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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 23
NiceNice
3–3
FT
LorientLorient

Momentum

– NiceLorient –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
23

Venue

Stadium
Allianz Riviera, Nice
Capacity
36,178
Surface
grass
Attendance
18,083

Teams

Coaches
Claude Puel · Olivier Pantaloni
Position
15 · 10
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Jeremy Stinat

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
13.4° (feels 12.9°)
Wind
1.0
Humidity
83%

Where to watch · 192

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Nice

WLDDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 5.52–6.97 · xPts 5.81

  • L A Olympique Lyonnais 0–2 xG 1.44–1.31 FRA L1
  • D H Monaco 0–0 xG 0.78–1.19 FRA L1
  • D H Brest 2–2 xG 1.1–1.65 FRA L1
  • L A Ludogorets 0–1 xG 0.99–1.13 UEFA EL
  • W A Nantes 4–1 xG 1.21–1.7 FRA L1

Lorient

WWWLW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 4 · xG 4.87–7.19 · xPts 5.4

  • W H Angers SCO 2–0 xG 1.28–0.77 FRA L1
  • L A Brest 0–2 xG 0.69–2.0 FRA L1
  • W H Nantes 2–1 xG 0.62–0.9 FRA L1
  • W A Rennes 2–0 xG 1.2–2.32 FRA L1
  • W A Monaco 3–1 xG 1.07–1.21 FRA L1

All meetings · 33 matches since 2006

Nice 1412 draws7 Lorient

Goals 42–32 · 2.24 per match · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 46%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Nice 35 draws2 Lorient

Goals 14–12 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Nice 13 draws1 Lorient

Goals 8–7 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Nice 0–0 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nice 3–3 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lorient 3–1 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nice 3–0 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Lorient 1–1 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nice 1–1 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lorient 1–2 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nice 2–1 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lorient 1–0 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Lorient 1–1 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricNice all · 34Nice at home · 17Lorient all · 34Lorient away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.941.181.320.88
W / D / L7 / 11 / 164 / 8 / 511 / 12 / 113 / 6 / 8
Goals for / match1.091.121.411.00
Goals against / match1.761.591.501.53
Clean sheets18%24%21%18%
Failed to score32%35%29%53%
Both teams scored59%53%53%35%
Over 2.550%41%44%35%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.241.381.351.08
xG against / match1.711.651.381.57
xG difference-0.47-0.27-0.03-0.49
Finishing vs xG-0.15-0.260.07-0.08
xPts / match1.121.261.341.07
Points vs xPts-0.18-0.09-0.01-0.18
Game state
Scored first38%35%47%29%
PPG when scoring first1.852.332.192.20
PPG when conceding first0.280.440.530.27
Came back from behind24%44%42%27%
Leads held54%67%65%60%
Minutes leading20%25%26%16%
Minutes level48%49%49%48%
Minutes trailing32%26%25%36%
First goal (min)42423738
First goal conceded (min)38384542
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%58%58%65%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%52%67%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.210.180.380.53
Late goals against0.350.410.470.41
Style
Possession46%46%45%45%
Shots11.213.011.310.7
On target3.94.43.93.5
Shot conversion10%9%12%9%
Shots inside box65%63%63%61%
Big chances created2.73.22.01.5
Corners5.15.53.53.8
xG from set plays27%27%33%30%
Goals from headers11%16%6%0%
Pressure index9.09.610.19.6
Dominant minutes40.942.642.842.1
Pass accuracy82%82%84%84%
Fouls12.412.29.59.5
Cards2.122.001.681.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Nice

0–15'59
16–30'67
31–45'813
46–60'79
61–75'410
76–90'712

Lorient

0–15'46
16–30'76
31–45'95
46–60'811
61–75'77
76–90'1316

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Nice · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: when behind +0.40

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.254
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)-0.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.092

Game state

When level+0.174
When behind+0.403
10 min after conceding+0.023

Situations

At home+0.252
Away+0.242
4+ days rest+0.254

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.432
v bottom-tier opponents+0.082
Evenly matched+0.272

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.204
Conceded late (76+)-0.084

Behind vs level +0.23

Lorient · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.96

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.124
Early press (0-15, level)+0.374
Late push (76+, level)-0.152

Game state

When ahead-0.322
When level-0.144
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.963

Situations

At home-0.072
Away-0.182
4+ days rest-0.124

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.022
Evenly matched-0.232

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.214
Conceded when ahead+0.162
Conceded late (76+)-0.064

Ahead vs level -0.18 · Behind vs level +0.28

Nice

Current: winless 12 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 21%0.861.291.861.331.64
3-4-2-16 18%1.171.01.51.611.26
5-4-15 15%0.60.61.00.891.23
3-4-1-24 12%1.751.51.00.951.66
3-5-23 9%0.330.671.671.421.86

Lorient

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-128 82%1.291.391.681.371.46
3-4-34 12%1.751.750.51.680.99
5-4-12 6%1.01.01.00.410.96

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.9h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.15Home 44% P 44%3.4Draw 28% P 28%3.4Away 28% P 28%

Double Chance

1.33Nice or Draw 22% P 36%1.3Nice or Lorient 22% P 36%1.3Nice or Tie 22% P 36%1.7Tie or Lorient 17% P 36%1.66Draw or Lorient 17% P 28%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.7Yes 55% P 53%2.05No 45% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 47%1.9Under 50% P 53%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home44%44%43%-0.3
Draw28%28%30%+2.4
Away28%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.547%46%45%-1.2

Jeremy Stinat

Career
134 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
4.1 (3.85 yellow · 0.16 red)
Fouls / match
25.3 · 6.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 90 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.14.06+0.0160
Fouls / match24.324.3+0.08
Fouls per card6.16.0+0.05 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.30.36-0.6020
Time added7.26.7+0.4472
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.18

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-30 30 300 49'13
2026-01-04 50 250 13'7
2025-11-28 –– 17– –7
2025-11-02 30 260 58'6
2025-10-29 82 340 25'11
2025-10-18 40 290 1'8
2025-09-14 61 221 23'11
2025-08-31 21 121 45'9
2025-08-23 · Nice 41 250 34'10
2025-05-10 · Nice 20 180 45'12