Home 54% P 53%3.7Draw 26% P 26%4.75Away 20% P 21%

Double Chance

1.18Paris FC or Draw 40% P 39%1.28Paris FC or Lorient 37% P 37%2.0Draw or Lorient 23% P 23%

Draw No Bet

1.31 72%3.42 28%

Both Teams To Score

1.7Yes 55% P 56%2.05No 45% P 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 54%2.1Under 45% P 46%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 20–22.5% · 664 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home53%54%56%+2.6
Draw26%25%27%+1.4
Away21%21%17%-4.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 54%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes56%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%54%+0.8

Benoît Millot

Career
284 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.14 (3.93 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
25.5 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.28
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 83 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.994.06-0.2140
Fouls / match25.824.3+0.86
Fouls per card6.56.0+0.71 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.30.36-0.5924
Time added7.06.7+0.3060
First card
35' on average
Card timing
19% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.19

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-14 10 172 45'12
2025-08-24 10 240 63'14
2025-05-03 50 220 14'7
2025-04-20 –– 22– 45'9
2025-04-13 20 250 37'2
2025-03-15 51 240 12'6
2025-03-02 30 281 34'8
2025-02-16 61 270 4'10
2025-02-02 61 240 71'7
2025-01-18 10 160 56'4