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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 23
NantesNantes
2–0
FT
Le HavreLe Havre

Momentum

– NantesLe Havre –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
23

Venue

Stadium
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau, Nantes
Capacity
37,473
Surface
grass
Attendance
23,341

Teams

Coaches
Ahmed Kantari · Didier Digard
Position
17 · 13
Formation
3-5-2 · 4-3-3

Referee

Jérémie Pignard

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
11.7° (feels 11.3°)
Wind
5.1
Humidity
92%

Where to watch · 191

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Nantes

LLLLL 0W 0D 5L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 12 · xG 5.26–5.4 · xPts 6.59

  • L A Monaco 1–3 xG 1.27–1.81 FRA L1
  • L H Olympique Lyonnais 0–1 xG 1.04–1.17 FRA L1
  • L A Lorient 1–2 xG 0.9–0.62 FRA L1
  • L H Nice 1–4 xG 1.7–1.21 FRA L1
  • L H Paris 1–2 xG 0.36–0.58 FRA L1

Le Havre

DDLWW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 4 · xG 2.76–7.65 · xPts 3.77

  • W H Toulouse 2–1 xG 0.55–2.29 FRA L1
  • W H Strasbourg 2–1 xG 0.99–0.48 FRA L1
  • L A Lens 0–1 xG 0.54–2.07 FRA L1
  • D H Monaco 0–0 xG 0.24–0.64 FRA L1
  • D A Rennes 1–1 xG 0.43–2.18 FRA L1

All meetings · 8 matches since 2008

Nantes 32 draws3 Le Havre

Goals 9–8 · 2.13 per match · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 25%

Last 10 · 8 matches

Nantes 32 draws3 Le Havre

Goals 9–8 · 2.13 per match · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 25%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Nantes 21 draws2 Le Havre

Goals 6–6 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • W Nantes 2–0 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Le Havre 1–1 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Le Havre 3–2 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nantes 0–2 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Le Havre 0–1 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nantes 0–0 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nantes 1–2 Le Havre neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Le Havre 0–2 Nantes neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricNantes all · 33Nantes at home · 16Le Havre all · 34Le Havre away · 17
Results
Matches33163417
Points per game0.700.751.030.71
W / D / L5 / 8 / 203 / 3 / 107 / 14 / 132 / 6 / 9
Goals for / match0.881.130.940.71
Goals against / match1.581.691.291.53
Clean sheets21%19%24%24%
Failed to score42%31%41%47%
Both teams scored46%50%50%41%
Over 2.546%44%32%24%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.101.221.181.03
xG against / match1.491.401.531.90
xG difference-0.38-0.19-0.36-0.87
Finishing vs xG-0.22-0.09-0.24-0.32
xPts / match1.131.271.190.88
Points vs xPts-0.44-0.52-0.16-0.17
Game state
Scored first27%31%35%35%
PPG when scoring first2.002.002.081.50
PPG when conceding first0.100.180.290.11
Came back from behind9%17%28%10%
Leads held56%60%58%33%
Minutes leading19%25%14%10%
Minutes level50%40%60%62%
Minutes trailing30%36%26%28%
First goal (min)37354143
First goal conceded (min)43393843
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half45%50%56%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%52%48%58%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.190.180.12
Late goals against0.580.630.260.41
Style
Possession42%44%47%47%
Shots11.312.110.99.9
On target3.33.53.63.4
Shot conversion8%9%9%7%
Shots inside box65%63%62%62%
Big chances created1.82.12.01.7
Corners3.74.04.33.7
xG from set plays36%34%31%23%
Goals from headers14%11%19%25%
Pressure index8.28.39.97.2
Dominant minutes36.237.343.936.4
Pass accuracy78%78%80%80%
Fouls12.712.513.713.9
Cards2.122.062.032.12

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Nantes

0–15'66
16–30'18
31–45'98
46–60'57
61–75'34
76–90'519

Le Havre

0–15'46
16–30'46
31–45'611
46–60'56
61–75'76
76–90'69

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Nantes

No pressure profile yet.

Le Havre · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: at home +0.15

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.144
Early press (0-15, level)-0.064
Late push (76+, level)-0.302
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.102

Game state

When level+0.084
When behind+0.212
10 min after conceding+0.113
10 min after scoring+0.212

Situations

At home+0.153
4+ days rest+0.144

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.102
Evenly matched+0.182
As underdog+0.102

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.054
Conceded late (76+)-0.364

Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level +0.12

Nantes

Current: winless 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-310 30%0.91.22.11.081.94
4-1-4-110 30%0.50.51.10.91.38
5-3-23 9%0.00.01.670.771.19
3-4-2-13 9%0.00.672.01.071.2
4-2-3-12 6%1.52.01.02.41.5

Le Havre

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-37 21%0.860.571.141.231.31
4-1-3-26 18%1.00.671.171.361.68
4-1-4-15 15%0.61.01.61.221.26
4-2-3-15 15%1.21.61.41.511.35
3-4-1-24 12%0.750.751.01.191.9

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 73.1h before kick-off · stale. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.3Home 32% P 40%3.3Draw 22% P 28%3.1Away 24% P 31%3.3Tie 22%

Double Chance

1.36Nantes or Draw 21% P 34%1.33Nantes or Le Havre 21% P 36%1.36Nantes or Tie 21% P 36%1.53Tie or Le Havre 19% P 36%1.53Draw or Le Havre 19% P 30%

Draw No Bet

1.661 56%2.12 44%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 25% P 50%1.9No 25% P 50%1.95Não 24%1.8Sim 26%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 21% P 44%1.66Under 28% P 56%2.1Mais de 23%1.72Menos de 27%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 8%3.06 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 28%4.512 - 14 17%11.0Over 14 7%9.0Moins de 6 8%11.0Plus de 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.51.61Over 58% P 49%2.2Under 42% P 51%
5.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 30–32.5% · 701 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home40%41%41%-0.1
Draw28%28%26%-1.9
Away31%31%33%+2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes50%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Jérémie Pignard

Career
139 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
4.65 (4.34 yellow · 0.19 red)
Fouls / match
22.8 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.4
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 89 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.734.06+1.3192
Fouls / match23.224.3-0.51
Fouls per card4.96.0-1.54 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.510.36+1.3796
Time added6.16.7-0.3524
First card
31' on average
Card timing
20% in first 30' · 26% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.24

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-07 61 300 32'8
2026-01-31 50 272 43'8
2026-01-18 50 241 25'6
2025-12-14 74 311 17'9
2025-12-11 50 170 7'6
2025-11-21 40 190 14'6
2025-11-02 40 181 26'4
2025-10-25 20 201 8'12
2025-10-05 · Le Havre 30 221 34'5
2025-10-02 70 170 20'6