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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 26
MonacoMonaco
2–0
FT
BrestBrest

Momentum

– MonacoBrest –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
26

Venue

Stadium
Stade Louis II., Monaco
Capacity
18,523
Surface
grass
Attendance
5,288

Teams

Coaches
Sebastien Pocognoli · Eric Roy
Position
7 · 10
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Jérémie Pignard

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
10.6° (feels 10.0°)
Wind
5.1
Humidity
87%

Where to watch · 156

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Monaco

LWDWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 12 GA 8 · xG 6.59–9.36 · xPts 5.69

  • W A Paris Saint Germain 3–1 xG 1.27–1.92 FRA L1
  • W H Angers SCO 2–0 xG 1.86–0.63 FRA L1
  • D A Paris Saint Germain 2–2 xG 1.3–1.88 UEFA CL
  • W A Lens 3–2 xG 1.46–1.67 FRA L1
  • L H Paris Saint Germain 2–3 xG 0.7–3.27 UEFA CL

Brest

WDWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 8 GA 1 · xG 6.18–6.7 · xPts 6.47

  • W H Le Havre 2–0 xG 1.61–1.22 FRA L1
  • W A Metz 1–0 xG 0.82–1.23 FRA L1
  • W H Olympique Marseille 2–0 xG 0.83–1.67 FRA L1
  • D A LOSC Lille 1–1 xG 0.92–1.89 FRA L1
  • W H Lorient 2–0 xG 2.0–0.69 FRA L1

All meetings · 15 matches since 2010

Monaco 90 draws6 Brest

Goals 23–15 · 2.53 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 33%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Monaco 70 draws3 Brest

Goals 17–10 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Monaco 30 draws2 Brest

Goals 8–5 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Monaco 2–0 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Brest 1–0 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Brest 2–1 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Monaco 3–2 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Brest 0–2 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Monaco 2–0 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Brest 1–2 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Monaco 1–0 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Monaco 4–2 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Brest 2–0 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricMonaco all · 34Monaco at home · 17Brest all · 34Brest away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.591.881.150.76
W / D / L16 / 6 / 1210 / 2 / 510 / 9 / 153 / 4 / 10
Goals for / match1.761.941.260.88
Goals against / match1.591.351.621.88
Clean sheets21%29%26%12%
Failed to score21%12%32%41%
Both teams scored65%59%47%47%
Over 2.565%65%50%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.631.761.290.91
xG against / match1.431.211.541.66
xG difference0.200.55-0.25-0.75
Finishing vs xG0.140.18-0.03-0.02
xPts / match1.491.681.280.95
Points vs xPts0.100.20-0.13-0.19
Game state
Scored first44%53%47%35%
PPG when scoring first2.533.001.941.33
PPG when conceding first0.820.630.380.45
Came back from behind33%38%21%23%
Leads held84%100%56%38%
Minutes leading28%34%24%15%
Minutes level51%49%44%45%
Minutes trailing21%17%32%41%
First goal (min)43393547
First goal conceded (min)47483338
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half63%64%49%47%
Goals conceded in 2nd half61%56%51%59%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.410.240.24
Late goals against0.410.290.320.47
Style
Possession54%55%43%42%
Shots12.512.111.28.6
On target4.44.53.52.5
Shot conversion14%16%11%10%
Shots inside box73%74%63%63%
Big chances created3.03.12.21.5
Corners5.14.93.93.1
xG from set plays25%26%36%42%
Goals from headers12%12%21%13%
Pressure index12.313.28.16.1
Dominant minutes50.052.636.732.6
Pass accuracy83%84%78%78%
Fouls13.012.812.712.9
Cards2.442.061.851.94

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Monaco

0–15'55
16–30'76
31–45'1010
46–60'127
61–75'1412
76–90'1214

Brest

0–15'98
16–30'612
31–45'77
46–60'86
61–75'511
76–90'811

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Monaco · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.00) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.41

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.006
Early press (0-15, level)+0.306

Game state

When ahead-0.165
When level+0.216
When behind+0.122
10 min after conceding-0.413
10 min after scoring+0.236

Situations

At home-0.072
Away+0.024
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest+0.024

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.242
As favourite+0.013
Evenly matched+0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.235
Conceded late (76+)+0.025

Congested vs rested -0.07 · Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level -0.10

Brest · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: when level +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.184
Early press (0-15, level)+0.434
Late push (76+, level)+1.122
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.012

Game state

When ahead-0.192
When level+0.654
When behind-0.073
10 min after conceding-0.204
10 min after scoring+0.453

Situations

At home+0.142
Away+0.212
4+ days rest+0.184

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.212
Evenly matched+0.313

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.124
Conceded when ahead+0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.204

Ahead vs level -0.84 · Behind vs level -0.72

Monaco

Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 41%1.571.641.291.471.31
4-2-3-17 21%1.861.711.141.731.2
3-1-4-23 9%2.03.03.02.472.15
4-4-22 6%3.03.51.52.121.25
3-4-1-22 6%3.02.51.02.081.55

Brest

Current: winless 1 · conceding 13

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 71%1.421.381.421.351.38
4-3-35 15%0.21.02.21.512.04
4-1-4-12 6%0.51.53.50.512.69
4-2-2-21 3%0.00.02.00.90.43
3-4-31 3%0.00.01.00.271.95

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.57Home 60% P 60%4.1Draw 23% P 23%5.5Away 17% P 17%

Double Chance

1.16Monaco or Draw 40% P 41%1.2Monaco or Brest 39% P 39%2.25Draw or Brest 21% P 20%

Draw No Bet

1.221 77%4.02 23%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53% P 55%2.0No 47% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 57%2.2Under 43% P 43%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.52.0Over 46% P 45%1.72Under 54% P 55%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 57.5–60% · away 15–17.5% · 555 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home60%59%57%-1.5
Draw23%25%28%+3.8
Away17%16%14%-2.2

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 49%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes55%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.557%56%56%-0.2

Jérémie Pignard

Career
139 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
4.65 (4.34 yellow · 0.19 red)
Fouls / match
22.8 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.4
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 89 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.734.06+1.3192
Fouls / match23.224.3-0.51
Fouls per card4.96.0-1.54 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.510.36+1.3796
Time added6.16.7-0.3524
First card
31' on average
Card timing
20% in first 30' · 26% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.24

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-07 30 210 11'9
2026-02-22 70 301 14'8
2026-02-07 61 300 32'8
2026-01-31 50 272 43'8
2026-01-18 50 241 25'6
2025-12-14 74 311 17'9
2025-12-11 50 170 7'6
2025-11-21 40 190 14'6
2025-11-02 40 181 26'4
2025-10-25 · Brest 20 201 8'12