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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 25

Momentum

LYOParis
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
25

Venue

Stadium
Groupama Stadium, Décines-Charpieu
Capacity
59,186
Surface
grass
Attendance
42,148

Teams

Coaches
Paulo Rodrigues Fonseca · Antoine Kombouare
Position
4 · 14
Formation
4-1-4-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Eric Wattellier

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
12.3° (feels 11.4°)
Wind
6.2
Humidity
69%

Where to watch · 208

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Olympique Lyonnais

WWWLL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 4.62–7.19 · xPts 5.08

  • L A Olympique Marseille 2–3 xG 1.3–2.05 FRA L1
  • L A Strasbourg 1–3 xG 0.46–2.03 FRA L1
  • W H Nice 2–0 xG 1.31–1.44 FRA L1
  • W A Nantes 1–0 xG 1.17–1.04 FRA L1
  • W H LOSC Lille 1–0 xG 0.39–0.64 FRA L1

Paris

DDLDW 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 8 · xG 4.84–11.27 · xPts 4.04

  • W H Nice 1–0 xG 1.2–1.1 FRA L1
  • D A Toulouse 1–1 xG 0.59–2.65 FRA L1
  • L H Lens 0–5 xG 0.63–4.0 FRA L1
  • D A Auxerre 0–0 xG 1.02–0.9 FRA L1
  • D H Olympique Marseille 2–2 xG 1.4–2.61 FRA L1

All meetings · 3 matches since 2025

Olympique Lyonnais 03 draws0 Paris

Goals 4–4 · 2.67 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 33%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Olympique Lyonnais 03 draws0 Paris

Goals 4–4 · 2.67 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 33%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Olympique Lyonnais 03 draws0 Paris

Goals 4–4 · 2.67 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 33%

Recent meetings

  • D Paris 0–0 Olympique Lyonnais FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Lyonnais 1–1 Paris FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Paris 3–3 Olympique Lyonnais FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricOlympique Lyonnais all · 34Olympique Lyonnais at home · 17Paris all · 34Paris away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.762.181.291.12
W / D / L18 / 6 / 1012 / 1 / 411 / 11 / 124 / 7 / 6
Goals for / match1.561.761.381.12
Goals against / match1.181.061.471.35
Clean sheets44%47%24%24%
Failed to score18%6%26%24%
Both teams scored50%47%62%71%
Over 2.556%59%56%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.541.791.321.12
xG against / match1.391.251.621.64
xG difference0.150.54-0.30-0.52
Finishing vs xG0.02-0.030.060.00
xPts / match1.471.701.251.11
Points vs xPts0.300.480.040.01
Game state
Scored first62%71%41%47%
PPG when scoring first2.332.502.141.75
PPG when conceding first0.781.400.630.33
Came back from behind23%43%33%25%
Leads held78%86%69%50%
Minutes leading36%34%23%21%
Minutes level50%54%49%58%
Minutes trailing14%11%28%20%
First goal (min)37454141
First goal conceded (min)46464047
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%57%55%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%56%58%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.290.410.24
Late goals against0.440.290.380.41
Style
Possession55%56%50%49%
Shots12.313.511.79.9
On target4.74.84.03.4
Shot conversion13%13%12%11%
Shots inside box68%68%67%64%
Big chances created2.73.12.41.9
Corners5.96.54.43.2
xG from set plays26%25%26%21%
Goals from headers17%13%4%0%
Pressure index14.517.910.58.3
Dominant minutes53.458.146.037.5
Pass accuracy85%86%84%84%
Fouls13.013.310.610.4
Cards2.151.822.351.88

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Olympique Lyonnais

0–15'63
16–30'93
31–45'129
46–60'105
61–75'75
76–90'915

Paris

0–15'73
16–30'99
31–45'59
46–60'510
61–75'76
76–90'1413

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Olympique Lyonnais · 8 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.42

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.028
Early press (0-15, level)-0.128
Late push (76+, level)-0.353
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.342

Game state

When ahead+0.155
When level-0.128
When behind-0.052
10 min after conceding-0.145
10 min after scoring+0.427

Situations

At home+0.094
Away-0.134
4+ days rest-0.017

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.032
v mid-tier opponents-0.242
v bottom-tier opponents+0.112
As favourite+0.094
Evenly matched-0.163

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.008
Conceded when ahead-0.115
Conceded late (76+)-0.327

Congested vs rested -0.06 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.07

Paris · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.124
Early press (0-15, level)-0.364
Late push (76+, level)-0.313

Game state

When ahead-0.062
When level-0.154
10 min after scoring-0.242

Situations

At home-0.212
Away-0.042
4+ days rest-0.124

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.082
v bottom-tier opponents-0.162
As favourite-0.162

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded when ahead+0.222
Conceded late (76+)-0.194

Ahead vs level +0.09

Olympique Lyonnais

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-117 50%1.351.411.291.621.38
4-3-37 21%2.571.290.711.251.15
4-3-1-24 12%1.51.752.251.461.94
3-4-2-13 9%2.01.670.331.611.37
4-1-4-12 6%2.01.50.51.571.37

Paris

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-310 29%1.51.92.01.421.79
5-4-18 24%1.00.750.881.041.42
4-2-3-17 21%1.431.571.01.341.09
4-1-4-13 9%2.02.671.671.962.36
4-4-22 6%1.51.01.01.430.83

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.85Home 51% P 51%3.4Draw 28% P 28%4.5Away 21% P 22%

Double Chance

1.14Lyon or Draw 41% P 39%1.25Lyon or Paris FC 38% P 36%2.25Draw or Paris FC 21% P 24%

Draw No Bet

1.221 77%4.02 23%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 49%1.95No 48% P 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 44%2.0Under 47% P 56%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 20–22.5% · 722 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home51%51%55%+3.6
Draw28%27%26%-1.4
Away22%21%19%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 47%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes49%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Eric Wattellier

Career
147 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
3.39 (3.16 yellow · 0.18 red)
Fouls / match
21.6 · 6.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.4
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 94 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.434.06-1.338
Fouls / match20.624.3-1.89
Fouls per card6.16.0+0.04 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.430.36+0.5976
Time added6.36.7-0.2032
First card
40' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.33

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-13 71 230 45'8
2026-02-01 11 141 75'11
2026-01-25 · Olympique Lyonnais 10 151 72'8
2026-01-03 21 180 13'6
2025-12-07 30 221 45'7
2025-11-29 30 170 42'7
2025-11-01 · Paris 50 220 36'8
2025-10-26 · Olympique Lyonnais 41 341 61'11
2025-10-19 40 241 45'6
2025-09-20 40 280 36'11