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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 8
NantesNantes
0–2
FT
LOSC LilleLOSC Lille

Momentum

– NantesLOSC Lille –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
8

Venue

Stadium
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau, Nantes
Capacity
37,473
Surface
grass
Attendance
29,845

Teams

Coaches
Luís Ferreira de Castro · Bruno Génésio
Position
15 · 8
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Thomas Léonard

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
16.0° (feels 15.3°)
Wind
9.2
Humidity
62%

Where to watch · 243

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Nantes

WLDDD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5 · xG 4.67–7.9 · xPts 4.44

  • D A Brest 0–0 xG 0.35–1.43 FRA L1
  • D A Toulouse 2–2 xG 1.45–2.27 FRA L1
  • D H Rennes 2–2 xG 1.93–1.32 FRA L1
  • L A Nice 0–1 xG 0.69–1.85 FRA L1
  • W H Auxerre 1–0 xG 0.24–1.03 FRA L1

LOSC Lille

LWLWD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 7.1–8.55 · xPts 6.34

  • D H Paris Saint Germain 1–1 xG 0.86–1.42 FRA L1
  • W A Roma 1–0 xG 1.11–2.87 UEFA EL
  • L H Olympique Lyonnais 0–1 xG 1.64–0.52 FRA L1
  • W H Brann 2–1 xG 1.59–1.2 UEFA EL
  • L A Lens 0–3 xG 1.9–2.55 FRA L1

All meetings · 32 matches since 2005

Nantes 210 draws20 LOSC Lille

Goals 16–48 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 28%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Nantes 13 draws6 LOSC Lille

Goals 6–13 · 1.9 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 20%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Nantes 11 draws3 LOSC Lille

Goals 3–6 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • L LOSC Lille 1–0 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nantes 0–2 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nantes 1–0 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D LOSC Lille 1–1 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nantes 1–2 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L LOSC Lille 2–0 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L LOSC Lille 2–1 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nantes 1–1 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nantes 0–1 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D LOSC Lille 1–1 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricNantes all · 33Nantes at home · 16LOSC Lille all · 34LOSC Lille away · 17
Results
Matches33163417
Points per game0.700.751.791.88
W / D / L5 / 8 / 203 / 3 / 1018 / 7 / 910 / 2 / 5
Goals for / match0.881.131.531.65
Goals against / match1.581.691.091.18
Clean sheets21%19%38%41%
Failed to score42%31%29%35%
Both teams scored46%50%38%29%
Over 2.546%44%38%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.101.221.581.46
xG against / match1.491.401.041.20
xG difference-0.38-0.190.540.26
Finishing vs xG-0.22-0.09-0.050.19
xPts / match1.131.271.711.52
Points vs xPts-0.44-0.520.090.36
Game state
Scored first27%31%53%59%
PPG when scoring first2.002.002.672.80
PPG when conceding first0.100.180.790.50
Came back from behind9%17%40%29%
Leads held56%60%86%91%
Minutes leading19%25%26%34%
Minutes level50%40%52%45%
Minutes trailing30%36%22%21%
First goal (min)37354834
First goal conceded (min)43394440
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half45%50%71%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%52%62%60%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.190.680.71
Late goals against0.580.630.210.18
Style
Possession42%44%56%55%
Shots11.312.113.612.4
On target3.33.54.64.5
Shot conversion8%9%11%13%
Shots inside box65%63%70%66%
Big chances created1.82.12.82.4
Corners3.74.05.75.1
xG from set plays36%34%30%30%
Goals from headers14%11%10%11%
Pressure index8.28.315.214.5
Dominant minutes36.237.361.459.8
Pass accuracy78%78%85%85%
Fouls12.712.510.710.9
Cards2.122.062.412.76

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Nantes

0–15'66
16–30'18
31–45'98
46–60'57
61–75'34
76–90'519

LOSC Lille

0–15'53
16–30'54
31–45'57
46–60'99
61–75'57
76–90'237

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Nantes

No pressure profile yet.

LOSC Lille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.05) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.055
Early press (0-15, level)+0.255

Game state

When ahead-0.065
When level+0.025
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.385

Situations

At home+0.023
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.182
As favourite+0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.265
Conceded when ahead+0.155
Conceded late (76+)-0.155

Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.26

Nantes

Current: winless 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-310 30%0.91.22.11.081.94
4-1-4-110 30%0.50.51.10.91.38
3-4-2-13 9%0.00.672.01.071.2
5-3-23 9%0.00.01.670.771.19
4-2-3-12 6%1.52.01.02.41.5

LOSC Lille

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-129 85%1.931.550.91.580.98
4-3-32 6%0.50.52.00.861.28
4-4-21 3%3.04.02.03.730.93
4-3-1-21 3%1.01.01.00.640.59
5-4-11 3%0.01.04.01.963.0

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

5.5Home 17% P 17%3.9Draw 24% P 24%1.61Away 59% P 59%

Double Chance

2.25Nantes or Draw 21% P 21%1.25Nantes or Lille 38% P 38%1.14Draw or Lille 41% P 41%

Draw No Bet

4.01 23%1.222 77%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 52%1.95No 48% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 52%2.0Under 47% P 48%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 15–17.5% · away 57.5–60% · 227 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home17%17%18%+1.0
Draw24%24%24%-0.2
Away59%59%58%-0.9

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 43%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.552%51%51%-0.1

Thomas Léonard

Career
156 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.08 (3.84 yellow · 0.18 red)
Fouls / match
24.6 · 6.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 88 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.924.06-0.3632
Fouls / match24.524.3+0.17
Fouls per card6.26.0+0.30 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.320.36-0.4332
Time added6.86.7+0.1648
First card
35' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.29

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-05 40 300 51'6
2025-09-27 30 270 24'10
2025-09-12 51 231 10'9
2025-08-16 50 250 46'11
2025-05-17 50 170 30'10
2025-05-10 · LOSC Lille 20 200 40'10
2025-05-04 · Nantes 50 280 12'11
2025-04-20 · LOSC Lille 40 210 22'8
2025-04-05 60 291 17'6
2025-03-30 10 260 45'11