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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 8
Olympique MarseilleOM
6–2
FT
Le HavreLe Havre

Momentum

– OMLe Havre –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
8

Venue

Stadium
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille
Capacity
67,395
Surface
grass
Attendance
64,869

Teams

Coaches
Roberto De Zerbi · Didier Digard
Position
3 · 15
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Bastien Dechepy

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
18.6° (feels 18.3°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
68%

Where to watch · 210

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Olympique Marseille

LWWWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 11 GA 3 · xG 7.84–6.77 · xPts 8.14

  • W A Metz 3–0 xG 2.74–0.19 FRA L1
  • W H Ajax 4–0 xG 1.08–0.87 UEFA CL
  • W A Strasbourg 2–1 xG 1.74–1.05 FRA L1
  • W H Paris Saint Germain 1–0 xG 1.17–0.66 FRA L1
  • L A Real Madrid 1–2 xG 1.12–3.99 UEFA CL

Le Havre

WLDDD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 7.51–4.83 · xPts 8.25

  • D H Rennes 2–2 xG 1.73–0.87 FRA L1
  • D A Metz 0–0 xG 0.4–0.59 FRA L1
  • D H Lorient 1–1 xG 2.76–0.97 FRA L1
  • L A Strasbourg 0–1 xG 0.72–1.34 FRA L1
  • W H Nice 3–1 xG 1.9–1.06 FRA L1

All meetings · 8 matches since 2008

Olympique Marseille 80 draws0 Le Havre

Goals 23–5 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 62%

Last 10 · 8 matches

Olympique Marseille 80 draws0 Le Havre

Goals 23–5 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 62%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Olympique Marseille 50 draws0 Le Havre

Goals 17–5 · 4.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Le Havre 0–1 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Olympique Marseille 6–2 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Le Havre 1–3 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Olympique Marseille 5–1 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Le Havre 1–2 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Olympique Marseille 3–0 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Olympique Marseille 2–0 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Le Havre 0–1 Olympique Marseille neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricOlympique Marseille all · 34Olympique Marseille at home · 17Le Havre all · 34Le Havre away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.742.181.030.71
W / D / L18 / 5 / 1111 / 4 / 27 / 14 / 132 / 6 / 9
Goals for / match1.852.410.940.71
Goals against / match1.321.181.291.53
Clean sheets26%29%24%24%
Failed to score24%6%41%47%
Both teams scored50%65%50%41%
Over 2.562%71%32%24%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.701.781.181.03
xG against / match1.201.051.531.90
xG difference0.490.74-0.36-0.87
Finishing vs xG0.160.63-0.24-0.32
xPts / match1.691.831.190.88
Points vs xPts0.040.34-0.16-0.17
Game state
Scored first59%71%35%35%
PPG when scoring first2.402.422.081.50
PPG when conceding first0.791.600.290.11
Came back from behind31%67%28%10%
Leads held72%69%58%33%
Minutes leading38%47%14%10%
Minutes level41%40%60%62%
Minutes trailing21%14%26%28%
First goal (min)36364143
First goal conceded (min)46463843
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%61%56%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half69%70%48%58%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.710.180.12
Late goals against0.440.590.260.41
Style
Possession57%58%47%47%
Shots15.115.810.99.9
On target5.76.33.63.4
Shot conversion12%15%9%7%
Shots inside box64%64%62%62%
Big chances created3.03.42.01.7
Corners5.25.64.33.7
xG from set plays26%26%31%23%
Goals from headers10%12%19%25%
Pressure index17.619.49.97.2
Dominant minutes58.361.043.936.4
Pass accuracy87%87%80%80%
Fouls12.712.913.713.9
Cards2.532.412.032.12

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Olympique Marseille

0–15'95
16–30'106
31–45'73
46–60'1010
61–75'106
76–90'1715

Le Havre

0–15'46
16–30'46
31–45'611
46–60'56
61–75'76
76–90'69

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Olympique Marseille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.56

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.105
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.064

Game state

When level+0.245
When behind-0.024
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.563

Situations

At home+0.282
Away-0.033
4+ days rest+0.105

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.173
As favourite+0.282
As underdog-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.065
Conceded late (76+)-0.325

Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level -0.27

Le Havre · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: at home +0.15

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.144
Early press (0-15, level)-0.064
Late push (76+, level)-0.302
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.102

Game state

When level+0.084
When behind+0.212
10 min after conceding+0.113
10 min after scoring+0.212

Situations

At home+0.153
4+ days rest+0.144

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.102
Evenly matched+0.182
As underdog+0.102

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.054
Conceded late (76+)-0.364

Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level +0.12

Olympique Marseille

Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%2.172.441.171.91.23
3-4-2-19 26%1.441.671.441.521.09
3-4-1-22 6%1.51.01.01.310.95
3-2-4-11 3%0.00.01.02.280.97
3-5-21 3%3.01.00.00.590.83

Le Havre

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-37 21%0.860.571.141.231.31
4-1-3-26 18%1.00.671.171.361.68
4-2-3-15 15%1.21.61.41.511.35
4-1-4-15 15%0.61.01.61.221.26
3-4-1-24 12%0.750.751.01.191.9

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.3Home 72% P 74%5.25Draw 18% P 17%9.5Away 10% P 9%

Double Chance

1.07Marseille or Draw 45% P 46%1.16Marseille or Le Havre 41% P 41%3.4Draw or Le Havre 14% P 13%

Draw No Bet

1.071 89%9.02 11%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 49%1.8No 52% P 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.57Over 60% P 60%2.37Under 40% P 40%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 72.5–75% · away 7.5–10% · 458 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home74%74%74%+0.5
Draw17%17%18%+0.9
Away9%9%8%-1.5

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 60%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes49%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.560%61%63%+1.5

Bastien Dechepy

Career
99 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
4.14 (3.87 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
25.1 · 6.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.41
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 82 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.34.06+0.4276
Fouls / match24.624.3+0.23
Fouls per card5.86.0-0.33 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.36+0.5072
Time added6.56.7-0.0636
First card
36' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.21

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-28 61 250 1'7
2025-09-14 31 211 23'9
2025-08-24 40 200 22'9
2025-08-07 40 250 53'8
2025-07-24 60 342 21'6
2025-05-10 70 290 51'6
2025-03-16 · Le Havre 50 322 37'9
2025-02-22 30 292 5'5
2025-02-14 40 210 25'11
2025-01-31 70 290 18'11