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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 11
NantesNantes
0–2
FT
MetzMetz

Momentum

– NantesMetz –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
11

Venue

Stadium
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau, Nantes
Capacity
37,473
Surface
grass
Attendance
27,150

Teams

Coaches
Luís Ferreira de Castro · Stéphane Le Mignan
Position
15 · 18
Formation
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Gaël Angoula

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
13.8° (feels 12.9°)
Wind
7.2
Humidity
67%

Where to watch · 189

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Nantes

DDLWL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 10 · xG 5.46–11.01 · xPts 3.81

  • L H Monaco 3–5 xG 2.12–3.08 FRA L1
  • W A Paris 2–1 xG 0.85–1.07 FRA L1
  • L H LOSC Lille 0–2 xG 0.69–3.17 FRA L1
  • D A Brest 0–0 xG 0.35–1.43 FRA L1
  • D A Toulouse 2–2 xG 1.45–2.27 FRA L1

Metz

DLLLW 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 3 GA 13 · xG 5.06–9.62 · xPts 4.7

  • W H Lens 2–0 xG 2.92–1.24 FRA L1
  • L A LOSC Lille 1–6 xG 1.19–2.44 FRA L1
  • L A Toulouse 0–4 xG 0.18–2.8 FRA L1
  • L H Olympique Marseille 0–3 xG 0.19–2.74 FRA L1
  • D H Le Havre 0–0 xG 0.59–0.4 FRA L1

All meetings · 18 matches since 2005

Nantes 39 draws6 Metz

Goals 12–18 · 1.67 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 17%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Nantes 14 draws5 Metz

Goals 4–11 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 10%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Nantes 02 draws3 Metz

Goals 1–7 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Metz 0–0 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nantes 0–2 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nantes 0–2 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Metz 3–1 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Metz 0–0 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nantes 2–0 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Metz 2–0 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nantes 1–1 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nantes 0–0 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Metz 1–0 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricNantes all · 33Nantes at home · 16Metz all · 34Metz away · 17
Results
Matches33163417
Points per game0.700.750.500.41
W / D / L5 / 8 / 203 / 3 / 103 / 8 / 231 / 4 / 12
Goals for / match0.881.130.941.00
Goals against / match1.581.692.242.59
Clean sheets21%19%21%18%
Failed to score42%31%44%41%
Both teams scored46%50%50%53%
Over 2.546%44%62%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.101.221.000.84
xG against / match1.491.401.772.13
xG difference-0.38-0.19-0.77-1.29
Finishing vs xG-0.22-0.09-0.060.16
xPts / match1.131.270.930.65
Points vs xPts-0.44-0.52-0.43-0.24
Game state
Scored first27%31%21%24%
PPG when scoring first2.002.001.141.00
PPG when conceding first0.100.180.180.09
Came back from behind9%17%8%8%
Leads held56%60%38%25%
Minutes leading19%25%6%6%
Minutes level50%40%52%45%
Minutes trailing30%36%42%50%
First goal (min)37354237
First goal conceded (min)43393124
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half45%50%56%53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%52%55%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.190.320.29
Late goals against0.580.630.710.71
Style
Possession42%44%49%48%
Shots11.312.110.18.4
On target3.33.53.22.5
Shot conversion8%9%9%12%
Shots inside box65%63%62%64%
Big chances created1.82.11.41.0
Corners3.74.04.23.5
xG from set plays36%34%33%37%
Goals from headers14%11%16%19%
Pressure index8.28.38.77.3
Dominant minutes36.237.340.333.9
Pass accuracy78%78%85%85%
Fouls12.712.511.411.2
Cards2.122.061.762.06

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Nantes

0–15'66
16–30'18
31–45'98
46–60'57
61–75'34
76–90'519

Metz

0–15'412
16–30'49
31–45'613
46–60'59
61–75'29
76–90'1124

Nantes

Current: winless 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-310 30%0.91.22.11.081.94
4-1-4-110 30%0.50.51.10.91.38
3-4-2-13 9%0.00.672.01.071.2
5-3-23 9%0.00.01.670.771.19
4-2-3-12 6%1.52.01.02.41.5

Metz

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 22 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-119 56%0.581.112.051.041.7
3-4-2-15 15%0.20.42.60.771.98
4-3-34 12%0.250.753.01.022.05
4-1-4-13 9%1.00.671.331.421.38
5-3-22 6%0.00.02.00.321.82

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.05Home 46% P 45%3.6Draw 26% P 27%3.4Away 28% P 28%

Double Chance

1.33Nantes or Draw 35% P 36%1.28Nantes or Metz 37% P 36%1.66Draw or Metz 28% P 28%

Draw No Bet

1.531 61%2.372 39%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 58%2.1No 44% P 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 54%2.0Under 47% P 46%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home45%44%43%-0.3
Draw27%28%30%+2.4
Away28%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes58%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%54%+0.8

Gaël Angoula

Career
31 matches · 3 seasons
Cards / match
3.35 (3.26 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
22.6 · 6.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.32
Cards to home side
38%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 32 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.284.06-1.670
Fouls / match21.824.3-1.25
Fouls per card6.76.0+0.84 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.310.36-0.4828
Time added8.76.7+1.5392
First card
35' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
36% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.27

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-19 40 170 8'8
2025-10-04 · Nantes 30 230 10'8
2025-01-10 41 151 12'11
2024-12-15 · Nantes 60 240 15'10
2024-11-22 30 250 43'7
2024-11-03 20 261 35'10