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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 24
MetzMetz
0–1
FT
BrestBrest

Momentum

– MetzBrest –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
24

Venue

Stadium
Stade Saint-Symphorien, Longeville-lès-Metz
Capacity
28,786
Surface
grass
Attendance
19,705

Teams

Coaches
Benoit Tavenot · Eric Roy
Position
18 · 11
Formation
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Jeremy Stinat

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
8.5° (feels 6.3°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
76%

Where to watch · 190

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Metz

LLDLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 3 GA 12 · xG 3.32–9.13 · xPts 3.16

  • L A Paris Saint Germain 0–3 xG 0.11–2.08 FRA L1
  • L H Auxerre 1–3 xG 0.89–1.26 FRA L1
  • D H LOSC Lille 0–0 xG 0.52–1.94 FRA L1
  • L A Angers SCO 0–1 xG 0.53–1.41 FRA L1
  • L H Olympique Lyonnais 2–5 xG 1.27–2.45 FRA L1

Brest

LDWDW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 5 · xG 6.3–5.77 · xPts 7.29

  • W H Olympique Marseille 2–0 xG 0.83–1.67 FRA L1
  • D A LOSC Lille 1–1 xG 0.92–1.89 FRA L1
  • W H Lorient 2–0 xG 2.0–0.69 FRA L1
  • D A Nice 2–2 xG 1.65–1.1 FRA L1
  • L H Toulouse 0–2 xG 0.9–0.43 FRA L1

All meetings · 9 matches since 2019

Metz 20 draws7 Brest

Goals 11–17 · 3.11 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 9 matches

Metz 20 draws7 Brest

Goals 11–17 · 3.11 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 44%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Metz 00 draws5 Brest

Goals 5–10 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Metz 0–1 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Brest 3–2 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Brest 4–3 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Metz 0–1 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Metz 0–1 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Brest 1–2 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Brest 2–4 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Metz 0–2 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Brest 2–0 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricMetz all · 34Metz at home · 17Brest all · 34Brest away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.500.591.150.76
W / D / L3 / 8 / 232 / 4 / 1110 / 9 / 153 / 4 / 10
Goals for / match0.940.881.260.88
Goals against / match2.241.881.621.88
Clean sheets21%24%26%12%
Failed to score44%47%32%41%
Both teams scored50%47%47%47%
Over 2.562%53%50%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.001.161.290.91
xG against / match1.771.411.541.66
xG difference-0.77-0.25-0.25-0.75
Finishing vs xG-0.06-0.28-0.03-0.02
xPts / match0.931.211.280.95
Points vs xPts-0.43-0.62-0.13-0.19
Game state
Scored first21%18%47%35%
PPG when scoring first1.141.331.941.33
PPG when conceding first0.180.270.380.45
Came back from behind8%8%21%23%
Leads held38%50%56%38%
Minutes leading6%6%24%15%
Minutes level52%58%44%45%
Minutes trailing42%35%32%41%
First goal (min)42483547
First goal conceded (min)31393338
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%60%49%47%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%56%51%59%
Late goals for (76'+)0.320.350.240.24
Late goals against0.710.710.320.47
Style
Possession49%50%43%42%
Shots10.111.811.28.6
On target3.23.83.52.5
Shot conversion9%8%11%10%
Shots inside box62%61%63%63%
Big chances created1.41.82.21.5
Corners4.24.93.93.1
xG from set plays33%31%36%42%
Goals from headers16%13%21%13%
Pressure index8.710.18.16.1
Dominant minutes40.346.836.732.6
Pass accuracy85%86%78%78%
Fouls11.411.512.712.9
Cards1.761.471.851.94

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Metz

0–15'412
16–30'49
31–45'613
46–60'59
61–75'29
76–90'1124

Brest

0–15'98
16–30'612
31–45'77
46–60'86
61–75'511
76–90'811

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Metz

No pressure profile yet.

Brest · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: when level +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.184
Early press (0-15, level)+0.424
Late push (76+, level)+1.122
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.012

Game state

When ahead-0.192
When level+0.654
When behind-0.073
10 min after conceding-0.204
10 min after scoring+0.453

Situations

At home+0.142
Away+0.212
4+ days rest+0.184

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.212
Evenly matched+0.303

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.124
Conceded when ahead+0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.204

Ahead vs level -0.84 · Behind vs level -0.72

Metz

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 22 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-119 56%0.581.112.051.041.7
3-4-2-15 15%0.20.42.60.771.98
4-3-34 12%0.250.753.01.022.05
4-1-4-13 9%1.00.671.331.421.38
5-3-22 6%0.00.02.00.321.82

Brest

Current: winless 1 · conceding 13

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 71%1.421.381.421.351.38
4-3-35 15%0.21.02.21.512.04
4-1-4-12 6%0.51.53.50.512.69
3-4-31 3%0.00.01.00.271.95
4-4-21 3%3.02.00.01.791.34

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.3h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.7Home 26% P 25%3.4Draw 28% P 28%2.05Away 46% P 47%

Double Chance

1.66Metz or Draw 17% P 27%1.33Metz or Brest 22% P 36%1.66Metz or Tie 17% P 36%1.36Tie or Brest 21% P 36%1.33Draw or Brest 22% P 37%

Draw No Bet

2.251 41%1.572 59%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 52%1.95No 48% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 47%1.8Under 53% P 53%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 45–47.5% · 466 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home25%26%26%-0.3
Draw28%28%28%+0.2
Away47%46%46%+0.1

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 51%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.547%46%45%-1.2

Jeremy Stinat

Career
134 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
4.1 (3.85 yellow · 0.16 red)
Fouls / match
25.3 · 6.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 90 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.14.06+0.0260
Fouls / match24.324.3+0.08
Fouls per card6.16.0+0.04 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.30.36-0.6120
Time added7.26.7+0.4472
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.18

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-22 50 191 29'11
2026-01-30 30 300 49'13
2026-01-04 · Brest 50 250 13'7
2025-11-28 · Metz –– 17– –7
2025-11-02 30 260 58'6
2025-10-29 82 340 25'11
2025-10-18 40 290 1'8
2025-09-14 61 221 23'11
2025-08-31 · Metz 21 121 45'9
2025-08-23 41 250 34'10