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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 24
RennesRennes
1–0
FT
ToulouseToulouse

Momentum

– RennesToulouse –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
24

Venue

Stadium
Roazhon Park, Rennes
Capacity
29,778
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Franck Haise · Carles Martínez Novell
Position
6 · 10
Formation
4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Stéphanie Frappart

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
11.0° (feels 10.0°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
71%

Where to watch · 197

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Rennes

LLLWW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 10 · xG 6.94–8.88 · xPts 6.07

  • W A Auxerre 3–0 xG 1.11–0.79 FRA L1
  • W H Paris Saint Germain 3–1 xG 1.59–3.67 FRA L1
  • L A Lens 1–3 xG 1.18–1.28 FRA L1
  • L A Monaco 0–4 xG 0.74–1.92 FRA L1
  • L H Lorient 0–2 xG 2.32–1.2 FRA L1

Toulouse

WDLLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 4 · xG 6.82–4.01 · xPts 8.15

  • D H Paris 1–1 xG 2.65–0.59 FRA L1
  • L A Le Havre 1–2 xG 2.29–0.55 FRA L1
  • L A Angers SCO 0–1 xG 0.66–1.12 FRA L1
  • D H Auxerre 0–0 xG 0.78–0.85 FRA L1
  • W A Brest 2–0 xG 0.43–0.9 FRA L1

All meetings · 38 matches since 2005

Rennes 179 draws12 Toulouse

Goals 59–46 · 2.76 per match · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 60%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Rennes 42 draws4 Toulouse

Goals 13–14 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Rennes 11 draws3 Toulouse

Goals 5–8 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Rennes 1–0 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Toulouse 2–2 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Toulouse 2–1 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Rennes 0–2 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Rennes 1–2 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Toulouse 0–0 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Toulouse 3–1 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Rennes 2–1 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Toulouse 0–2 Rennes neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Rennes 3–2 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricRennes all · 34Rennes at home · 17Toulouse all · 33Toulouse away · 16
Results
Matches34173316
Points per game1.742.001.331.25
W / D / L17 / 8 / 910 / 4 / 312 / 8 / 136 / 2 / 8
Goals for / match1.741.761.421.38
Goals against / match1.471.001.391.38
Clean sheets29%24%27%19%
Failed to score18%18%30%25%
Both teams scored59%71%48%56%
Over 2.571%65%54%56%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.561.711.381.11
xG against / match1.541.341.261.38
xG difference0.020.370.12-0.26
Finishing vs xG0.180.050.040.26
xPts / match1.431.651.471.24
Points vs xPts0.310.35-0.130.01
Game state
Scored first56%41%39%44%
PPG when scoring first2.263.002.381.86
PPG when conceding first1.081.380.610.78
Came back from behind40%62%38%33%
Leads held71%91%80%67%
Minutes leading36%31%24%24%
Minutes level41%46%45%47%
Minutes trailing23%23%31%29%
First goal (min)37434141
First goal conceded (min)40424044
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%63%57%41%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%53%52%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.530.480.38
Late goals against0.290.180.300.38
Style
Possession54%54%42%41%
Shots14.115.812.810.9
On target5.05.44.33.8
Shot conversion12%11%11%13%
Shots inside box62%60%65%60%
Big chances created2.42.81.91.7
Corners6.06.54.53.8
xG from set plays29%29%38%36%
Goals from headers19%32%15%23%
Pressure index14.115.58.67.6
Dominant minutes51.952.538.235.5
Pass accuracy84%84%80%79%
Fouls12.312.914.414.8
Cards1.821.592.583.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Rennes

0–15'78
16–30'151
31–45'510
46–60'1211
61–75'810
76–90'1210

Toulouse

0–15'95
16–30'49
31–45'78
46–60'58
61–75'66
76–90'1610

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Rennes · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.27) · stands out: when level +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.275
Early press (0-15, level)+0.245
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.014
When level+0.555
10 min after conceding-0.423
10 min after scoring-0.024

Situations

At home-0.123
Away+0.832
4+ days rest+0.275

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.252
v bottom-tier opponents+0.142
As favourite+0.444

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.105
Conceded when ahead+0.174
Conceded late (76+)-0.155

Ahead vs level -0.54

Toulouse · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.20) · stands out: when level +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.204
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)+0.262
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.182

Game state

When level+0.354
When behind+0.033
10 min after conceding-0.264
10 min after scoring+0.392

Situations

At home+0.422
Away-0.012
4+ days rest+0.204

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.422
v mid-tier opponents-0.012
Evenly matched+0.063

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.044
Conceded late (76+)+0.104

Ahead vs level -0.73 · Behind vs level -0.32

Rennes

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-218 53%1.51.561.721.41.61
4-4-26 18%2.02.331.832.01.29
4-3-35 15%2.01.60.61.471.07
4-2-3-12 6%3.03.00.51.352.23
4-1-4-11 3%0.01.03.02.532.87

Toulouse

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 10

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-123 70%1.01.041.391.251.2
3-4-39 27%2.332.220.891.611.24
5-4-11 3%0.03.06.02.362.75

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.7h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.95Home 48% P 47%3.6Draw 26% P 27%3.7Away 25% P 25%

Double Chance

1.25Rennes or Draw 23% P 37%1.36Rennes or Tie 21% P 36%1.28Rennes or Toulouse 23% P 36%1.61Tie or Toulouse 18% P 36%1.9Draw or Toulouse 15% P 26%

Draw No Bet

1.41 66%2.752 34%

Both Teams To Score

1.7Yes 55% P 56%2.05No 45% P 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 52%1.9Under 50% P 48%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.51.9Over 49%1.8Under 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 25–27.5% · 853 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home47%46%44%-1.8
Draw27%28%30%+1.8
Away25%26%26%+0.0

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes56%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.552%51%51%-0.1

Stéphanie Frappart

Career
125 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
4.19 (3.99 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
24.5 · 5.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 76 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.214.06+0.2468
Fouls / match24.724.3+0.29
Fouls per card6.06.0+0.00 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.250.36-1.0812
Time added6.76.7+0.0840
First card
28' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 27% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.1

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-15 –– 15– –7
2026-02-01 80 361 13'10
2026-01-18 · Rennes 50 320 33'13
2025-12-12 30 301 24'8
2025-12-06 · Toulouse 60 340 28'5
2025-11-09 60 311 21'8
2025-10-25 60 211 22'8
2025-09-21 10 211 43'10
2025-08-30 40 240 43'7
2025-05-17 40 231 12'7