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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 26
LorientLorient
2–1
FT
LensLens

Momentum

– LorientLens –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
26

Venue

Stadium
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir, Lorient
Capacity
18,110
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
15,942

Teams

Coaches
Olivier Pantaloni · Pierre Sage
Position
10 · 2
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Thomas Léonard

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
8.0° (feels 6.1°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
82%

Where to watch · 156

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Lorient

LWDDD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 6.29–6.72 · xPts 6.55

  • D A LOSC Lille 1–1 xG 0.59–0.64 FRA L1
  • D H Auxerre 2–2 xG 1.21–1.19 FRA L1
  • D A Nice 3–3 xG 2.52–2.13 FRA L1
  • W H Angers SCO 2–0 xG 1.28–0.77 FRA L1
  • L A Brest 0–2 xG 0.69–2.0 FRA L1

Lens

WWLDW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 14 GA 5 · xG 11.66–4.22 · xPts 10.76

  • W H Metz 3–0 xG 2.9–0.43 FRA L1
  • D A Strasbourg 1–1 xG 1.81–0.52 FRA L1
  • L H Monaco 2–3 xG 1.67–1.46 FRA L1
  • W A Paris 5–0 xG 4.0–0.63 FRA L1
  • W H Rennes 3–1 xG 1.28–1.18 FRA L1

All meetings · 21 matches since 2006

Lorient 96 draws6 Lens

Goals 26–28 · 2.57 per match · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 43%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Lorient 32 draws5 Lens

Goals 11–20 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Lorient 21 draws2 Lens

Goals 3–6 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Lens 0–1 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lorient 2–1 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lens 3–0 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lens 2–0 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Lorient 0–0 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lorient 1–3 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lens 5–2 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lorient 2–0 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Lens 2–2 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lens 4–1 Lorient neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricLorient all · 34Lorient at home · 17Lens all · 34Lens away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.321.762.061.65
W / D / L11 / 12 / 118 / 6 / 322 / 4 / 88 / 4 / 5
Goals for / match1.411.821.941.82
Goals against / match1.501.471.031.29
Clean sheets21%24%35%24%
Failed to score29%6%18%24%
Both teams scored53%71%50%59%
Over 2.544%53%65%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.621.981.74
xG against / match1.381.181.291.50
xG difference-0.030.430.690.23
Finishing vs xG0.070.21-0.040.09
xPts / match1.341.611.731.46
Points vs xPts-0.010.160.320.18
Game state
Scored first47%65%59%53%
PPG when scoring first2.192.182.752.78
PPG when conceding first0.531.001.080.29
Came back from behind42%62%43%29%
Leads held65%67%92%89%
Minutes leading26%37%35%29%
Minutes level49%50%43%45%
Minutes trailing25%13%21%26%
First goal (min)37364042
First goal conceded (min)45483741
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half58%55%61%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half67%72%43%46%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.240.440.47
Late goals against0.470.530.150.24
Style
Possession45%46%51%50%
Shots11.311.916.414.6
On target3.94.45.64.7
Shot conversion12%15%12%12%
Shots inside box63%64%70%71%
Big chances created2.02.53.73.3
Corners3.53.26.25.6
xG from set plays33%34%23%22%
Goals from headers6%10%17%10%
Pressure index10.110.616.714.6
Dominant minutes42.843.654.648.6
Pass accuracy84%84%84%84%
Fouls9.59.512.712.7
Cards1.681.712.182.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Lorient

0–15'46
16–30'76
31–45'95
46–60'811
61–75'77
76–90'1316

Lens

0–15'67
16–30'77
31–45'136
46–60'163
61–75'97
76–90'155

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Lorient · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.96

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.124
Early press (0-15, level)+0.374
Late push (76+, level)-0.152

Game state

When ahead-0.322
When level-0.144
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.963

Situations

At home-0.072
Away-0.182
4+ days rest-0.124

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.022
Evenly matched-0.232

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.214
Conceded when ahead+0.162
Conceded late (76+)-0.064

Ahead vs level -0.18 · Behind vs level +0.28

Lens · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: when ahead -0.48

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.015
Early press (0-15, level)-0.195
Late push (76+, level)+0.023
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.043

Game state

When ahead-0.483
When level+0.055
When behind+0.274
10 min after conceding-0.155
10 min after scoring-0.234

Situations

Against ten men+0.012
At home-0.112
Away+0.083
4+ days rest-0.044

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.073
v bottom-tier opponents-0.102
As favourite-0.054

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.115
Conceded when ahead+0.513
Conceded late (76+)-0.365

Congested vs rested +0.22 · Ahead vs level -0.54 · Behind vs level +0.22

Lorient

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-128 82%1.291.391.681.371.46
3-4-34 12%1.751.750.51.680.99
5-4-12 6%1.01.01.00.410.96

Lens

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-134 100%2.061.941.031.981.29

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.3h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

5.0Home 19% P 19%3.8Draw 25% P 24%1.7Away 56% P 57%

Double Chance

2.05Lorient or Draw 23% P 21%1.25Lorient or Lens 37% P 38%1.18Draw or Lens 40% P 41%

Draw No Bet

3.751 25%1.252 75%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53% P 54%2.0No 47% P 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 54%2.1Under 45% P 46%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.52.2Over 42% P 41%1.61Under 58% P 59%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 17.5–20% · away 55–57.5% · 338 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home19%19%20%+0.6
Draw24%25%22%-3.1
Away57%56%59%+2.5

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes54%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%54%+0.8

Thomas Léonard

Career
156 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.08 (3.84 yellow · 0.18 red)
Fouls / match
24.6 · 6.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 88 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.924.06-0.3632
Fouls / match24.524.3+0.17
Fouls per card6.26.0+0.30 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.320.36-0.4332
Time added6.86.7+0.1648
First card
35' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.29

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-01 40 260 17'13
2026-02-15 40 280 21'7
2026-01-25 20 210 25'8
2025-12-05 61 320 10'8
2025-11-23 40 211 20'5
2025-11-02 20 240 83'7
2025-10-29 30 180 3'12
2025-10-19 50 190 21'9
2025-10-05 40 300 51'6
2025-09-27 30 270 24'10