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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 11
MonacoMonaco
0–1
FT
ParisParis

Momentum

– MonacoParis –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
11

Venue

Stadium
Stade Louis II., Monaco
Capacity
18,523
Surface
grass
Attendance
10,727

Teams

Coaches
Sebastien Pocognoli · Stéphane Gilli
Position
2 · 12
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Eric Wattellier

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
19.9° (feels 20.0°)
Wind
2.8
Humidity
79%

Where to watch · 197

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Monaco

DDDWW 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 9 GA 6 · xG 13.46–7.32 · xPts 10.15

  • W A Nantes 5–3 xG 3.08–2.12 FRA L1
  • W H Toulouse 1–0 xG 2.93–0.86 FRA L1
  • D H Tottenham Hotspur 0–0 xG 2.79–1.04 UEFA CL
  • D A Angers SCO 1–1 xG 1.34–2.1 FRA L1
  • D H Nice 2–2 xG 3.32–1.2 FRA L1

Paris

DWLLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 6.36–5.45 · xPts 7.42

  • D H Olympique Lyonnais 3–3 xG 0.71–1.29 FRA L1
  • L H Nantes 1–2 xG 1.07–0.85 FRA L1
  • L A Lens 1–2 xG 0.99–1.72 FRA L1
  • W H Lorient 2–0 xG 1.49–0.72 FRA L1
  • D A Nice 1–1 xG 2.1–0.87 FRA L1

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Monaco 00 draws2 Paris

Goals 1–5 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Monaco 00 draws2 Paris

Goals 1–5 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Monaco 00 draws2 Paris

Goals 1–5 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • L Paris 4–1 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Monaco 0–1 Paris FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricMonaco all · 34Monaco at home · 17Paris all · 34Paris away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.591.881.291.12
W / D / L16 / 6 / 1210 / 2 / 511 / 11 / 124 / 7 / 6
Goals for / match1.761.941.381.12
Goals against / match1.591.351.471.35
Clean sheets21%29%24%24%
Failed to score21%12%26%24%
Both teams scored65%59%62%71%
Over 2.565%65%56%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.631.761.321.12
xG against / match1.431.211.621.64
xG difference0.200.55-0.30-0.52
Finishing vs xG0.140.180.060.00
xPts / match1.491.681.251.11
Points vs xPts0.100.200.040.01
Game state
Scored first44%53%41%47%
PPG when scoring first2.533.002.141.75
PPG when conceding first0.820.630.630.33
Came back from behind33%38%33%25%
Leads held84%100%69%50%
Minutes leading28%34%23%21%
Minutes level51%49%49%58%
Minutes trailing21%17%28%20%
First goal (min)43394141
First goal conceded (min)47484047
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half63%64%55%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half61%56%58%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.410.410.24
Late goals against0.410.290.380.41
Style
Possession54%55%50%49%
Shots12.512.111.79.9
On target4.44.54.03.4
Shot conversion14%16%12%11%
Shots inside box73%74%67%64%
Big chances created3.03.12.41.9
Corners5.14.94.43.2
xG from set plays25%26%26%21%
Goals from headers12%12%4%0%
Pressure index12.313.210.58.3
Dominant minutes50.052.646.037.5
Pass accuracy83%84%84%84%
Fouls13.012.810.610.4
Cards2.442.062.351.88

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Monaco

0–15'55
16–30'76
31–45'1010
46–60'127
61–75'1412
76–90'1214

Paris

0–15'73
16–30'99
31–45'59
46–60'510
61–75'76
76–90'1413

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Monaco · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.00) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.41

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.006
Early press (0-15, level)+0.306

Game state

When ahead-0.165
When level+0.216
When behind+0.122
10 min after conceding-0.413
10 min after scoring+0.236

Situations

At home-0.072
Away+0.024
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest+0.024

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.242
As favourite+0.013
Evenly matched+0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.235
Conceded late (76+)+0.025

Congested vs rested -0.07 · Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level -0.10

Paris · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.124
Early press (0-15, level)-0.364
Late push (76+, level)-0.313

Game state

When ahead-0.062
When level-0.154
10 min after scoring-0.242

Situations

At home-0.212
Away-0.042
4+ days rest-0.124

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.082
v bottom-tier opponents-0.162
As favourite-0.162

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded when ahead+0.222
Conceded late (76+)-0.194

Ahead vs level +0.09

Monaco

Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 41%1.571.641.291.471.31
4-2-3-17 21%1.861.711.141.731.2
3-1-4-23 9%2.03.03.02.472.15
3-4-1-22 6%3.02.51.02.081.55
4-4-22 6%3.03.51.52.121.25

Paris

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-310 29%1.51.92.01.421.79
5-4-18 24%1.00.750.881.041.42
4-2-3-17 21%1.431.571.01.341.09
4-1-4-13 9%2.02.671.671.962.36
4-4-22 6%1.51.01.01.430.83

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.65Home 57% P 56%4.2Draw 22% P 24%4.5Away 21% P 20%

Double Chance

1.18Monaco or Draw 40% P 40%1.22Monaco or Paris FC 39% P 38%2.2Draw or Paris FC 21% P 22%

Draw No Bet

1.251 75%3.752 25%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61% P 64%2.37No 39% P 36%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.5Over 64% P 64%2.62Under 36% P 36%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 53%1.83Under 50% P 47%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 20–22.5% · 298 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home56%56%60%+4.1
Draw24%23%21%-1.7
Away20%21%18%-2.4

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 59%

Both teams to score · yes 62.5–65% · 687 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes64%64%64%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.564%64%63%-0.4

Eric Wattellier

Career
147 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
3.39 (3.16 yellow · 0.18 red)
Fouls / match
21.6 · 6.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.4
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 94 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.434.06-1.368
Fouls / match20.624.3-1.90
Fouls per card6.16.0+0.05 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.430.36+0.6076
Time added6.36.7-0.2132
First card
40' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.33

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-26 41 341 61'11
2025-10-19 40 241 45'6
2025-09-20 40 280 36'11
2025-08-30 10 184 82'10
2025-08-23 20 280 54'9
2025-08-14 30 170 22'7
2025-05-10 10 250 52'7
2025-05-04 40 170 29'4
2025-04-19 · Monaco 60 280 12'6
2025-04-05 50 291 22'12