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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 25
LensLens
3–0
FT
MetzMetz

Momentum

– LensMetz –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
25

Venue

Stadium
Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens
Capacity
38,223
Surface
grass
Attendance
37,381

Teams

Coaches
Pierre Sage · Benoit Tavenot
Position
2 · 18
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 5-3-2

Referee

Mathieu Vernice

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
14.0° (feels 13.3°)
Wind
1.6
Humidity
69%

Where to watch · 282

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Lens

WWWLD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 12 GA 5 · xG 10.83–4.34 · xPts 10.43

  • D A Strasbourg 1–1 xG 1.81–0.52 FRA L1
  • L H Monaco 2–3 xG 1.67–1.46 FRA L1
  • W A Paris 5–0 xG 4.0–0.63 FRA L1
  • W H Rennes 3–1 xG 1.28–1.18 FRA L1
  • W H Le Havre 1–0 xG 2.07–0.54 FRA L1

Metz

LDLLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 1 GA 8 · xG 3.28–7.51 · xPts 4.09

  • L H Brest 0–1 xG 1.23–0.82 FRA L1
  • L A Paris Saint Germain 0–3 xG 0.11–2.08 FRA L1
  • L H Auxerre 1–3 xG 0.89–1.26 FRA L1
  • D H LOSC Lille 0–0 xG 0.52–1.94 FRA L1
  • L A Angers SCO 0–1 xG 0.53–1.41 FRA L1

All meetings · 14 matches since 2005

Lens 54 draws5 Metz

Goals 17–15 · 2.29 per match · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 43%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Lens 32 draws5 Metz

Goals 13–13 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Lens 11 draws3 Metz

Goals 4–5 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Lens 3–0 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Metz 2–0 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Metz 2–1 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lens 0–1 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Metz 0–0 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lens 4–1 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Lens 2–2 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Metz 2–0 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Metz 3–1 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lens 2–0 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricLens all · 34Lens at home · 17Metz all · 34Metz away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.062.470.500.41
W / D / L22 / 4 / 814 / 0 / 33 / 8 / 231 / 4 / 12
Goals for / match1.942.060.941.00
Goals against / match1.030.762.242.59
Clean sheets35%47%21%18%
Failed to score18%12%44%41%
Both teams scored50%41%50%53%
Over 2.565%59%62%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.982.231.000.84
xG against / match1.291.081.772.13
xG difference0.691.15-0.77-1.29
Finishing vs xG-0.04-0.17-0.060.16
xPts / match1.732.010.930.65
Points vs xPts0.320.46-0.43-0.24
Game state
Scored first59%65%21%24%
PPG when scoring first2.752.731.141.00
PPG when conceding first1.082.000.180.09
Came back from behind43%57%8%8%
Leads held92%93%38%25%
Minutes leading35%41%6%6%
Minutes level43%42%52%45%
Minutes trailing21%17%42%50%
First goal (min)40384237
First goal conceded (min)37313124
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%63%56%53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half43%38%55%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.440.410.320.29
Late goals against0.150.060.710.71
Style
Possession51%52%49%48%
Shots16.418.210.18.4
On target5.66.43.22.5
Shot conversion12%11%9%12%
Shots inside box70%69%62%64%
Big chances created3.74.21.41.0
Corners6.26.84.23.5
xG from set plays23%24%33%37%
Goals from headers17%23%16%19%
Pressure index16.718.98.77.3
Dominant minutes54.660.640.333.9
Pass accuracy84%84%85%85%
Fouls12.712.611.411.2
Cards2.181.651.762.06

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Lens

0–15'67
16–30'77
31–45'136
46–60'163
61–75'97
76–90'155

Metz

0–15'412
16–30'49
31–45'613
46–60'59
61–75'29
76–90'1124

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Lens · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: when ahead -0.48

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.015
Early press (0-15, level)-0.195
Late push (76+, level)+0.023
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.043

Game state

When ahead-0.483
When level+0.055
When behind+0.274
10 min after conceding-0.155
10 min after scoring-0.234

Situations

Against ten men+0.012
At home-0.112
Away+0.083
4+ days rest-0.044

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.073
v bottom-tier opponents-0.102
As favourite-0.054

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.115
Conceded when ahead+0.513
Conceded late (76+)-0.365

Congested vs rested +0.22 · Ahead vs level -0.54 · Behind vs level +0.22

Metz

No pressure profile yet.

Lens

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-134 100%2.061.941.031.981.29

Metz

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 22 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-119 56%0.581.112.051.041.7
3-4-2-15 15%0.20.42.60.771.98
4-3-34 12%0.250.753.01.022.05
4-1-4-13 9%1.00.671.331.421.38
5-3-22 6%0.00.02.00.321.82

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.27Home 74% P 75%5.75Draw 16% P 15%10.0Away 9% P 10%

Double Chance

1.06Lens or Draw 45% P 45%1.14Lens or Metz 42% P 42%3.5Draw or Metz 14% P 12%

Draw No Bet

1.081 88%8.02 12%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 53%1.8No 52% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.53Over 62% P 67%2.5Under 38% P 33%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56% P 57%2.1Under 44% P 43%
4.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 72.5–75% · away 7.5–10% · 458 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home75%74%74%+0.5
Draw15%17%18%+0.9
Away10%9%8%-1.5

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 60%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.567%66%69%+3.2

Mathieu Vernice

Career
66 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.64 (4.29 yellow · 0.23 red)
Fouls / match
26.9 · 5.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.39
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 61 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.524.06+0.8788
Fouls / match26.924.3+1.44
Fouls per card6.06.0+0.02 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.460.36+0.9288
Time added7.36.7+0.5280
First card
29' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.33

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-22 40 251 21'6
2026-02-07 71 240 2'11
2026-01-23 10 220 72'4
2026-01-02 · Lens 51 320 23'10
2025-12-07 61 330 37'7
2025-11-22 30 180 32'5
2025-09-28 80 440 43'14
2025-09-20 40 322 6'8
2025-08-17 · Metz 40 290 31'9
2025-07-24 90 300 11'8