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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 11
AuxerreAuxerre
0–1
FT
Olympique MarseilleOM

Momentum

– AuxerreOM –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
11

Venue

Stadium
Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps, Auxerre
Capacity
18,541
Surface
grass
Attendance
16,529

Teams

Coaches
Christophe Pélissier · Roberto De Zerbi
Position
17 · 3
Formation
5-4-1 · 3-5-2

Referee

Benoît Bastien

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
15.1° (feels 14.7°)
Wind
8.6
Humidity
81%

Where to watch · 292

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Auxerre

LLDLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 3 GA 10 · xG 5.19–8.65 · xPts 5.36

  • L A Strasbourg 0–3 xG 0.61–3.55 FRA L1
  • L H Le Havre 0–1 xG 1.02–0.95 FRA L1
  • D A Rennes 2–2 xG 1.27–2.09 FRA L1
  • L H Lens 1–2 xG 1.55–0.61 FRA L1
  • L A Paris Saint Germain 0–2 xG 0.73–1.45 FRA L1

Olympique Marseille

WWLLD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 13 GA 8 · xG 9.01–4.18 · xPts 9.24

  • D H Angers SCO 2–2 xG 1.45–0.88 FRA L1
  • L A Lens 1–2 xG 0.9–1.55 FRA L1
  • L A Sporting CP 1–2 xG 0.69–1.15 UEFA CL
  • W H Le Havre 6–2 xG 3.23–0.42 FRA L1
  • W A Metz 3–0 xG 2.74–0.19 FRA L1

All meetings · 20 matches since 2005

Auxerre 44 draws12 Olympique Marseille

Goals 18–31 · 2.45 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Auxerre 23 draws5 Olympique Marseille

Goals 11–14 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Auxerre 20 draws3 Olympique Marseille

Goals 7–5 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Olympique Marseille 1–0 Auxerre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Auxerre 0–1 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Auxerre 3–0 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Olympique Marseille 1–3 Auxerre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Marseille 2–1 Auxerre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Auxerre 0–2 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Marseille 3–0 Auxerre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Auxerre 2–2 Olympique Marseille neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Marseille 1–1 Auxerre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Auxerre 1–1 Olympique Marseille neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricAuxerre all · 34Auxerre at home · 17Olympique Marseille all · 34Olympique Marseille away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.001.291.741.29
W / D / L8 / 10 / 166 / 4 / 718 / 5 / 117 / 1 / 9
Goals for / match1.001.061.851.29
Goals against / match1.291.001.321.47
Clean sheets26%41%26%24%
Failed to score47%47%24%41%
Both teams scored41%35%50%35%
Over 2.544%47%62%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.121.271.701.61
xG against / match1.371.171.201.35
xG difference-0.250.100.490.25
Finishing vs xG-0.12-0.210.16-0.31
xPts / match1.231.421.691.55
Points vs xPts-0.23-0.130.04-0.26
Game state
Scored first32%29%59%47%
PPG when scoring first2.273.002.402.38
PPG when conceding first0.220.380.790.33
Came back from behind16%12%31%10%
Leads held62%86%72%78%
Minutes leading18%20%38%28%
Minutes level57%58%41%43%
Minutes trailing25%22%21%29%
First goal (min)31433638
First goal conceded (min)39384647
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half50%67%59%54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half54%47%69%68%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.120.500.29
Late goals against0.350.410.440.29
Style
Possession44%44%57%56%
Shots10.711.515.114.4
On target3.53.85.75.1
Shot conversion9%9%12%9%
Shots inside box65%67%64%64%
Big chances created1.71.83.02.6
Corners4.85.55.24.8
xG from set plays31%37%26%26%
Goals from headers18%22%10%4%
Pressure index8.19.617.615.8
Dominant minutes39.243.158.355.6
Pass accuracy80%79%87%87%
Fouls13.713.412.712.5
Cards2.292.242.532.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Auxerre

0–15'65
16–30'49
31–45'76
46–60'38
61–75'84
76–90'612

Olympique Marseille

0–15'95
16–30'106
31–45'73
46–60'1010
61–75'106
76–90'1715

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Auxerre · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.00) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.44

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.004
Early press (0-15, level)+0.074
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.443

Game state

When level-0.114
When behind+0.133
10 min after conceding+0.043
10 min after scoring+0.074

Situations

At home-0.012
Away+0.012
4+ days rest+0.004

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.012
v bottom-tier opponents-0.012
As underdog+0.012

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.054
Conceded late (76+)-0.094

Ahead vs level -0.20 · Behind vs level +0.24

Olympique Marseille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.56

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.105
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.064

Game state

When level+0.245
When behind-0.024
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.563

Situations

At home+0.282
Away-0.033
4+ days rest+0.105

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.173
As favourite+0.282
As underdog-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.065
Conceded late (76+)-0.325

Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level -0.27

Auxerre

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 9 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-312 35%1.331.251.331.451.19
5-4-19 26%0.780.671.220.881.32
4-2-3-15 15%1.21.41.20.861.56
4-4-1-12 6%1.51.50.51.280.59
4-4-22 6%1.01.01.01.231.29

Olympique Marseille

Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%2.172.441.171.91.23
3-4-2-19 26%1.441.671.441.521.09
3-4-1-22 6%1.51.01.01.310.95
3-5-1-11 3%1.01.01.01.811.38
4-1-4-11 3%0.00.02.01.670.83

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

5.0Home 19% P 18%3.75Draw 25% P 25%1.7Away 56% P 57%

Double Chance

2.15Auxerre or Draw 22% P 21%1.25Auxerre or Marseille 38% P 38%1.16Draw or Marseille 41% P 41%

Draw No Bet

3.751 25%1.252 75%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 51%1.95No 48% P 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 50%1.9Under 50% P 50%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 17.5–20% · away 55–57.5% · 338 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home18%19%20%+0.6
Draw25%25%22%-3.1
Away57%56%59%+2.5

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes51%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.550%49%50%+1.3

Benoît Bastien

Career
347 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.35 (4.09 yellow · 0.18 red)
Fouls / match
23.7 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.37
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 92 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.264.06+0.3472
Fouls / match24.624.3+0.19
Fouls per card5.86.0-0.30 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.380.36+0.1652
Time added7.36.7+0.5280
First card
31' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.22

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-26 10 201 75'13
2025-10-05 20 230 45'6
2025-09-27 50 301 58'11
2025-09-20 40 280 18'10
2025-08-31 31 251 8'12
2025-08-28 50 210 9'9
2025-08-17 20 120 45'9
2025-08-12 110 520 49'7
2025-05-10 60 340 9'9
2025-04-26 10 170 37'8