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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 27
ParisParis
3–2
FT
Le HavreLe Havre

Momentum

– ParisLe Havre –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
27

Venue

Stadium
Stade Jean Bouin, Paris
Capacity
15,097
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
15,612

Teams

Coaches
Antoine Kombouare · Didier Digard
Position
13 · 14
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-1-3-2

Referee

Clément Turpin

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
13.9° (feels 12.7°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
52%

Where to watch · 156

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Paris

LDWDD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 3 GA 7 · xG 4.51–11.16 · xPts 3.71

  • D A Strasbourg 0–0 xG 0.65–1.37 FRA L1
  • D A Olympique Lyonnais 1–1 xG 1.44–2.03 FRA L1
  • W H Nice 1–0 xG 1.2–1.1 FRA L1
  • D A Toulouse 1–1 xG 0.59–2.65 FRA L1
  • L H Lens 0–5 xG 0.63–4.0 FRA L1

Le Havre

WLLLD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 2 GA 6 · xG 4.18–9.99 · xPts 3.65

  • D H Olympique Lyonnais 0–0 xG 0.96–1.28 FRA L1
  • L A Brest 0–2 xG 1.22–1.61 FRA L1
  • L H Paris Saint Germain 0–1 xG 0.69–3.3 FRA L1
  • L A Nantes 0–2 xG 0.77–1.51 FRA L1
  • W H Toulouse 2–1 xG 0.55–2.29 FRA L1

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Paris 11 draws0 Le Havre

Goals 3–2 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Paris 11 draws0 Le Havre

Goals 3–2 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Paris 11 draws0 Le Havre

Goals 3–2 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • W Paris 3–2 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Le Havre 0–0 Paris FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricParis all · 34Paris at home · 17Le Havre all · 34Le Havre away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.291.471.030.71
W / D / L11 / 11 / 127 / 4 / 67 / 14 / 132 / 6 / 9
Goals for / match1.381.650.940.71
Goals against / match1.471.591.291.53
Clean sheets24%24%24%24%
Failed to score26%29%41%47%
Both teams scored62%53%50%41%
Over 2.556%65%32%24%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.321.531.181.03
xG against / match1.621.601.531.90
xG difference-0.30-0.07-0.36-0.87
Finishing vs xG0.060.12-0.24-0.32
xPts / match1.251.391.190.88
Points vs xPts0.040.08-0.16-0.17
Game state
Scored first41%35%35%35%
PPG when scoring first2.142.672.081.50
PPG when conceding first0.630.800.290.11
Came back from behind33%40%28%10%
Leads held69%88%58%33%
Minutes leading23%25%14%10%
Minutes level49%40%60%62%
Minutes trailing28%34%26%28%
First goal (min)41414143
First goal conceded (min)40323843
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%54%56%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%52%48%58%
Late goals for (76'+)0.410.590.180.12
Late goals against0.380.350.260.41
Style
Possession50%52%47%47%
Shots11.713.510.99.9
On target4.04.53.63.4
Shot conversion12%12%9%7%
Shots inside box67%69%62%62%
Big chances created2.42.82.01.7
Corners4.45.54.33.7
xG from set plays26%30%31%23%
Goals from headers4%7%19%25%
Pressure index10.512.79.97.2
Dominant minutes46.054.543.936.4
Pass accuracy84%84%80%80%
Fouls10.610.813.713.9
Cards2.352.822.032.12

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Paris

0–15'73
16–30'99
31–45'59
46–60'510
61–75'76
76–90'1413

Le Havre

0–15'46
16–30'46
31–45'611
46–60'56
61–75'76
76–90'69

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Paris · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.124
Early press (0-15, level)-0.364
Late push (76+, level)-0.313

Game state

When ahead-0.062
When level-0.154
10 min after scoring-0.242

Situations

At home-0.212
Away-0.042
4+ days rest-0.124

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.082
v bottom-tier opponents-0.162
As favourite-0.162

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded when ahead+0.222
Conceded late (76+)-0.194

Ahead vs level +0.09

Le Havre · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: at home +0.15

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.144
Early press (0-15, level)-0.064
Late push (76+, level)-0.302
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.102

Game state

When level+0.084
When behind+0.212
10 min after conceding+0.113
10 min after scoring+0.212

Situations

At home+0.153
4+ days rest+0.144

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.102
Evenly matched+0.182
As underdog+0.102

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.054
Conceded late (76+)-0.364

Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level +0.12

Paris

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-310 29%1.51.92.01.421.79
5-4-18 24%1.00.750.881.041.42
4-2-3-17 21%1.431.571.01.341.09
4-1-4-13 9%2.02.671.671.962.36
4-5-12 6%0.50.01.51.052.0

Le Havre

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-37 21%0.860.571.141.231.31
4-1-3-26 18%1.00.671.171.361.68
4-1-4-15 15%0.61.01.61.221.26
4-2-3-15 15%1.21.61.41.511.35
3-4-1-24 12%0.750.751.01.191.9

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.1Home 45% P 44%3.1Draw 30% P 31%3.7Away 25% P 25%

Double Chance

1.22Paris FC or Draw 39% P 38%1.36Paris FC or Le Havre 35% P 35%1.8Draw or Le Havre 26% P 28%

Draw No Bet

1.41 66%2.752 34%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 52%1.8No 52% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 45%1.72Under 55% P 55%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 25–27.5% · 725 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home44%44%44%-0.2
Draw31%30%28%-1.4
Away25%26%28%+1.6

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%46%45%-1.2

Clément Turpin

Career
413 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.74 (3.47 yellow · 0.21 red)
Fouls / match
21.9 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.39
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 90 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.494.06-1.2412
Fouls / match23.724.3-0.25
Fouls per card6.96.0+1.14 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.290.36-0.7016
Time added6.16.7-0.3524
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.11

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-17 31 131 20'13
2026-02-27 40 160 4'7
2026-02-24 30 130 40'9
2026-02-08 50 270 54'5
2026-01-28 30 301 17'8
2026-01-24 20 250 19'6
2026-01-03 30 241 4'6
2025-12-10 60 311 11'7
2025-11-29 41 230 12'9
2025-11-04 20 160 63'6