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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 24

Momentum

Le HavrePSG
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
24

Venue

Stadium
Stade Océane, Le Havre
Capacity
25,181
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Didier Digard · Luis Enrique
Position
13 · 1
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Marc Bollengier

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
7.5° (feels 5.2°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
81%

Where to watch · 336

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Le Havre

DLWWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 5 · xG 3.09–6.98 · xPts 4.26

  • L A Nantes 0–2 xG 0.77–1.51 FRA L1
  • W H Toulouse 2–1 xG 0.55–2.29 FRA L1
  • W H Strasbourg 2–1 xG 0.99–0.48 FRA L1
  • L A Lens 0–1 xG 0.54–2.07 FRA L1
  • D H Monaco 0–0 xG 0.24–0.64 FRA L1

Paris Saint Germain

WLWWD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 14 GA 7 · xG 13.93–4.53 · xPts 12.05

  • D H Monaco 2–2 xG 1.88–1.3 UEFA CL
  • W H Metz 3–0 xG 2.08–0.11 FRA L1
  • W A Monaco 3–2 xG 3.27–0.7 UEFA CL
  • L A Rennes 1–3 xG 3.67–1.59 FRA L1
  • W H Olympique Marseille 5–0 xG 3.03–0.84 FRA L1

All meetings · 8 matches since 2008

Le Havre 01 draws7 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 6–21 · 3.38 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 75%

Last 10 · 8 matches

Le Havre 01 draws7 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 6–21 · 3.38 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 75%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Le Havre 01 draws4 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 5–13 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Le Havre 0–1 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 3–0 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 2–1 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Le Havre 1–4 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Paris Saint Germain 3–3 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Le Havre 0–2 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 3–0 Le Havre neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Le Havre 1–3 Paris Saint Germain neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricLe Havre all · 34Le Havre at home · 17Paris Saint Germain all · 34Paris Saint Germain away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.031.352.242.06
W / D / L7 / 14 / 135 / 8 / 424 / 4 / 611 / 2 / 4
Goals for / match0.941.182.181.94
Goals against / match1.291.060.851.00
Clean sheets24%24%53%41%
Failed to score41%35%6%12%
Both teams scored50%59%41%47%
Over 2.532%41%62%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.331.991.74
xG against / match1.531.170.981.16
xG difference-0.360.161.010.58
Finishing vs xG-0.24-0.150.180.20
xPts / match1.191.501.991.74
Points vs xPts-0.16-0.150.250.32
Game state
Scored first35%35%85%82%
PPG when scoring first2.082.672.622.50
PPG when conceding first0.290.500.000.00
Came back from behind28%50%14%0%
Leads held58%83%83%79%
Minutes leading14%18%44%37%
Minutes level60%58%45%52%
Minutes trailing26%24%11%11%
First goal (min)41393841
First goal conceded (min)38343846
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%55%55%52%
Goals conceded in 2nd half48%33%55%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.240.530.47
Late goals against0.260.120.240.41
Style
Possession47%47%69%68%
Shots10.912.017.715.2
On target3.63.96.76.4
Shot conversion9%10%12%13%
Shots inside box62%62%63%66%
Big chances created2.02.23.73.8
Corners4.34.86.45.2
xG from set plays31%38%29%26%
Goals from headers19%15%15%18%
Pressure index9.912.627.424.6
Dominant minutes43.951.473.068.8
Pass accuracy80%81%91%91%
Fouls13.713.49.18.6
Cards2.031.941.181.12

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Le Havre

0–15'46
16–30'46
31–45'611
46–60'56
61–75'76
76–90'69

Paris Saint Germain

0–15'113
16–30'76
31–45'154
46–60'115
61–75'123
76–90'188

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Le Havre · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: at home +0.15

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.144
Early press (0-15, level)-0.064
Late push (76+, level)-0.302
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.102

Game state

When level+0.084
When behind+0.212
10 min after conceding+0.113
10 min after scoring+0.212

Situations

At home+0.153
4+ days rest+0.144

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.102
Evenly matched+0.182
As underdog+0.102

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.054
Conceded late (76+)-0.364

Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level +0.12

Paris Saint Germain · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.475
Early press (0-15, level)+0.635
Late push (76+, level)-0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.203

Game state

When ahead+0.283
When level+0.405
When behind+0.673
10 min after conceding+0.143
10 min after scoring+0.675

Situations

At home+0.582
Away+0.433
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.232
v mid-tier opponents+0.472
As favourite+0.475

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.315
Conceded when ahead-0.223
Conceded late (76+)-0.424

Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level +0.26

Le Havre

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-37 21%0.860.571.141.231.31
4-1-3-26 18%1.00.671.171.361.68
4-2-3-15 15%1.21.61.41.511.35
4-1-4-15 15%0.61.01.61.221.26
3-4-1-24 12%0.750.751.01.191.9

Paris Saint Germain

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 36 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-333 97%2.32.240.852.030.97
3-5-21 3%0.00.01.00.661.17

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.3h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

8.5Home 9% P 10%5.75Draw 14% P 16%1.3Away 61% P 75%5.25Tie 15%

Double Chance

3.5Le Havre or Draw 9% P 13%1.12Le Havre or PSG 27% P 42%3.5Le Havre or Tie 9% P 42%1.07Tie or PSG 28% P 42%1.08Draw or PSG 28% P 45%

Draw No Bet

7.01 14%1.12 86%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 34% P 47%1.95No 32% P 53%1.834%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.44Over 33% P 61%2.75Under 17% P 39%1.44Más de 33%2.75Menos de 17%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

2.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%
3.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 7.5–10% · away 72.5–75% · 152 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home10%9%7%-2.5
Draw16%17%18%+0.7
Away75%74%76%+1.8

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 56%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes47%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.561%61%63%+1.5

Marc Bollengier

Career
69 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
3.99 (3.7 yellow · 0.16 red)
Fouls / match
25.9 · 6.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.43
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 68 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.04.06-0.1944
Fouls / match25.924.3+0.92
Fouls per card6.66.0+0.75 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.440.36+0.7580
Time added6.76.7+0.0840
First card
37' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.24

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-15 40 250 6'5
2026-01-24 · Le Havre 30 290 21'8
2026-01-04 52 371 26'10
2025-12-14 · Le Havre 60 321 24'8
2025-12-06 · Paris Saint Germain 31 140 53'6
2025-11-23 40 300 29'6
2025-10-26 70 350 29'8
2025-10-19 50 251 51'8
2025-09-21 71 321 35'9
2025-08-31 40 200 24'7