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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 9

Momentum

BrestPSG
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
9

Venue

Stadium
Stade Francis-Le Ble, Brest
Capacity
15,097
Surface
grass
Attendance
14,978

Teams

Coaches
Eric Roy · Luis Enrique
Position
12 · 2
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Jérémie Pignard

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
11.7° (feels 10.6°)
Wind
9.8
Humidity
64%

Where to watch · 283

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Brest

LWWDD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 10 GA 6 · xG 8.85–6.43 · xPts 8.52

  • D A Lorient 3–3 xG 1.58–1.38 FRA L1
  • D H Nantes 0–0 xG 1.43–0.35 FRA L1
  • W A Angers SCO 2–0 xG 1.19–0.83 FRA L1
  • W H Nice 4–1 xG 1.67–2.13 FRA L1
  • L H Paris 1–2 xG 2.97–1.74 FRA L1

Paris Saint Germain

WWDDW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 15 GA 7 · xG 9.31–6.19 · xPts 8.93

  • W A Bayer 04 Leverkusen 7–2 xG 2.37–1.82 UEFA CL
  • D H Strasbourg 3–3 xG 2.63–1.78 FRA L1
  • D A LOSC Lille 1–1 xG 1.42–0.86 FRA L1
  • W A FC Barcelona 2–1 xG 1.45–1.0 UEFA CL
  • W H Auxerre 2–0 xG 1.45–0.73 FRA L1

All meetings · 22 matches since 2010

Brest 02 draws20 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 15–57 · 3.27 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 68%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Brest 01 draws9 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 8–30 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Brest 00 draws5 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 0–15 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Brest 0–1 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 1–0 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Brest 0–3 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 7–0 Brest UEFA CL · Knockout Round Play-offs · leg 2/2
  • L Brest 0–3 Paris Saint Germain neutral UEFA CL · Knockout Round Play-offs · leg 1/2
  • L Brest 2–5 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 3–1 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Paris Saint Germain 2–2 Brest neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Brest 2–3 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Brest 1–2 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricBrest all · 34Brest at home · 17Paris Saint Germain all · 34Paris Saint Germain away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.151.532.242.06
W / D / L10 / 9 / 157 / 5 / 524 / 4 / 611 / 2 / 4
Goals for / match1.261.652.181.94
Goals against / match1.621.350.851.00
Clean sheets26%41%53%41%
Failed to score32%24%6%12%
Both teams scored47%47%41%47%
Over 2.550%47%62%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.291.681.991.74
xG against / match1.541.420.981.16
xG difference-0.250.251.010.58
Finishing vs xG-0.03-0.030.180.20
xPts / match1.281.611.991.74
Points vs xPts-0.13-0.080.250.32
Game state
Scored first47%59%85%82%
PPG when scoring first1.942.302.622.50
PPG when conceding first0.380.200.000.00
Came back from behind21%17%14%0%
Leads held56%70%83%79%
Minutes leading24%33%44%37%
Minutes level44%43%45%52%
Minutes trailing32%24%11%11%
First goal (min)35263841
First goal conceded (min)33273846
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%50%55%52%
Goals conceded in 2nd half51%39%55%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.240.530.47
Late goals against0.320.180.240.41
Style
Possession43%44%69%68%
Shots11.213.917.715.2
On target3.54.56.76.4
Shot conversion11%12%12%13%
Shots inside box63%63%63%66%
Big chances created2.23.03.73.8
Corners3.94.66.45.2
xG from set plays36%33%29%26%
Goals from headers21%25%15%18%
Pressure index8.110.227.424.6
Dominant minutes36.740.773.068.8
Pass accuracy78%78%91%91%
Fouls12.712.69.18.6
Cards1.851.761.181.12

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Brest

0–15'98
16–30'612
31–45'77
46–60'86
61–75'511
76–90'811

Paris Saint Germain

0–15'113
16–30'76
31–45'154
46–60'115
61–75'123
76–90'188

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Brest · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: when level +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.184
Early press (0-15, level)+0.424
Late push (76+, level)+1.122
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.012

Game state

When ahead-0.192
When level+0.654
When behind-0.073
10 min after conceding-0.204
10 min after scoring+0.453

Situations

At home+0.142
Away+0.212
4+ days rest+0.184

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.212
Evenly matched+0.303

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.124
Conceded when ahead+0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.204

Ahead vs level -0.84 · Behind vs level -0.72

Paris Saint Germain · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: when behind +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.475
Early press (0-15, level)+0.635
Late push (76+, level)-0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.203

Game state

When ahead+0.283
When level+0.405
When behind+0.673
10 min after conceding+0.143
10 min after scoring+0.665

Situations

At home+0.582
Away+0.433
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.232
v mid-tier opponents+0.472
As favourite+0.475

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.325
Conceded when ahead-0.223
Conceded late (76+)-0.424

Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level +0.26

Brest

Current: winless 1 · conceding 13

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 71%1.421.381.421.351.38
4-3-35 15%0.21.02.21.512.04
4-1-4-12 6%0.51.53.50.512.69
3-4-31 3%0.00.01.00.271.95
4-2-2-21 3%0.00.02.00.90.43

Paris Saint Germain

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 36 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-333 97%2.32.240.852.030.97
3-5-21 3%0.00.01.00.661.17

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

7.0Home 13% P 11%5.5Draw 17% P 17%1.36Away 69% P 73%

Double Chance

3.25Brest or Draw 15% P 13%1.14Brest or PSG 42% P 41%1.1Draw or PSG 43% P 45%

Draw No Bet

6.51 15%1.112 85%

Both Teams To Score

1.7Yes 55% P 56%2.05No 45% P 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.5Over 64% P 67%2.62Under 36% P 33%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 10–15% · away 70–75% · 338 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home11%11%10%-1.3
Draw17%17%14%-3.5
Away73%72%77%+4.8

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 65%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes56%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.567%66%69%+3.2

Jérémie Pignard

Career
139 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
4.65 (4.34 yellow · 0.19 red)
Fouls / match
22.8 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.4
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 89 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.734.06+1.3092
Fouls / match23.224.3-0.51
Fouls per card4.96.0-1.54 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.510.36+1.3596
Time added6.16.7-0.3424
First card
31' on average
Card timing
20% in first 30' · 26% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.24

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-05 30 221 34'5
2025-10-02 70 170 20'6
2025-09-26 60 280 24'7
2025-09-14 · Paris Saint Germain 30 180 5'9
2025-08-28 30 170 15'6
2025-08-15 51 190 26'12
2025-07-22 60 240 19'8
2025-05-17 60 202 29'6
2025-05-04 30 210 27'9
2025-04-27 60 300 37'6