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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 27

Momentum

NicePSG
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
27

Venue

Stadium
Allianz Riviera, Nice
Capacity
36,178
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Claude Puel · Luis Enrique
Position
15 · 2
Formation
3-5-1-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Willy Delajod

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
10.5° (feels 9.5°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
73%

Where to watch · 156

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Nice

LDLLW 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 10 · xG 7.47–7.92 · xPts 6.67

  • W A Angers SCO 2–0 xG 1.28–0.98 FRA L1
  • L H Rennes 0–4 xG 1.52–1.91 FRA L1
  • L A Paris 0–1 xG 1.1–1.2 FRA L1
  • D H Lorient 3–3 xG 2.13–2.52 FRA L1
  • L A Olympique Lyonnais 0–2 xG 1.44–1.31 FRA L1

Paris Saint Germain

DWLWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 12 GA 7 · xG 9.13–6.02 · xPts 8.46

  • W A Chelsea 3–0 xG 1.1–1.7 UEFA CL
  • W H Chelsea 5–2 xG 0.93–1.06 UEFA CL
  • L H Monaco 1–3 xG 1.92–1.27 FRA L1
  • W A Le Havre 1–0 xG 3.3–0.69 FRA L1
  • D H Monaco 2–2 xG 1.88–1.3 UEFA CL

All meetings · 41 matches since 2005

Nice 137 draws21 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 38–66 · 2.54 per match · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 61%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Nice 32 draws5 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 10–15 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Nice 11 draws3 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 5–9 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Nice 0–4 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 1–0 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Paris Saint Germain 1–3 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nice 1–1 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nice 1–2 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Paris Saint Germain 2–3 Nice neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nice 0–2 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 2–1 Nice neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nice 1–0 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Paris Saint Germain 0–0 Nice neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricNice all · 34Nice at home · 17Paris Saint Germain all · 34Paris Saint Germain away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.941.182.242.06
W / D / L7 / 11 / 164 / 8 / 524 / 4 / 611 / 2 / 4
Goals for / match1.091.122.181.94
Goals against / match1.761.590.851.00
Clean sheets18%24%53%41%
Failed to score32%35%6%12%
Both teams scored59%53%41%47%
Over 2.550%41%62%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.241.381.991.74
xG against / match1.711.650.981.16
xG difference-0.47-0.271.010.58
Finishing vs xG-0.15-0.260.180.20
xPts / match1.121.261.991.74
Points vs xPts-0.18-0.090.250.32
Game state
Scored first38%35%85%82%
PPG when scoring first1.852.332.622.50
PPG when conceding first0.280.440.000.00
Came back from behind24%44%14%0%
Leads held54%67%83%79%
Minutes leading20%25%44%37%
Minutes level48%49%45%52%
Minutes trailing32%26%11%11%
First goal (min)42423841
First goal conceded (min)38383846
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%58%55%52%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%52%55%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.210.180.530.47
Late goals against0.350.410.240.41
Style
Possession46%46%69%68%
Shots11.213.017.715.2
On target3.94.46.76.4
Shot conversion10%9%12%13%
Shots inside box65%63%63%66%
Big chances created2.73.23.73.8
Corners5.15.56.45.2
xG from set plays27%27%29%26%
Goals from headers11%16%15%18%
Pressure index9.09.627.424.6
Dominant minutes40.942.673.068.8
Pass accuracy82%82%91%91%
Fouls12.412.29.18.6
Cards2.122.001.181.12

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Nice

0–15'59
16–30'67
31–45'813
46–60'79
61–75'410
76–90'712

Paris Saint Germain

0–15'113
16–30'76
31–45'154
46–60'115
61–75'123
76–90'188

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Nice · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: when behind +0.40

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.254
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)-0.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.092

Game state

When level+0.174
When behind+0.403
10 min after conceding+0.023

Situations

At home+0.252
Away+0.242
4+ days rest+0.254

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.432
v bottom-tier opponents+0.082
Evenly matched+0.272

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.204
Conceded late (76+)-0.084

Behind vs level +0.23

Paris Saint Germain · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.475
Early press (0-15, level)+0.635
Late push (76+, level)-0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.203

Game state

When ahead+0.283
When level+0.405
When behind+0.673
10 min after conceding+0.143
10 min after scoring+0.675

Situations

At home+0.582
Away+0.433
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.232
v mid-tier opponents+0.472
As favourite+0.475

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.315
Conceded when ahead-0.223
Conceded late (76+)-0.424

Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level +0.26

Nice

Current: winless 12 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 21%0.861.291.861.331.64
3-4-2-16 18%1.171.01.51.611.26
5-4-15 15%0.60.61.00.891.23
3-4-1-24 12%1.751.51.00.951.66
3-5-23 9%0.330.671.671.421.86

Paris Saint Germain

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 36 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-333 97%2.32.240.852.030.97
3-5-21 3%0.00.01.00.661.17

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.3h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

6.5Home 15% P 14%4.75Draw 20% P 20%1.45Away 65% P 67%

Double Chance

2.62Nice or Draw 18% P 17%1.18Nice or PSG 40% P 40%1.11Draw or PSG 42% P 43%

Draw No Bet

5.01 19%1.162 81%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59% P 55%2.25No 41% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.44Over 66% P 61%2.75Under 34% P 39%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 33%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

2.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 12.5–15% · away 65–67.5% · 254 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home14%14%13%-0.7
Draw20%20%21%+1.1
Away67%66%66%-0.5

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 58%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes55%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.561%61%63%+1.5

Willy Delajod

Career
170 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
4.05 (3.76 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
25.5 · 6.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.43
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 92 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.984.06-0.2336
Fouls / match24.824.3+0.33
Fouls per card6.36.0+0.38 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.36+0.4868
Time added6.96.7+0.2352
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.14

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-07 20 330 47'7
2026-02-21 40 250 74'5
2026-02-08 · Paris Saint Germain 40 290 9'6
2026-01-29 20 160 52'6
2026-01-25 40 240 36'6
2026-01-16 10 250 70'6
2025-12-14 · Nice 20 300 10'5
2025-12-11 11 180 14'4
2025-11-30 41 280 45'10
2025-11-08 10 221 37'7