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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 21

Momentum

AuxerreParis
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
21

Venue

Stadium
Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps, Auxerre
Capacity
18,541
Surface
grass
Attendance
15,834

Teams

Coaches
Christophe Pélissier · Stéphane Gilli
Position
17 · 14
Formation
4-3-3 · 5-4-1

Referee

François Letexier

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
10.1° (feels 8.8°)
Wind
2.8
Humidity
63%

Where to watch · 194

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Auxerre

LLLLD 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 3 GA 8 · xG 5.95–7.19 · xPts 5.94

  • D A Toulouse 0–0 xG 0.85–0.78 FRA L1
  • L H Paris Saint Germain 0–1 xG 0.51–1.49 FRA L1
  • L A Lens 0–1 xG 0.52–2.32 FRA L1
  • L A Brest 0–2 xG 1.34–1.79 FRA L1
  • L H LOSC Lille 3–4 xG 2.73–0.8 FRA L1

Paris

LLWDD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 8 · xG 4.67–7.59 · xPts 5.11

  • D H Olympique Marseille 2–2 xG 1.4–2.61 FRA L1
  • D H Angers SCO 0–0 xG 0.81–0.74 FRA L1
  • W A Nantes 2–1 xG 0.58–0.36 FRA L1
  • L A Paris Saint Germain 1–2 xG 1.01–1.74 FRA L1
  • L H Toulouse 0–3 xG 0.87–2.14 FRA L1

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Auxerre 02 draws0 Paris

Goals 1–1 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Auxerre 02 draws0 Paris

Goals 1–1 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Auxerre 02 draws0 Paris

Goals 1–1 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

  • D Auxerre 0–0 Paris FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Paris 1–1 Auxerre FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricAuxerre all · 34Auxerre at home · 17Paris all · 34Paris away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.001.291.291.12
W / D / L8 / 10 / 166 / 4 / 711 / 11 / 124 / 7 / 6
Goals for / match1.001.061.381.12
Goals against / match1.291.001.471.35
Clean sheets26%41%24%24%
Failed to score47%47%26%24%
Both teams scored41%35%62%71%
Over 2.544%47%56%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.121.271.321.12
xG against / match1.371.171.621.64
xG difference-0.250.10-0.30-0.52
Finishing vs xG-0.12-0.210.060.00
xPts / match1.231.421.251.11
Points vs xPts-0.23-0.130.040.01
Game state
Scored first32%29%41%47%
PPG when scoring first2.273.002.141.75
PPG when conceding first0.220.380.630.33
Came back from behind16%12%33%25%
Leads held62%86%69%50%
Minutes leading18%20%23%21%
Minutes level57%58%49%58%
Minutes trailing25%22%28%20%
First goal (min)31434141
First goal conceded (min)39384047
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half50%67%55%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half54%47%58%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.120.410.24
Late goals against0.350.410.380.41
Style
Possession44%44%50%49%
Shots10.711.511.79.9
On target3.53.84.03.4
Shot conversion9%9%12%11%
Shots inside box65%67%67%64%
Big chances created1.71.82.41.9
Corners4.85.54.43.2
xG from set plays31%37%26%21%
Goals from headers18%22%4%0%
Pressure index8.19.610.58.3
Dominant minutes39.243.146.037.5
Pass accuracy80%79%84%84%
Fouls13.713.410.610.4
Cards2.292.242.351.88

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Auxerre

0–15'65
16–30'49
31–45'76
46–60'38
61–75'84
76–90'612

Paris

0–15'73
16–30'99
31–45'59
46–60'510
61–75'76
76–90'1413

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Auxerre · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.00) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.44

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.004
Early press (0-15, level)+0.074
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.443

Game state

When level-0.114
When behind+0.133
10 min after conceding+0.043
10 min after scoring+0.074

Situations

At home-0.012
Away+0.022
4+ days rest+0.004

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.022
v bottom-tier opponents-0.012
As underdog+0.022

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.054
Conceded late (76+)-0.094

Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level +0.24

Paris · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.124
Early press (0-15, level)-0.364
Late push (76+, level)-0.313

Game state

When ahead-0.062
When level-0.154
10 min after scoring-0.242

Situations

At home-0.212
Away-0.042
4+ days rest-0.124

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.082
v bottom-tier opponents-0.162
As favourite-0.162

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded when ahead+0.222
Conceded late (76+)-0.194

Ahead vs level +0.09

Auxerre

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 9 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-312 35%1.331.251.331.451.19
5-4-19 26%0.780.671.220.881.32
4-2-3-15 15%1.21.41.20.861.56
3-4-2-12 6%0.00.02.00.822.25
4-4-22 6%1.01.01.01.231.29

Paris

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-310 29%1.51.92.01.421.79
5-4-18 24%1.00.750.881.041.42
4-2-3-17 21%1.431.571.01.341.09
4-1-4-13 9%2.02.671.671.962.36
4-5-12 6%0.50.01.51.052.0

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.45Home 39% P 39%3.3Draw 29% P 30%2.9Away 33% P 31%

Double Chance

1.4Auxerre or Draw 34% P 34%1.33Auxerre or Paris FC 35% P 35%1.53Draw or Paris FC 31% P 30%

Draw No Bet

1.721 54%2.02 46%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 53%1.95No 48% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 45%1.72Under 55% P 55%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 30–32.5% · 800 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home39%39%39%-0.2
Draw30%30%31%+1.5
Away31%31%30%-1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 44%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%46%45%-1.2

François Letexier

Career
253 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
4.35 (4.09 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
23.3 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.39
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 86 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.444.06+0.7184
Fouls / match22.924.3-0.68
Fouls per card5.26.0-1.21 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.380.36+0.2056
Time added7.26.7+0.4472
First card
31' on average
Card timing
19% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.36

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-01 50 260 42'9
2026-01-28 20 191 45'8
2025-12-14 30 220 40'6
2025-11-29 · Auxerre · Paris 30 281 39'7
2025-11-26 10 200 44'7
2025-11-09 71 290 35'8
2025-11-01 40 170 27'5
2025-10-22 20 90 52'6
2025-10-19 31 251 34'5
2025-10-04 · Auxerre 101 310 15'8