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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 25

Momentum

PSGMonaco
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
25

Venue

Stadium
Parc des Princes, Paris
Capacity
48,583
Surface
grass
Attendance
46,806

Teams

Coaches
Luis Enrique · Sebastien Pocognoli
Position
1 · 7
Formation
4-3-3 · 3-4-1-2

Referee

Ruddy Buquet

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
12.6° (feels 12.1°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
83%

Where to watch · 350

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Paris Saint Germain

LWWDW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 10 GA 7 · xG 14.2–4.38 · xPts 12.18

  • W A Le Havre 1–0 xG 3.3–0.69 FRA L1
  • D H Monaco 2–2 xG 1.88–1.3 UEFA CL
  • W H Metz 3–0 xG 2.08–0.11 FRA L1
  • W A Monaco 3–2 xG 3.27–0.7 UEFA CL
  • L A Rennes 1–3 xG 3.67–1.59 FRA L1

Monaco

WLWDW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 12 GA 8 · xG 7.13–8.71 · xPts 6.45

  • W H Angers SCO 2–0 xG 1.86–0.63 FRA L1
  • D A Paris Saint Germain 2–2 xG 1.3–1.88 UEFA CL
  • W A Lens 3–2 xG 1.46–1.67 FRA L1
  • L H Paris Saint Germain 2–3 xG 0.7–3.27 UEFA CL
  • W H Nantes 3–1 xG 1.81–1.27 FRA L1

All meetings · 41 matches since 2005

Paris Saint Germain 1415 draws12 Monaco

Goals 70–56 · 3.07 per match · BTTS 66% · over 2.5 54%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Paris Saint Germain 42 draws4 Monaco

Goals 21–18 · 3.9 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Paris Saint Germain 11 draws3 Monaco

Goals 7–10 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Paris Saint Germain 1–2 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 1–3 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Paris Saint Germain 2–2 Monaco UEFA CL · Knockout Round Play-offs · leg 2/2
  • W Monaco 2–3 Paris Saint Germain UEFA CL · Knockout Round Play-offs · leg 1/2
  • L Monaco 1–0 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Paris Saint Germain 4–1 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Monaco 2–4 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Monaco 0–0 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Paris Saint Germain 5–2 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Monaco 3–1 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricParis Saint Germain all · 34Paris Saint Germain at home · 17Monaco all · 34Monaco away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.242.411.591.29
W / D / L24 / 4 / 613 / 2 / 216 / 6 / 126 / 4 / 7
Goals for / match2.182.411.761.59
Goals against / match0.850.711.591.82
Clean sheets53%65%21%12%
Failed to score6%0%21%29%
Both teams scored41%35%65%71%
Over 2.562%71%65%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.992.251.631.50
xG against / match0.980.801.431.65
xG difference1.011.450.20-0.15
Finishing vs xG0.180.160.140.09
xPts / match1.992.241.491.30
Points vs xPts0.250.180.10-0.01
Game state
Scored first85%88%44%35%
PPG when scoring first2.622.732.531.83
PPG when conceding first0.000.000.821.00
Came back from behind14%33%33%30%
Leads held83%87%84%67%
Minutes leading44%50%28%22%
Minutes level45%38%51%54%
Minutes trailing11%12%21%25%
First goal (min)38364347
First goal conceded (min)38254747
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%58%63%63%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%42%61%64%
Late goals for (76'+)0.530.590.350.29
Late goals against0.240.060.410.53
Style
Possession69%69%54%53%
Shots17.720.212.512.9
On target6.77.04.44.4
Shot conversion12%12%14%12%
Shots inside box63%61%73%73%
Big chances created3.73.53.02.8
Corners6.47.55.15.2
xG from set plays29%31%25%24%
Goals from headers15%12%12%11%
Pressure index27.430.312.311.3
Dominant minutes73.077.250.047.4
Pass accuracy91%91%83%83%
Fouls9.19.513.013.2
Cards1.181.242.442.82

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Paris Saint Germain

0–15'113
16–30'76
31–45'154
46–60'115
61–75'123
76–90'188

Monaco

0–15'55
16–30'76
31–45'1010
46–60'127
61–75'1412
76–90'1214

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Paris Saint Germain · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.475
Early press (0-15, level)+0.635
Late push (76+, level)-0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.203

Game state

When ahead+0.283
When level+0.405
When behind+0.673
10 min after conceding+0.143
10 min after scoring+0.675

Situations

At home+0.582
Away+0.433
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.232
v mid-tier opponents+0.472
As favourite+0.475

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.315
Conceded when ahead-0.223
Conceded late (76+)-0.424

Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level +0.26

Monaco · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.00) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.41

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.006
Early press (0-15, level)+0.306

Game state

When ahead-0.165
When level+0.216
When behind+0.122
10 min after conceding-0.413
10 min after scoring+0.236

Situations

At home-0.072
Away+0.024
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest+0.024

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.242
As favourite+0.013
Evenly matched+0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.235
Conceded late (76+)+0.025

Congested vs rested -0.07 · Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level -0.10

Paris Saint Germain

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 36 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-333 97%2.32.240.852.030.97
3-5-21 3%0.00.01.00.661.17

Monaco

Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 41%1.571.641.291.471.31
4-2-3-17 21%1.861.711.141.731.2
3-1-4-23 9%2.03.03.02.472.15
3-4-1-22 6%3.02.51.02.081.55
4-4-22 6%3.03.51.52.121.25

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.4Home 67% P 70%5.25Draw 18% P 17%6.5Away 15% P 13%

Double Chance

1.1PSG or Draw 43% P 43%1.14PSG or Monaco 41% P 42%3.0Draw or Monaco 16% P 15%

Draw No Bet

1.111 85%6.52 15%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61% P 61%2.37No 39% P 39%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.33Over 72% P 70%3.4Under 28% P 30%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.9Over 49%1.8Under 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 67.5–70% · away 12.5–15% · 243 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home70%68%68%-0.1
Draw17%18%18%-0.3
Away13%13%14%+0.4

In those fixtures: 3.4 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 65%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes61%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.570%69%69%+0.6

Ruddy Buquet

Career
355 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
4.37 (4.08 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
20.3 · 3.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 76 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.334.06+0.4880
Fouls / match24.024.3-0.08
Fouls per card5.56.0-0.66 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.350.36-0.0736
Time added7.16.7+0.3764
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.26

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-01 40 210 20'9
2026-02-22 30 231 54'13
2026-01-31 · Monaco 30 240 12'12
2026-01-17 20 170 68'9
2025-12-07 20 231 78'7
2025-11-23 20 340 45'10
2025-10-29 20 270 90'7
2025-10-24 50 230 24'14
2025-09-27 · Monaco 51 211 9'13
2025-09-14 41 310 26'11