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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 25

Momentum

BrestLe Havre
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
25

Venue

Stadium
Stade Francis-Le Ble, Brest
Capacity
15,097
Surface
grass
Attendance
14,601

Teams

Coaches
Eric Roy · Didier Digard
Position
9 · 13
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Benoît Bastien

Weather

Conditions
mist
Temperature
12.9° (feels 12.7°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
94%

Where to watch · 190

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Brest

DWDWW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 8 GA 3 · xG 6.22–6.58 · xPts 6.58

  • W A Metz 1–0 xG 0.82–1.23 FRA L1
  • W H Olympique Marseille 2–0 xG 0.83–1.67 FRA L1
  • D A LOSC Lille 1–1 xG 0.92–1.89 FRA L1
  • W H Lorient 2–0 xG 2.0–0.69 FRA L1
  • D A Nice 2–2 xG 1.65–1.1 FRA L1

Le Havre

LWWLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 3.54–9.64 · xPts 3.64

  • L H Paris Saint Germain 0–1 xG 0.69–3.3 FRA L1
  • L A Nantes 0–2 xG 0.77–1.51 FRA L1
  • W H Toulouse 2–1 xG 0.55–2.29 FRA L1
  • W H Strasbourg 2–1 xG 0.99–0.48 FRA L1
  • L A Lens 0–1 xG 0.54–2.07 FRA L1

All meetings · 7 matches since 2023

Brest 60 draws1 Le Havre

Goals 10–3 · 1.86 per match · BTTS 29% · over 2.5 29%

Last 10 · 7 matches

Brest 60 draws1 Le Havre

Goals 10–3 · 1.86 per match · BTTS 29% · over 2.5 29%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Brest 40 draws1 Le Havre

Goals 7–2 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • W Le Havre 1–2 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Brest 2–0 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Le Havre 1–0 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Le Havre 0–1 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Brest 2–0 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Brest 1–0 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Le Havre 1–2 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricBrest all · 34Brest at home · 17Le Havre all · 34Le Havre away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.151.531.030.71
W / D / L10 / 9 / 157 / 5 / 57 / 14 / 132 / 6 / 9
Goals for / match1.261.650.940.71
Goals against / match1.621.351.291.53
Clean sheets26%41%24%24%
Failed to score32%24%41%47%
Both teams scored47%47%50%41%
Over 2.550%47%32%24%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.291.681.181.03
xG against / match1.541.421.531.90
xG difference-0.250.25-0.36-0.87
Finishing vs xG-0.03-0.03-0.24-0.32
xPts / match1.281.611.190.88
Points vs xPts-0.13-0.08-0.16-0.17
Game state
Scored first47%59%35%35%
PPG when scoring first1.942.302.081.50
PPG when conceding first0.380.200.290.11
Came back from behind21%17%28%10%
Leads held56%70%58%33%
Minutes leading24%33%14%10%
Minutes level44%43%60%62%
Minutes trailing32%24%26%28%
First goal (min)35264143
First goal conceded (min)33273843
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%50%56%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half51%39%48%58%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.240.180.12
Late goals against0.320.180.260.41
Style
Possession43%44%47%47%
Shots11.213.910.99.9
On target3.54.53.63.4
Shot conversion11%12%9%7%
Shots inside box63%63%62%62%
Big chances created2.23.02.01.7
Corners3.94.64.33.7
xG from set plays36%33%31%23%
Goals from headers21%25%19%25%
Pressure index8.110.29.97.2
Dominant minutes36.740.743.936.4
Pass accuracy78%78%80%80%
Fouls12.712.613.713.9
Cards1.851.762.032.12

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Brest

0–15'98
16–30'612
31–45'77
46–60'86
61–75'511
76–90'811

Le Havre

0–15'46
16–30'46
31–45'611
46–60'56
61–75'76
76–90'69

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Brest · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: when level +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.184
Early press (0-15, level)+0.434
Late push (76+, level)+1.122
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.012

Game state

When ahead-0.192
When level+0.654
When behind-0.073
10 min after conceding-0.204
10 min after scoring+0.453

Situations

At home+0.142
Away+0.212
4+ days rest+0.184

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.212
Evenly matched+0.313

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.124
Conceded when ahead+0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.204

Ahead vs level -0.84 · Behind vs level -0.72

Le Havre · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: at home +0.15

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.144
Early press (0-15, level)-0.064
Late push (76+, level)-0.302
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.102

Game state

When level+0.084
When behind+0.212
10 min after conceding+0.113
10 min after scoring+0.212

Situations

At home+0.153
4+ days rest+0.144

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.102
Evenly matched+0.182
As underdog+0.102

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.054
Conceded late (76+)-0.364

Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level +0.12

Brest

Current: winless 1 · conceding 13

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 71%1.421.381.421.351.38
4-3-35 15%0.21.02.21.512.04
4-1-4-12 6%0.51.53.50.512.69
4-4-21 3%3.02.00.01.791.34
3-4-31 3%0.00.01.00.271.95

Le Havre

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-37 21%0.860.571.141.231.31
4-1-3-26 18%1.00.671.171.361.68
4-1-4-15 15%0.61.01.61.221.26
4-2-3-15 15%1.21.61.41.511.35
3-4-1-24 12%0.750.751.01.191.9

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.9Home 50% P 51%3.4Draw 28% P 28%4.33Away 22% P 21%

Double Chance

1.22Brest or Draw 39% P 39%1.28Brest or Le Havre 37% P 36%1.9Draw or Le Havre 25% P 25%

Draw No Bet

1.361 69%3.02 31%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50% P 46%1.9No 50% P 54%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 42%1.8Under 53% P 58%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 20–22.5% · 722 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home51%51%55%+3.6
Draw28%27%26%-1.4
Away21%21%19%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 47%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes46%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.542%41%41%-0.4

Benoît Bastien

Career
347 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.35 (4.09 yellow · 0.18 red)
Fouls / match
23.7 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.37
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 92 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.264.06+0.3472
Fouls / match24.624.3+0.19
Fouls per card5.86.0-0.29 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.380.36+0.1652
Time added7.36.7+0.5280
First card
31' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.22

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-26 41 240 28'8
2026-02-13 19 7
2026-02-08 40 210 13'7
2026-01-28 50 231 27'8
2026-01-24 40 340 37'6
2026-01-04 10 111 49'9
2025-12-09 60 252 13'5
2025-12-06 20 211 83'8
2025-11-09 81 180 35'10
2025-11-05 40 272 4'7