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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 9
MonacoMonaco
1–0
FT
ToulouseToulouse

Momentum

– MonacoToulouse –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
9

Venue

Stadium
Stade Louis II., Monaco
Capacity
18,523
Surface
grass
Attendance
7,086

Teams

Coaches
Sebastien Pocognoli · Carles Martínez Novell
Position
7 · 8
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Guillaume Paradis

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
19.0° (feels 18.2°)
Wind
9.0
Humidity
47%

Where to watch · 193

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Monaco

LDDDD 0W 4D 1L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 9.96–8.46 · xPts 7.62

  • D H Tottenham Hotspur 0–0 xG 2.79–1.04 UEFA CL
  • D A Angers SCO 1–1 xG 1.34–2.1 FRA L1
  • D H Nice 2–2 xG 3.32–1.2 FRA L1
  • D H Manchester City 2–2 xG 1.41–1.59 UEFA CL
  • L A Lorient 1–3 xG 1.1–2.54 FRA L1

Toulouse

LLDWW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 6 · xG 9.67–5.74 · xPts 9.25

  • W H Metz 4–0 xG 2.8–0.18 FRA L1
  • W A Olympique Lyonnais 2–1 xG 1.4–1.04 FRA L1
  • D H Nantes 2–2 xG 2.27–1.45 FRA L1
  • L A Auxerre 0–1 xG 2.3–0.58 FRA L1
  • L A LOSC Lille 1–2 xG 0.89–2.49 FRA L1

All meetings · 33 matches since 2005

Monaco 1512 draws6 Toulouse

Goals 50–35 · 2.58 per match · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 46%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Monaco 62 draws2 Toulouse

Goals 16–10 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Monaco 22 draws1 Toulouse

Goals 7–5 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Toulouse 2–2 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Monaco 1–0 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Toulouse 1–1 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Monaco 2–0 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Monaco 1–2 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Toulouse 1–2 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Monaco 1–2 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Toulouse 0–2 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Toulouse 1–2 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Monaco 2–1 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricMonaco all · 34Monaco at home · 17Toulouse all · 33Toulouse away · 16
Results
Matches34173316
Points per game1.591.881.331.25
W / D / L16 / 6 / 1210 / 2 / 512 / 8 / 136 / 2 / 8
Goals for / match1.761.941.421.38
Goals against / match1.591.351.391.38
Clean sheets21%29%27%19%
Failed to score21%12%30%25%
Both teams scored65%59%48%56%
Over 2.565%65%54%56%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.631.761.381.11
xG against / match1.431.211.261.38
xG difference0.200.550.12-0.26
Finishing vs xG0.140.180.040.26
xPts / match1.491.681.471.24
Points vs xPts0.100.20-0.130.01
Game state
Scored first44%53%39%44%
PPG when scoring first2.533.002.381.86
PPG when conceding first0.820.630.610.78
Came back from behind33%38%38%33%
Leads held84%100%80%67%
Minutes leading28%34%24%24%
Minutes level51%49%45%47%
Minutes trailing21%17%31%29%
First goal (min)43394141
First goal conceded (min)47484044
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half63%64%57%41%
Goals conceded in 2nd half61%56%52%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.410.480.38
Late goals against0.410.290.300.38
Style
Possession54%55%42%41%
Shots12.512.112.810.9
On target4.44.54.33.8
Shot conversion14%16%11%13%
Shots inside box73%74%65%60%
Big chances created3.03.11.91.7
Corners5.14.94.53.8
xG from set plays25%26%38%36%
Goals from headers12%12%15%23%
Pressure index12.313.28.67.6
Dominant minutes50.052.638.235.5
Pass accuracy83%84%80%79%
Fouls13.012.814.414.8
Cards2.442.062.583.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Monaco

0–15'55
16–30'76
31–45'1010
46–60'127
61–75'1412
76–90'1214

Toulouse

0–15'95
16–30'49
31–45'78
46–60'58
61–75'66
76–90'1610

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Monaco · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.00) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.41

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.006
Early press (0-15, level)+0.306

Game state

When ahead-0.165
When level+0.216
When behind+0.122
10 min after conceding-0.413
10 min after scoring+0.236

Situations

At home-0.072
Away+0.024
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest+0.024

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.242
As favourite+0.013
Evenly matched+0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.235
Conceded late (76+)+0.025

Congested vs rested -0.07 · Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level -0.10

Toulouse · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.20) · stands out: when level +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.204
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)+0.262
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.182

Game state

When level+0.354
When behind+0.033
10 min after conceding-0.264
10 min after scoring+0.392

Situations

At home+0.422
Away-0.012
4+ days rest+0.204

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.422
v mid-tier opponents-0.012
Evenly matched+0.063

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.044
Conceded late (76+)+0.104

Ahead vs level -0.73 · Behind vs level -0.32

Monaco

Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 41%1.571.641.291.471.31
4-2-3-17 21%1.861.711.141.731.2
3-1-4-23 9%2.03.03.02.472.15
4-4-22 6%3.03.51.52.121.25
3-4-1-22 6%3.02.51.02.081.55

Toulouse

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 10

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-123 70%1.01.041.391.251.2
3-4-39 27%2.332.220.891.611.24
5-4-11 3%0.03.06.02.362.75

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.1Home 45% P 44%3.7Draw 26% P 27%3.25Away 29% P 29%

Double Chance

1.33Monaco or Draw 35% P 35%1.28Monaco or Toulouse 37% P 37%1.7Draw or Toulouse 28% P 28%

Draw No Bet

1.531 61%2.372 39%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59% P 62%2.25No 41% P 38%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 57%2.2Under 43% P 43%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home44%44%43%-0.3
Draw27%28%30%+2.4
Away29%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes62%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.557%56%56%-0.2

Guillaume Paradis

Career
17 matches · 2 seasons
Cards / match
3.94 (3.82 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
24.5 · 6.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.06
Cards to home side
51%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 17 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.824.06-0.5620
Fouls / match24.524.3+0.15
Fouls per card6.46.0+0.50 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.060.36-2.900
Time added8.96.7+1.6796
First card
30' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 25% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.17

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-05 40 230 6'7
2025-09-28 40 320 30'9
2025-09-13 20 300 44'11
2025-08-24 40 331 7'9