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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 11
ToulouseToulouse
0–0
FT
Le HavreLe Havre

Momentum

– ToulouseLe Havre –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
11

Venue

Stadium
Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
Capacity
33,150
Attendance
20,643

Teams

Coaches
Carles Martínez Novell · Didier Digard
Position
10 · 12
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-1-3-2

Referee

Jeremy Stinat

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
13.7° (feels 13.3°)
Wind
7.0
Humidity
82%

Where to watch · 189

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Toulouse

DWWLD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 10 GA 6 · xG 9.11–6.57 · xPts 8.59

  • D H Rennes 2–2 xG 1.78–0.97 FRA L1
  • L A Monaco 0–1 xG 0.86–2.93 FRA L1
  • W H Metz 4–0 xG 2.8–0.18 FRA L1
  • W A Olympique Lyonnais 2–1 xG 1.4–1.04 FRA L1
  • D H Nantes 2–2 xG 2.27–1.45 FRA L1

Le Havre

DDLWW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 4.41–6.23 · xPts 6.15

  • W H Brest 1–0 xG 0.91–0.52 FRA L1
  • W A Auxerre 1–0 xG 0.95–1.02 FRA L1
  • L A Olympique Marseille 2–6 xG 0.42–3.23 FRA L1
  • D H Rennes 2–2 xG 1.73–0.87 FRA L1
  • D A Metz 0–0 xG 0.4–0.59 FRA L1

All meetings · 8 matches since 2008

Toulouse 41 draws3 Le Havre

Goals 11–7 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 8 matches

Toulouse 41 draws3 Le Havre

Goals 11–7 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Toulouse 21 draws2 Le Havre

Goals 7–4 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Le Havre 2–1 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Toulouse 0–0 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Le Havre 1–4 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Toulouse 2–0 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Le Havre 1–0 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Toulouse 1–2 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Le Havre 0–1 Toulouse neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Toulouse 2–1 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricToulouse all · 33Toulouse at home · 17Le Havre all · 34Le Havre away · 17
Results
Matches33173417
Points per game1.331.411.030.71
W / D / L12 / 8 / 136 / 6 / 57 / 14 / 132 / 6 / 9
Goals for / match1.421.470.940.71
Goals against / match1.391.411.291.53
Clean sheets27%35%24%24%
Failed to score30%35%41%47%
Both teams scored48%41%50%41%
Over 2.554%53%32%24%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.381.631.181.03
xG against / match1.261.151.531.90
xG difference0.120.48-0.36-0.87
Finishing vs xG0.04-0.16-0.24-0.32
xPts / match1.471.681.190.88
Points vs xPts-0.13-0.27-0.16-0.17
Game state
Scored first39%35%35%35%
PPG when scoring first2.383.002.081.50
PPG when conceding first0.610.440.290.11
Came back from behind38%44%28%10%
Leads held80%100%58%33%
Minutes leading24%24%14%10%
Minutes level45%43%60%62%
Minutes trailing31%33%26%28%
First goal (min)41424143
First goal conceded (min)40353843
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%72%56%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%54%48%58%
Late goals for (76'+)0.480.590.180.12
Late goals against0.300.240.260.41
Style
Possession42%43%47%47%
Shots12.814.710.99.9
On target4.34.83.63.4
Shot conversion11%10%9%7%
Shots inside box65%68%62%62%
Big chances created1.92.12.01.7
Corners4.55.14.33.7
xG from set plays38%38%31%23%
Goals from headers15%8%19%25%
Pressure index8.69.59.97.2
Dominant minutes38.240.843.936.4
Pass accuracy80%82%80%80%
Fouls14.413.913.713.9
Cards2.582.182.032.12

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Toulouse

0–15'95
16–30'49
31–45'78
46–60'58
61–75'66
76–90'1610

Le Havre

0–15'46
16–30'46
31–45'611
46–60'56
61–75'76
76–90'69

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Toulouse · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.20) · stands out: when level +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.204
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)+0.262
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.182

Game state

When level+0.354
When behind+0.033
10 min after conceding-0.264
10 min after scoring+0.392

Situations

At home+0.422
Away-0.012
4+ days rest+0.204

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.422
v mid-tier opponents-0.012
Evenly matched+0.063

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.044
Conceded late (76+)+0.104

Ahead vs level -0.73 · Behind vs level -0.32

Le Havre · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: at home +0.15

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.144
Early press (0-15, level)-0.064
Late push (76+, level)-0.302
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.102

Game state

When level+0.084
When behind+0.212
10 min after conceding+0.113
10 min after scoring+0.212

Situations

At home+0.153
4+ days rest+0.144

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.102
Evenly matched+0.182
As underdog+0.102

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.054
Conceded late (76+)-0.364

Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level +0.12

Toulouse

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 10

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-123 70%1.01.041.391.251.2
3-4-39 27%2.332.220.891.611.24
5-4-11 3%0.03.06.02.362.75

Le Havre

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-37 21%0.860.571.141.231.31
4-1-3-26 18%1.00.671.171.361.68
4-1-4-15 15%0.61.01.61.221.26
4-2-3-15 15%1.21.61.41.511.35
3-4-1-24 12%0.750.751.01.191.9

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.72Home 55% P 56%3.6Draw 26% P 26%5.0Away 19% P 18%

Double Chance

1.18Toulouse or Draw 40% P 41%1.28Toulouse or Le Havre 37% P 37%2.0Draw or Le Havre 23% P 22%

Draw No Bet

1.281 73%3.52 27%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 46%1.8No 52% P 54%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 45%1.72Under 55% P 55%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.52.0Over 46% P 50%1.72Under 54% P 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 17.5–20% · 762 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home56%56%53%-2.8
Draw26%25%26%+1.0
Away18%19%21%+1.8

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes46%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%46%45%-1.2

Jeremy Stinat

Career
134 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
4.1 (3.85 yellow · 0.16 red)
Fouls / match
25.3 · 6.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 90 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.14.06+0.0160
Fouls / match24.324.3+0.08
Fouls per card6.16.0+0.05 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.30.36-0.6020
Time added7.26.7+0.4472
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.18

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-29 82 340 25'11
2025-10-18 40 290 1'8
2025-09-14 · Toulouse 61 221 23'11
2025-08-31 21 121 45'9
2025-08-23 41 250 34'10
2025-05-10 20 180 45'12
2025-05-04 50 200 13'7
2025-04-20 20 180 56'6
2025-03-29 20 211 26'6
2025-03-02 · Toulouse 60 220 45'7