KickoffDNA
0 live
Sign in
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 11
Paris Saint GermainPSG
1–0
FT
NiceNice

Momentum

– PSGNice –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
11

Venue

Stadium
Parc des Princes, Paris
Capacity
48,583
Surface
grass
Attendance
47,629

Teams

Coaches
Luis Enrique · Franck Haise
Position
1 · 8
Formation
4-3-3 · 5-4-1

Referee

François Letexier

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
15.9° (feels 15.7°)
Wind
8.9
Humidity
82%

Where to watch · 199

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Paris Saint Germain

DDWWD 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 15 GA 7 · xG 9.52–6.28 · xPts 9.1

  • D A Lorient 1–1 xG 1.28–0.23 FRA L1
  • W A Brest 3–0 xG 1.83–1.59 FRA L1
  • W A Bayer 04 Leverkusen 7–2 xG 2.37–1.82 UEFA CL
  • D H Strasbourg 3–3 xG 2.63–1.78 FRA L1
  • D A LOSC Lille 1–1 xG 1.42–0.86 FRA L1

Nice

DWLWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 10 GA 7 · xG 5.6–11.53 · xPts 3.95

  • W H LOSC Lille 2–0 xG 1.33–1.27 FRA L1
  • W A Rennes 2–1 xG 0.42–1.75 FRA L1
  • L A Celta de Vigo 1–2 xG 1.39–1.51 UEFA EL
  • W H Olympique Lyonnais 3–2 xG 1.26–3.69 FRA L1
  • D A Monaco 2–2 xG 1.2–3.32 FRA L1

All meetings · 41 matches since 2005

Paris Saint Germain 217 draws13 Nice

Goals 66–38 · 2.54 per match · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 61%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Paris Saint Germain 52 draws3 Nice

Goals 15–10 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Paris Saint Germain 31 draws1 Nice

Goals 9–5 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Nice 0–4 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Paris Saint Germain 1–0 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 1–3 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nice 1–1 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nice 1–2 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 2–3 Nice neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nice 0–2 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Paris Saint Germain 2–1 Nice neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nice 1–0 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Paris Saint Germain 0–0 Nice neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricParis Saint Germain all · 34Paris Saint Germain at home · 17Nice all · 34Nice away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.242.410.940.71
W / D / L24 / 4 / 613 / 2 / 27 / 11 / 163 / 3 / 11
Goals for / match2.182.411.091.06
Goals against / match0.850.711.761.94
Clean sheets53%65%18%12%
Failed to score6%0%32%29%
Both teams scored41%35%59%65%
Over 2.562%71%50%59%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.992.251.241.11
xG against / match0.980.801.711.78
xG difference1.011.45-0.47-0.67
Finishing vs xG0.180.16-0.15-0.05
xPts / match1.992.241.120.99
Points vs xPts0.250.18-0.18-0.28
Game state
Scored first85%88%38%41%
PPG when scoring first2.622.731.851.43
PPG when conceding first0.000.000.280.11
Came back from behind14%33%24%8%
Leads held83%87%54%43%
Minutes leading44%50%20%15%
Minutes level45%38%48%47%
Minutes trailing11%12%32%38%
First goal (min)38364242
First goal conceded (min)38253838
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%58%49%39%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%42%52%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.530.590.210.24
Late goals against0.240.060.350.29
Style
Possession69%69%46%47%
Shots17.720.211.29.5
On target6.77.03.93.5
Shot conversion12%12%10%11%
Shots inside box63%61%65%66%
Big chances created3.73.52.72.1
Corners6.47.55.14.6
xG from set plays29%31%27%28%
Goals from headers15%12%11%6%
Pressure index27.430.39.08.4
Dominant minutes73.077.240.939.2
Pass accuracy91%91%82%82%
Fouls9.19.512.412.5
Cards1.181.242.122.24

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Paris Saint Germain

0–15'113
16–30'76
31–45'154
46–60'115
61–75'123
76–90'188

Nice

0–15'59
16–30'67
31–45'813
46–60'79
61–75'410
76–90'712

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Paris Saint Germain · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: when behind +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.475
Early press (0-15, level)+0.635
Late push (76+, level)-0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.203

Game state

When ahead+0.283
When level+0.405
When behind+0.673
10 min after conceding+0.143
10 min after scoring+0.665

Situations

At home+0.582
Away+0.433
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.232
v mid-tier opponents+0.472
As favourite+0.475

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.325
Conceded when ahead-0.223
Conceded late (76+)-0.424

Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level +0.26

Nice · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: when behind +0.41

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.254
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)-0.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.082

Game state

When level+0.174
When behind+0.413
10 min after conceding+0.023

Situations

At home+0.262
Away+0.242
4+ days rest+0.254

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.432
v bottom-tier opponents+0.082
Evenly matched+0.272

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.204
Conceded late (76+)-0.084

Behind vs level +0.23

Paris Saint Germain

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 36 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-333 97%2.32.240.852.030.97
3-5-21 3%0.00.01.00.661.17

Nice

Current: winless 12 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 21%0.861.291.861.331.64
3-4-2-16 18%1.171.01.51.611.26
5-4-15 15%0.60.61.00.891.23
3-4-1-24 12%1.751.51.00.951.66
3-5-23 9%0.330.671.671.421.86

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.16Home 82% P 84%8.0Draw 12% P 11%15.0Away 6% P 5%

Double Chance

1.03PSG or Draw 46% P 47%1.08PSG or Nice 44% P 45%5.0Draw or Nice 10% P 8%

Draw No Bet

1.041 93%13.02 7%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 47% P 46%1.75No 53% P 54%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.33Over 72% P 70%3.4Under 28% P 30%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.629 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46% P 42%1.72Under 54% P 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 82.5–85% · away 5–7.5% · 243 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home84%84%86%+2.5
Draw11%11%9%-1.4
Away5%6%5%-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.7 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 70%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes46%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 70–72.5% · 478 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.570%71%70%-1.3

François Letexier

Career
253 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
4.35 (4.09 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
23.3 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.39
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 86 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.444.06+0.7184
Fouls / match22.924.3-0.68
Fouls per card5.26.0-1.21 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.380.36+0.1956
Time added7.26.7+0.4472
First card
31' on average
Card timing
19% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.36

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-22 20 90 52'6
2025-10-19 31 251 34'5
2025-10-04 101 310 15'8
2025-10-01 40 310 26'7
2025-09-21 60 210 21'13
2025-09-16 10 211 42'8
2025-08-31 41 270 22'12
2025-08-19 40 200 52'10
2025-08-17 31 240 10'10
2025-08-12 51 261 2'8