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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 11

Momentum

RennesStrasbourg
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
11

Venue

Stadium
Roazhon Park, Rennes
Capacity
29,778
Surface
grass
Attendance
27,658

Teams

Coaches
Habib Beye · Liam Rosenior
Position
9 · 4
Formation
3-5-2 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Thomas Léonard

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
13.1° (feels 12.1°)
Wind
6.4
Humidity
61%

Where to watch · 194

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Rennes

DDDLD 0W 4D 1L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 6.94–6.56 · xPts 7.17

  • D A Toulouse 2–2 xG 0.97–1.78 FRA L1
  • L H Nice 1–2 xG 1.75–0.42 FRA L1
  • D H Auxerre 2–2 xG 2.09–1.27 FRA L1
  • D A Le Havre 2–2 xG 0.87–1.73 FRA L1
  • D H Lens 0–0 xG 1.26–1.34 FRA L1

Strasbourg

WDDLW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 13 GA 6 · xG 11.15–5.96 · xPts 9.49

  • W H Auxerre 3–0 xG 3.55–0.61 FRA L1
  • L A Olympique Lyonnais 1–2 xG 0.62–1.57 FRA L1
  • D H Jagiellonia Białystok 1–1 xG 2.46–0.71 UEFA ECL
  • D A Paris Saint Germain 3–3 xG 1.78–2.63 FRA L1
  • W H Angers SCO 5–0 xG 2.73–0.44 FRA L1

All meetings · 21 matches since 2005

Rennes 132 draws6 Strasbourg

Goals 34–22 · 2.67 per match · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 57%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Rennes 61 draws3 Strasbourg

Goals 18–10 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Rennes 30 draws2 Strasbourg

Goals 9–6 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Strasbourg 0–3 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Rennes 4–1 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Rennes 1–0 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Strasbourg 3–1 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Strasbourg 2–0 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Rennes 1–1 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Rennes 3–0 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Strasbourg 1–3 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Strasbourg 2–1 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Rennes 1–0 Strasbourg neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricRennes all · 34Rennes at home · 17Strasbourg all · 34Strasbourg away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.742.001.561.35
W / D / L17 / 8 / 910 / 4 / 315 / 8 / 116 / 5 / 6
Goals for / match1.741.761.711.65
Goals against / match1.471.001.381.65
Clean sheets29%24%26%12%
Failed to score18%18%18%18%
Both teams scored59%71%65%76%
Over 2.571%65%65%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.561.711.461.42
xG against / match1.541.341.331.61
xG difference0.020.370.13-0.19
Finishing vs xG0.180.050.240.23
xPts / match1.431.651.441.25
Points vs xPts0.310.350.120.10
Game state
Scored first56%41%56%41%
PPG when scoring first2.263.002.052.00
PPG when conceding first1.081.380.920.89
Came back from behind40%62%31%40%
Leads held71%91%65%60%
Minutes leading36%31%26%21%
Minutes level41%46%52%46%
Minutes trailing23%23%22%34%
First goal (min)37434144
First goal conceded (min)40423935
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%63%57%57%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%53%62%61%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.530.410.59
Late goals against0.290.180.350.35
Style
Possession54%54%54%56%
Shots14.115.811.510.9
On target5.05.44.64.2
Shot conversion12%11%15%15%
Shots inside box62%60%69%69%
Big chances created2.42.83.02.8
Corners6.06.54.23.5
xG from set plays29%29%23%26%
Goals from headers19%32%16%21%
Pressure index14.115.514.212.2
Dominant minutes51.952.554.752.8
Pass accuracy84%84%88%88%
Fouls12.312.911.112.6
Cards1.821.591.942.41

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Rennes

0–15'78
16–30'151
31–45'510
46–60'1211
61–75'810
76–90'1210

Strasbourg

0–15'47
16–30'106
31–45'115
46–60'914
61–75'103
76–90'1412

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Rennes · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.27) · stands out: when level +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.275
Early press (0-15, level)+0.245
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.014
When level+0.555
10 min after conceding-0.423
10 min after scoring-0.024

Situations

At home-0.123
Away+0.832
4+ days rest+0.275

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.252
v bottom-tier opponents+0.142
As favourite+0.444

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.105
Conceded when ahead+0.174
Conceded late (76+)-0.155

Ahead vs level -0.54

Strasbourg · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.02

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.044
Early press (0-15, level)+0.114
Late push (76+, level)-0.532

Game state

When ahead+0.393
When level-0.044
When behind-0.063
10 min after conceding-0.144
10 min after scoring+1.023

Situations

At home+0.082
Away+0.002
4+ days rest+0.044

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.053
Evenly matched-0.022
As underdog+0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.214
Conceded when ahead+0.053
Conceded late (76+)+0.044

Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level -0.02

Rennes

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-218 53%1.51.561.721.41.61
4-4-26 18%2.02.331.832.01.29
4-3-35 15%2.01.60.61.471.07
4-2-3-12 6%3.03.00.51.352.23
5-3-21 3%3.01.00.00.972.28

Strasbourg

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 12

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-117 50%1.591.761.471.61.46
3-4-2-110 29%1.11.61.41.551.24
4-4-1-12 6%1.52.02.01.021.73
3-1-4-21 3%3.01.00.01.340.72
5-3-21 3%3.01.00.00.740.21

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.7Home 35% P 36%3.5Draw 27% P 28%2.5Away 38% P 36%

Double Chance

1.44Rennes or Draw 32% P 32%1.28Rennes or Strasbourg 36% P 36%1.5Draw or Strasbourg 31% P 32%

Draw No Bet

1.81 51%1.92 49%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59% P 62%2.25No 41% P 38%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 56%2.2Under 43% P 44%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.51.9Over 49% P 52%1.8Under 51% P 48%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 35–37.5% · 584 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home36%36%35%-0.6
Draw28%28%28%+0.2
Away36%36%36%+0.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes62%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.556%56%56%-0.2

Thomas Léonard

Career
156 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.08 (3.84 yellow · 0.18 red)
Fouls / match
24.6 · 6.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 88 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.924.06-0.3632
Fouls / match24.524.3+0.17
Fouls per card6.26.0+0.30 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.320.36-0.4332
Time added6.86.7+0.1648
First card
35' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.29

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-29 30 180 3'12
2025-10-19 50 190 21'9
2025-10-05 40 300 51'6
2025-09-27 30 270 24'10
2025-09-12 51 231 10'9
2025-08-16 50 250 46'11
2025-05-17 50 170 30'10
2025-05-10 20 200 40'10
2025-05-04 50 280 12'11
2025-04-20 40 210 22'8