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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 24
LOSC LilleLOSC Lille
1–0
FT
NantesNantes

Momentum

– LOSC LilleNantes –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
24

Venue

Stadium
Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
Capacity
50,186
Surface
grass
Attendance
39,161

Teams

Coaches
Bruno Génésio · Ahmed Kantari
Position
6 · 17
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 5-3-2

Referee

Thomas Léonard

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
11.1° (feels 10.1°)
Wind
6.7
Humidity
72%

Where to watch · 197

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

LOSC Lille

DDLWW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 2 · xG 7.87–4.36 · xPts 9.09

  • W A Crvena Zvezda 2–0 aet xG 1.26–1.07 UEFA EL
  • W A Angers SCO 1–0 xG 2.19–0.5 FRA L1
  • L H Crvena Zvezda 0–1 xG 0.58–1.34 UEFA EL
  • D H Brest 1–1 xG 1.89–0.92 FRA L1
  • D A Metz 0–0 xG 1.94–0.52 FRA L1

Nantes

LLLLW 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 10 · xG 6.41–5.59 · xPts 7.45

  • W H Le Havre 2–0 xG 1.51–0.77 FRA L1
  • L A Monaco 1–3 xG 1.27–1.81 FRA L1
  • L H Olympique Lyonnais 0–1 xG 1.04–1.17 FRA L1
  • L A Lorient 1–2 xG 0.9–0.62 FRA L1
  • L H Nice 1–4 xG 1.7–1.21 FRA L1

All meetings · 32 matches since 2005

LOSC Lille 2010 draws2 Nantes

Goals 48–16 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 28%

Last 10 · 10 matches

LOSC Lille 63 draws1 Nantes

Goals 13–6 · 1.9 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 20%

Last 5 · 5 matches

LOSC Lille 31 draws1 Nantes

Goals 6–3 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • W LOSC Lille 1–0 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nantes 0–2 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nantes 1–0 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D LOSC Lille 1–1 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nantes 1–2 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W LOSC Lille 2–0 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W LOSC Lille 2–1 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nantes 1–1 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nantes 0–1 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D LOSC Lille 1–1 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricLOSC Lille all · 34LOSC Lille at home · 17Nantes all · 33Nantes away · 17
Results
Matches34173317
Points per game1.791.710.700.65
W / D / L18 / 7 / 98 / 5 / 45 / 8 / 202 / 5 / 10
Goals for / match1.531.410.880.65
Goals against / match1.091.001.581.47
Clean sheets38%35%21%24%
Failed to score29%24%42%53%
Both teams scored38%47%46%41%
Over 2.538%29%46%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.581.711.100.99
xG against / match1.040.891.491.56
xG difference0.540.83-0.38-0.57
Finishing vs xG-0.05-0.30-0.22-0.35
xPts / match1.711.891.131.00
Points vs xPts0.09-0.18-0.44-0.36
Game state
Scored first53%47%27%24%
PPG when scoring first2.672.502.002.00
PPG when conceding first0.791.000.100.00
Came back from behind40%50%9%0%
Leads held86%80%56%50%
Minutes leading26%18%19%14%
Minutes level52%59%50%61%
Minutes trailing22%22%30%25%
First goal (min)48603740
First goal conceded (min)44474346
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half71%71%45%36%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%65%58%64%
Late goals for (76'+)0.680.650.150.12
Late goals against0.210.240.580.53
Style
Possession56%57%42%40%
Shots13.614.811.310.6
On target4.64.83.33.1
Shot conversion11%10%8%6%
Shots inside box70%73%65%67%
Big chances created2.83.11.81.5
Corners5.76.43.73.4
xG from set plays30%30%36%38%
Goals from headers10%8%14%18%
Pressure index15.215.88.28.1
Dominant minutes61.463.036.235.1
Pass accuracy85%85%78%78%
Fouls10.710.512.712.9
Cards2.412.062.122.18

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

LOSC Lille

0–15'53
16–30'54
31–45'57
46–60'99
61–75'57
76–90'237

Nantes

0–15'66
16–30'18
31–45'98
46–60'57
61–75'34
76–90'519

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

LOSC Lille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.05) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.055
Early press (0-15, level)+0.255

Game state

When ahead-0.065
When level+0.025
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.385

Situations

At home+0.023
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.182
As favourite+0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.265
Conceded when ahead+0.155
Conceded late (76+)-0.155

Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.26

Nantes

No pressure profile yet.

LOSC Lille

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-129 85%1.931.550.91.580.98
4-3-32 6%0.50.52.00.861.28
4-4-21 3%3.04.02.03.730.93
4-3-1-21 3%1.01.01.00.640.59
5-4-11 3%0.01.04.01.963.0

Nantes

Current: winless 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-310 30%0.91.22.11.081.94
4-1-4-110 30%0.50.51.10.91.38
3-4-2-13 9%0.00.672.01.071.2
5-3-23 9%0.00.01.670.771.19
4-2-3-12 6%1.52.01.02.41.5

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.3h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.5Home 63% P 64%4.2Draw 22% P 22%6.5Away 15% P 14%

Double Chance

1.12Lille or Draw 26% P 43%1.22Lille or Nantes 24% P 39%1.1Lille or Tie 27% P 39%2.62Tie or Nantes 11% P 39%2.37Draw or Nantes 12% P 18%

Draw No Bet

1.181 79%4.52 21%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50% P 47%1.9No 50% P 53%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 51%2.0Under 47% P 49%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 62.5–65% · away 12.5–15% · 544 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home64%64%63%-0.9
Draw22%22%24%+2.1
Away14%14%13%-1.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 55%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes47%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

Thomas Léonard

Career
156 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.08 (3.84 yellow · 0.18 red)
Fouls / match
24.6 · 6.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 88 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.924.06-0.3432
Fouls / match24.524.3+0.17
Fouls per card6.26.0+0.28 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.320.36-0.4332
Time added6.86.7+0.1648
First card
35' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.29

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-15 40 280 21'7
2026-01-25 20 210 25'8
2025-12-05 61 320 10'8
2025-11-23 40 211 20'5
2025-11-02 20 240 83'7
2025-10-29 30 180 3'12
2025-10-19 · LOSC Lille · Nantes 50 190 21'9
2025-10-05 40 300 51'6
2025-09-27 30 270 24'10
2025-09-12 51 231 10'9