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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 26
Paris Saint GermainPSG
3–0
FT
NantesNantes

Momentum

– PSGNantes –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
26

Venue

Stadium
Parc des Princes, Paris
Capacity
48,583
Surface
grass
Attendance
47,388

Teams

Coaches
Luis Enrique · Éric Blahic
Position
1 · 17
Formation
4-3-3 · 5-3-2

Referee

Clément Turpin

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
16.5° (feels 15.2°)
Wind
6.2
Humidity
38%

Where to watch · 156

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Paris Saint Germain

WWWWL 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 12 GA 3 · xG 10.67–4.27 · xPts 10.88

  • L H Olympique Lyonnais 1–2 xG 3.34–0.85 FRA L1
  • W A Liverpool 2–0 xG 1.21–2.56 UEFA CL
  • W H Liverpool 2–0 xG 1.94–0.25 UEFA CL
  • W H Toulouse 3–1 xG 1.49–0.15 FRA L1
  • W A Nice 4–0 xG 2.69–0.46 FRA L1

Nantes

LLDDD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 3 GA 5 · xG 5.13–5.74 · xPts 6.7

  • D H Brest 1–1 xG 0.95–0.32 FRA L1
  • D A Auxerre 0–0 xG 1.16–0.66 FRA L1
  • D A Metz 0–0 xG 0.77–2.01 FRA L1
  • L H Strasbourg 2–3 xG 1.39–2.11 FRA L1
  • L H Angers SCO 0–1 xG 0.86–0.63 FRA L1

All meetings · 32 matches since 2005

Paris Saint Germain 254 draws3 Nantes

Goals 72–21 · 2.91 per match · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 56%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Paris Saint Germain 72 draws1 Nantes

Goals 21–9 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Paris Saint Germain 32 draws0 Nantes

Goals 8–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • W Paris Saint Germain 3–0 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nantes 0–1 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nantes 1–1 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Paris Saint Germain 1–1 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nantes 0–2 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Paris Saint Germain 2–1 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Paris Saint Germain 4–2 Nantes neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nantes 0–3 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nantes 3–1 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Paris Saint Germain 3–1 Nantes neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricParis Saint Germain all · 34Paris Saint Germain at home · 17Nantes all · 33Nantes away · 17
Results
Matches34173317
Points per game2.242.410.700.65
W / D / L24 / 4 / 613 / 2 / 25 / 8 / 202 / 5 / 10
Goals for / match2.182.410.880.65
Goals against / match0.850.711.581.47
Clean sheets53%65%21%24%
Failed to score6%0%42%53%
Both teams scored41%35%46%41%
Over 2.562%71%46%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.992.251.100.99
xG against / match0.980.801.491.56
xG difference1.011.45-0.38-0.57
Finishing vs xG0.180.16-0.22-0.35
xPts / match1.992.241.131.00
Points vs xPts0.250.18-0.44-0.36
Game state
Scored first85%88%27%24%
PPG when scoring first2.622.732.002.00
PPG when conceding first0.000.000.100.00
Came back from behind14%33%9%0%
Leads held83%87%56%50%
Minutes leading44%50%19%14%
Minutes level45%38%50%61%
Minutes trailing11%12%30%25%
First goal (min)38363740
First goal conceded (min)38254346
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%58%45%36%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%42%58%64%
Late goals for (76'+)0.530.590.150.12
Late goals against0.240.060.580.53
Style
Possession69%69%42%40%
Shots17.720.211.310.6
On target6.77.03.33.1
Shot conversion12%12%8%6%
Shots inside box63%61%65%67%
Big chances created3.73.51.81.5
Corners6.47.53.73.4
xG from set plays29%31%36%38%
Goals from headers15%12%14%18%
Pressure index27.430.38.28.1
Dominant minutes73.077.236.235.1
Pass accuracy91%91%78%78%
Fouls9.19.512.712.9
Cards1.181.242.122.18

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Paris Saint Germain

0–15'113
16–30'76
31–45'154
46–60'115
61–75'123
76–90'188

Nantes

0–15'66
16–30'18
31–45'98
46–60'57
61–75'34
76–90'519

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Paris Saint Germain · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.475
Early press (0-15, level)+0.635
Late push (76+, level)-0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.203

Game state

When ahead+0.283
When level+0.405
When behind+0.673
10 min after conceding+0.143
10 min after scoring+0.675

Situations

At home+0.582
Away+0.433
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.232
v mid-tier opponents+0.472
As favourite+0.475

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.315
Conceded when ahead-0.223
Conceded late (76+)-0.424

Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level +0.26

Nantes

No pressure profile yet.

Paris Saint Germain

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 36 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-333 97%2.32.240.852.030.97
3-5-21 3%0.00.01.00.661.17

Nantes

Current: winless 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-310 30%0.91.22.11.081.94
4-1-4-110 30%0.50.51.10.91.38
5-3-23 9%0.00.01.670.771.19
3-4-2-13 9%0.00.672.01.071.2
4-2-3-12 6%1.52.01.02.41.5

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.16Home 82% P 83%8.0Draw 12% P 11%15.0Away 6% P 6%

Double Chance

1.04PSG or Draw 46%1.1PSG or Nantes 43%4.5Draw or Nantes 11%

Draw No Bet

1.051 91%11.02 9%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48%1.8No 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.36Over 70% P 71%3.2Under 30% P 29%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

2.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 82.5–85% · away 5–7.5% · 243 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home83%84%86%+2.5
Draw11%11%9%-1.4
Away6%6%5%-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.7 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 70%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 70–72.5% · 478 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.571%71%70%-1.3

Clément Turpin

Career
414 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.74 (3.47 yellow · 0.21 red)
Fouls / match
21.9 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.38
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 91 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.474.06-1.2512
Fouls / match23.724.3-0.25
Fouls per card6.96.0+1.17 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.290.36-0.7416
Time added6.16.7-0.3424
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.11

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-14 11 230 69'12
2026-04-05 40 230 8'7
2026-03-22 11 220 55'7
2026-03-17 31 131 20'13
2026-02-27 40 160 4'7
2026-02-24 30 130 40'9
2026-02-08 50 270 54'5
2026-01-28 30 301 17'8
2026-01-24 20 250 19'6
2026-01-03 30 241 4'6