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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 25
NiceNice
0–4
FT
RennesRennes

Momentum

– NiceRennes –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
25

Venue

Stadium
Allianz Riviera, Nice
Capacity
36,178
Surface
grass
Attendance
21,134

Teams

Coaches
Claude Puel · Franck Haise
Position
15 · 7
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Romain Lissorgue

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
13.7° (feels 13.2°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
81%

Where to watch · 190

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Nice

DDLDL 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 8 · xG 6.54–7.87 · xPts 5.98

  • L A Paris 0–1 xG 1.1–1.2 FRA L1
  • D H Lorient 3–3 xG 2.13–2.52 FRA L1
  • L A Olympique Lyonnais 0–2 xG 1.44–1.31 FRA L1
  • D H Monaco 0–0 xG 0.78–1.19 FRA L1
  • D H Brest 2–2 xG 1.1–1.65 FRA L1

Rennes

LLWWW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 5.43–8.32 · xPts 5.46

  • W H Toulouse 1–0 xG 0.8–0.65 FRA L1
  • W A Auxerre 3–0 xG 1.11–0.79 FRA L1
  • W H Paris Saint Germain 3–1 xG 1.59–3.67 FRA L1
  • L A Lens 1–3 xG 1.18–1.28 FRA L1
  • L A Monaco 0–4 xG 0.74–1.92 FRA L1

All meetings · 42 matches since 2005

Nice 1711 draws14 Rennes

Goals 52–48 · 2.38 per match · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 48%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Nice 51 draws4 Rennes

Goals 13–16 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Nice 20 draws3 Rennes

Goals 5–11 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Nice 0–4 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Rennes 1–2 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Rennes 2–0 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nice 3–2 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Rennes 2–0 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nice 2–0 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nice 2–1 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Rennes 2–1 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nice 1–1 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Rennes 1–2 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricNice all · 34Nice at home · 17Rennes all · 34Rennes away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.941.181.741.47
W / D / L7 / 11 / 164 / 8 / 517 / 8 / 97 / 4 / 6
Goals for / match1.091.121.741.71
Goals against / match1.761.591.471.94
Clean sheets18%24%29%35%
Failed to score32%35%18%18%
Both teams scored59%53%59%47%
Over 2.550%41%71%76%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.241.381.561.40
xG against / match1.711.651.541.73
xG difference-0.47-0.270.02-0.33
Finishing vs xG-0.15-0.260.180.30
xPts / match1.121.261.431.20
Points vs xPts-0.18-0.090.310.27
Game state
Scored first38%35%56%71%
PPG when scoring first1.852.332.261.83
PPG when conceding first0.280.441.080.60
Came back from behind24%44%40%14%
Leads held54%67%71%54%
Minutes leading20%25%36%42%
Minutes level48%49%41%35%
Minutes trailing32%26%23%23%
First goal (min)42423731
First goal conceded (min)38384037
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%58%54%45%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%52%62%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.210.180.350.18
Late goals against0.350.410.290.41
Style
Possession46%46%54%52%
Shots11.213.014.112.5
On target3.94.45.04.5
Shot conversion10%9%12%14%
Shots inside box65%63%62%65%
Big chances created2.73.22.42.0
Corners5.15.56.05.5
xG from set plays27%27%29%30%
Goals from headers11%16%19%7%
Pressure index9.09.614.112.7
Dominant minutes40.942.651.951.4
Pass accuracy82%82%84%84%
Fouls12.412.212.311.8
Cards2.122.001.822.06

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Nice

0–15'59
16–30'67
31–45'813
46–60'79
61–75'410
76–90'712

Rennes

0–15'78
16–30'151
31–45'510
46–60'1211
61–75'810
76–90'1210

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Nice · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: when behind +0.41

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.254
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)-0.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.082

Game state

When level+0.174
When behind+0.413
10 min after conceding+0.023

Situations

At home+0.262
Away+0.242
4+ days rest+0.254

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.432
v bottom-tier opponents+0.082
Evenly matched+0.272

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.204
Conceded late (76+)-0.084

Behind vs level +0.23

Rennes · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.27) · stands out: when level +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.275
Early press (0-15, level)+0.245
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.014
When level+0.555
10 min after conceding-0.433
10 min after scoring-0.024

Situations

At home-0.123
Away+0.832
4+ days rest+0.275

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.252
v bottom-tier opponents+0.142
As favourite+0.444

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.095
Conceded when ahead+0.174
Conceded late (76+)-0.155

Ahead vs level -0.54

Nice

Current: winless 12 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 21%0.861.291.861.331.64
3-4-2-16 18%1.171.01.51.611.26
5-4-15 15%0.60.61.00.891.23
3-4-1-24 12%1.751.51.00.951.66
3-5-23 9%0.330.671.671.421.86

Rennes

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-218 53%1.51.561.721.41.61
4-4-26 18%2.02.331.832.01.29
4-3-35 15%2.01.60.61.471.07
4-2-3-12 6%3.03.00.51.352.23
3-1-4-21 3%1.01.01.02.180.43

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.7Home 35% P 36%3.4Draw 28% P 27%2.55Away 37% P 37%

Double Chance

1.5Nice or Draw 31% P 32%1.28Nice or Rennes 36% P 36%1.44Draw or Rennes 32% P 32%

Draw No Bet

1.91 49%1.82 51%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61% P 61%2.37No 39% P 39%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 56%2.2Under 43% P 44%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 35–37.5% · 584 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home36%36%35%-0.6
Draw27%28%28%+0.2
Away37%36%36%+0.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes61%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.556%56%56%-0.2

Romain Lissorgue

Career
60 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.05 (3.7 yellow · 0.25 red)
Fouls / match
26.0 · 6.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.42
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 54 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.24.06+0.2264
Fouls / match26.324.3+1.11
Fouls per card6.46.0+0.45 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.460.36+0.9492
Time added7.16.7+0.3764
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 24% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.43

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-20 50 271 67'6
2026-02-01 30 250 34'5
2026-01-18 21 270 19'9
2025-12-13 30 200 16'10
2025-11-30 · Nice 30 180 27'10
2025-11-08 60 280 22'8
2025-09-13 91 310 38'10
2025-08-30 60 321 28'10
2025-08-16 50 330 34'9
2025-07-15 61 260 34'4