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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 27
Olympique MarseilleOM
1–2
FT
LOSC LilleLOSC Lille

Momentum

– OMLOSC Lille –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
27

Venue

Stadium
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille
Capacity
67,395
Surface
grass
Attendance
59,865

Teams

Coaches
Habib Beye · Bruno Génésio
Position
3 · 5
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Benoît Bastien

Weather

Conditions
heavy intensity rain
Temperature
8.7° (feels 6.6°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
88%

Where to watch · 156

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Olympique Marseille

DLWWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 6.64–5.2 · xPts 7.85

  • W H Auxerre 1–0 xG 1.14–0.39 FRA L1
  • W A Toulouse 1–0 xG 0.7–0.97 FRA L1
  • W H Olympique Lyonnais 3–2 xG 2.05–1.3 FRA L1
  • L A Brest 0–2 xG 1.67–0.83 FRA L1
  • D H Strasbourg 2–2 xG 1.09–1.71 FRA L1

LOSC Lille

WDLWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 5 · xG 3.73–4.23 · xPts 6.22

  • L A Aston Villa 0–2 xG 0.46–1.06 UEFA EL
  • W A Rennes 2–1 xG 1.39–1.66 FRA L1
  • L H Aston Villa 0–1 xG 0.39–0.67 UEFA EL
  • D H Lorient 1–1 xG 0.64–0.59 FRA L1
  • W H Nantes 1–0 xG 0.85–0.25 FRA L1

All meetings · 42 matches since 2005

Olympique Marseille 1513 draws14 LOSC Lille

Goals 54–48 · 2.43 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 48%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Olympique Marseille 14 draws5 LOSC Lille

Goals 8–14 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Olympique Marseille 02 draws3 LOSC Lille

Goals 4–8 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Olympique Marseille 1–2 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L LOSC Lille 1–0 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D LOSC Lille 1–1 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Marseille 1–1 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L LOSC Lille 3–1 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Marseille 0–0 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L LOSC Lille 2–1 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Olympique Marseille 2–1 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Marseille 1–1 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L LOSC Lille 2–0 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricOlympique Marseille all · 34Olympique Marseille at home · 17LOSC Lille all · 34LOSC Lille away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.742.181.791.88
W / D / L18 / 5 / 1111 / 4 / 218 / 7 / 910 / 2 / 5
Goals for / match1.852.411.531.65
Goals against / match1.321.181.091.18
Clean sheets26%29%38%41%
Failed to score24%6%29%35%
Both teams scored50%65%38%29%
Over 2.562%71%38%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.701.781.581.46
xG against / match1.201.051.041.20
xG difference0.490.740.540.26
Finishing vs xG0.160.63-0.050.19
xPts / match1.691.831.711.52
Points vs xPts0.040.340.090.36
Game state
Scored first59%71%53%59%
PPG when scoring first2.402.422.672.80
PPG when conceding first0.791.600.790.50
Came back from behind31%67%40%29%
Leads held72%69%86%91%
Minutes leading38%47%26%34%
Minutes level41%40%52%45%
Minutes trailing21%14%22%21%
First goal (min)36364834
First goal conceded (min)46464440
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%61%71%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half69%70%62%60%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.710.680.71
Late goals against0.440.590.210.18
Style
Possession57%58%56%55%
Shots15.115.813.612.4
On target5.76.34.64.5
Shot conversion12%15%11%13%
Shots inside box64%64%70%66%
Big chances created3.03.42.82.4
Corners5.25.65.75.1
xG from set plays26%26%30%30%
Goals from headers10%12%10%11%
Pressure index17.619.415.214.5
Dominant minutes58.361.061.459.8
Pass accuracy87%87%85%85%
Fouls12.712.910.710.9
Cards2.532.412.412.76

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Olympique Marseille

0–15'95
16–30'106
31–45'73
46–60'1010
61–75'106
76–90'1715

LOSC Lille

0–15'53
16–30'54
31–45'57
46–60'99
61–75'57
76–90'237

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Olympique Marseille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.56

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.105
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.064

Game state

When level+0.245
When behind-0.024
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.563

Situations

At home+0.282
Away-0.033
4+ days rest+0.105

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.173
As favourite+0.282
As underdog-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.065
Conceded late (76+)-0.325

Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level -0.27

LOSC Lille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.05) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.055
Early press (0-15, level)+0.255

Game state

When ahead-0.065
When level+0.025
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.385

Situations

At home+0.023
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.182
As favourite+0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.265
Conceded when ahead+0.155
Conceded late (76+)-0.155

Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.26

Olympique Marseille

Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%2.172.441.171.91.23
3-4-2-19 26%1.441.671.441.521.09
3-4-1-22 6%1.51.01.01.310.95
3-2-4-11 3%0.00.01.02.280.97
4-1-4-11 3%0.00.02.01.670.83

LOSC Lille

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-129 85%1.931.550.91.580.98
4-3-32 6%0.50.52.00.861.28
4-3-1-21 3%1.01.01.00.640.59
5-4-11 3%0.01.04.01.963.0
4-4-21 3%3.04.02.03.730.93

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.9Home 50% P 51%3.75Draw 25% P 26%3.9Away 24% P 23%

Double Chance

1.22Marseille or Draw 38% P 38%1.25Marseille or Lille 37% P 37%1.9Draw or Lille 25% P 25%

Draw No Bet

1.361 69%3.02 31%

Both Teams To Score

1.7Yes 55% P 55%2.05No 45% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 52%2.0Under 47% P 48%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.52.1Over 44% P 42%1.66Under 56% P 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 22.5–25% · 500 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home51%51%53%+2.3
Draw26%25%23%-2.6
Away23%23%24%+0.3

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 55%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes55%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.552%51%51%-0.1

Benoît Bastien

Career
347 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.35 (4.09 yellow · 0.18 red)
Fouls / match
23.7 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.37
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 92 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.264.06+0.3472
Fouls / match24.624.3+0.19
Fouls per card5.86.0-0.29 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.380.36+0.1652
Time added7.36.7+0.5280
First card
31' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.22

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-18 –– 12– –8
2026-03-08 40 320 21'7
2026-02-26 41 240 28'8
2026-02-13 –– 19– –7
2026-02-08 40 210 13'7
2026-01-28 50 231 27'8
2026-01-24 · Olympique Marseille 40 340 37'6
2026-01-04 10 111 49'9
2025-12-09 60 252 13'5
2025-12-06 20 211 83'8