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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 23

Momentum

BrestOM
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
23

Venue

Stadium
Stade Francis-Le Ble, Brest
Capacity
15,097
Surface
grass
Attendance
14,482

Teams

Coaches
Eric Roy · Habib Beye
Position
12 · 4
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1

Referee

Romain Lissorgue

Weather

Conditions
light intensity drizzle
Temperature
10.9° (feels 10.7°)
Wind
6.2
Humidity
100%

Where to watch · 335

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Brest

LLDWD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 5.93–5.81 · xPts 7.0

  • D A LOSC Lille 1–1 xG 0.92–1.89 FRA L1
  • W H Lorient 2–0 xG 2.0–0.69 FRA L1
  • D A Nice 2–2 xG 1.65–1.1 FRA L1
  • L H Toulouse 0–2 xG 0.9–0.43 FRA L1
  • L A Olympique Lyonnais 1–2 xG 0.46–1.7 FRA L1

Olympique Marseille

WLDLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 13 · xG 6.56–7.79 · xPts 6.39

  • D H Strasbourg 2–2 xG 1.09–1.71 FRA L1
  • L A Paris Saint Germain 0–5 xG 0.84–3.03 FRA L1
  • D A Paris 2–2 xG 2.61–1.4 FRA L1
  • L A Club Brugge 0–3 xG 1.11–1.15 UEFA CL
  • W H Lens 3–1 xG 0.91–0.49 FRA L1

All meetings · 19 matches since 2010

Brest 53 draws11 Olympique Marseille

Goals 18–36 · 2.84 per match · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 58%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Brest 41 draws5 Olympique Marseille

Goals 11–21 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Brest 20 draws3 Olympique Marseille

Goals 5–12 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Brest 2–0 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Marseille 3–0 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Marseille 4–1 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Brest 1–5 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Brest 1–0 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Marseille 2–0 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Olympique Marseille 1–2 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Brest 1–1 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Brest 1–4 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Olympique Marseille 1–2 Brest neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricBrest all · 34Brest at home · 17Olympique Marseille all · 34Olympique Marseille away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.151.531.741.29
W / D / L10 / 9 / 157 / 5 / 518 / 5 / 117 / 1 / 9
Goals for / match1.261.651.851.29
Goals against / match1.621.351.321.47
Clean sheets26%41%26%24%
Failed to score32%24%24%41%
Both teams scored47%47%50%35%
Over 2.550%47%62%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.291.681.701.61
xG against / match1.541.421.201.35
xG difference-0.250.250.490.25
Finishing vs xG-0.03-0.030.16-0.31
xPts / match1.281.611.691.55
Points vs xPts-0.13-0.080.04-0.26
Game state
Scored first47%59%59%47%
PPG when scoring first1.942.302.402.38
PPG when conceding first0.380.200.790.33
Came back from behind21%17%31%10%
Leads held56%70%72%78%
Minutes leading24%33%38%28%
Minutes level44%43%41%43%
Minutes trailing32%24%21%29%
First goal (min)35263638
First goal conceded (min)33274647
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%50%59%54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half51%39%69%68%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.240.500.29
Late goals against0.320.180.440.29
Style
Possession43%44%57%56%
Shots11.213.915.114.4
On target3.54.55.75.1
Shot conversion11%12%12%9%
Shots inside box63%63%64%64%
Big chances created2.23.03.02.6
Corners3.94.65.24.8
xG from set plays36%33%26%26%
Goals from headers21%25%10%4%
Pressure index8.110.217.615.8
Dominant minutes36.740.758.355.6
Pass accuracy78%78%87%87%
Fouls12.712.612.712.5
Cards1.851.762.532.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Brest

0–15'98
16–30'612
31–45'77
46–60'86
61–75'511
76–90'811

Olympique Marseille

0–15'95
16–30'106
31–45'73
46–60'1010
61–75'106
76–90'1715

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Brest · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: when level +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.184
Early press (0-15, level)+0.434
Late push (76+, level)+1.122
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.012

Game state

When ahead-0.192
When level+0.654
When behind-0.073
10 min after conceding-0.204
10 min after scoring+0.453

Situations

At home+0.142
Away+0.212
4+ days rest+0.184

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.212
Evenly matched+0.313

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.124
Conceded when ahead+0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.204

Ahead vs level -0.84 · Behind vs level -0.72

Olympique Marseille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.56

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.105
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.064

Game state

When level+0.245
When behind-0.024
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.563

Situations

At home+0.282
Away-0.033
4+ days rest+0.105

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.173
As favourite+0.282
As underdog-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.065
Conceded late (76+)-0.325

Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level -0.27

Brest

Current: winless 1 · conceding 13

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 71%1.421.381.421.351.38
4-3-35 15%0.21.02.21.512.04
4-1-4-12 6%0.51.53.50.512.69
3-4-31 3%0.00.01.00.271.95
4-2-2-21 3%0.00.02.00.90.43

Olympique Marseille

Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%2.172.441.171.91.23
3-4-2-19 26%1.441.671.441.521.09
3-4-1-22 6%1.51.01.01.310.95
3-2-4-11 3%0.00.01.02.280.97
3-5-1-11 3%1.01.01.01.811.38

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 28.9h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.9Home 12% P 24%3.75Draw 12% P 25%1.85Away 25% P 51%3.6Empate 13%1.9Marselha 25%3.6Tie 13%

Double Chance

1.9Brest or Draw 9% P 25%1.25Brest or Marseille 14% P 38%1.9Brest or Tie 9% P 38%1.25Tie or Marseille 14% P 38%1.25Draw or Marseille 14% P 38%1.83Brest ou Empate 10%1.28Brest ou Marselha 14%1.25Empate ou Marselha 14%

Draw No Bet

3.01 19%1.362 41%1.4Marselha 40%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 29% P 59%2.2No 21% P 41%2.1Não 22%1.66Sim 28%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 28% P 57%2.2Under 21% P 43%1.72Mais de 27%2.1Menos de 23%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 9%2.756 - 8 27%2.629 - 11 28%5.012 - 14 15%13.0Over 14 6%13.0Más de 14 6%8.0Menos de 6 9%

Number of Cards

4.52.0Over 23% P 45%1.72Under 27% P 55%2.1Mais de 22%1.66Menos de 28%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 22.5–25% · away 50–52.5% · 348 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home24%24%27%+3.4
Draw25%25%29%+3.7
Away51%51%44%-7.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 54%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes59%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.557%56%56%-0.2

Romain Lissorgue

Career
60 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.05 (3.7 yellow · 0.25 red)
Fouls / match
26.0 · 6.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.42
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 54 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.24.06+0.2264
Fouls / match26.324.3+1.12
Fouls per card6.46.0+0.46 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.460.36+0.9692
Time added7.16.7+0.3764
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 24% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.43

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-01 30 250 34'5
2026-01-18 · Brest 21 270 19'9
2025-12-13 30 200 16'10
2025-11-30 30 180 27'10
2025-11-08 60 280 22'8
2025-09-13 91 310 38'10
2025-08-30 60 321 28'10
2025-08-16 50 330 34'9
2025-07-15 61 260 34'4
2025-05-04 · Brest 30 320 13'12