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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 27

Momentum

RennesMetz
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
27

Venue

Stadium
Roazhon Park, Rennes
Capacity
29,778
Surface
grass
Attendance
28,206

Teams

Coaches
Franck Haise · Benoit Tavenot
Position
7 · 18
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Bastien Dechepy

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
12.1° (feels 11.0°)
Wind
5.7
Humidity
66%

Where to watch · 156

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Rennes

WWWWL 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 12 GA 3 · xG 7.07–8.03 · xPts 6.73

  • L H LOSC Lille 1–2 xG 1.66–1.39 FRA L1
  • W A Nice 4–0 xG 1.91–1.52 FRA L1
  • W H Toulouse 1–0 xG 0.8–0.65 FRA L1
  • W A Auxerre 3–0 xG 1.11–0.79 FRA L1
  • W H Paris Saint Germain 3–1 xG 1.59–3.67 FRA L1

Metz

LLLLL 0W 0D 5L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 14 · xG 4.66–8.73 · xPts 4.71

  • L H Toulouse 3–4 xG 2.0–1.68 FRA L1
  • L A Lens 0–3 xG 0.43–2.9 FRA L1
  • L H Brest 0–1 xG 1.23–0.82 FRA L1
  • L A Paris Saint Germain 0–3 xG 0.11–2.08 FRA L1
  • L H Auxerre 1–3 xG 0.89–1.26 FRA L1

All meetings · 19 matches since 2005

Rennes 135 draws1 Metz

Goals 34–11 · 2.37 per match · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 37%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Rennes 81 draws1 Metz

Goals 24–7 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Rennes 41 draws0 Metz

Goals 15–4 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Rennes 0–0 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Metz 0–1 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Metz 2–3 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Rennes 5–1 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Rennes 6–1 Metz neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Metz 0–3 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Metz 1–3 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Rennes 1–0 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Metz 0–1 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Rennes 1–2 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricRennes all · 34Rennes at home · 17Metz all · 34Metz away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.742.000.500.41
W / D / L17 / 8 / 910 / 4 / 33 / 8 / 231 / 4 / 12
Goals for / match1.741.760.941.00
Goals against / match1.471.002.242.59
Clean sheets29%24%21%18%
Failed to score18%18%44%41%
Both teams scored59%71%50%53%
Over 2.571%65%62%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.561.711.000.84
xG against / match1.541.341.772.13
xG difference0.020.37-0.77-1.29
Finishing vs xG0.180.05-0.060.16
xPts / match1.431.650.930.65
Points vs xPts0.310.35-0.43-0.24
Game state
Scored first56%41%21%24%
PPG when scoring first2.263.001.141.00
PPG when conceding first1.081.380.180.09
Came back from behind40%62%8%8%
Leads held71%91%38%25%
Minutes leading36%31%6%6%
Minutes level41%46%52%45%
Minutes trailing23%23%42%50%
First goal (min)37434237
First goal conceded (min)40423124
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%63%56%53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%53%55%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.530.320.29
Late goals against0.290.180.710.71
Style
Possession54%54%49%48%
Shots14.115.810.18.4
On target5.05.43.22.5
Shot conversion12%11%9%12%
Shots inside box62%60%62%64%
Big chances created2.42.81.41.0
Corners6.06.54.23.5
xG from set plays29%29%33%37%
Goals from headers19%32%16%19%
Pressure index14.115.58.77.3
Dominant minutes51.952.540.333.9
Pass accuracy84%84%85%85%
Fouls12.312.911.411.2
Cards1.821.591.762.06

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Rennes

0–15'78
16–30'151
31–45'510
46–60'1211
61–75'810
76–90'1210

Metz

0–15'412
16–30'49
31–45'613
46–60'59
61–75'29
76–90'1124

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Rennes · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.27) · stands out: when level +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.275
Early press (0-15, level)+0.245
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.014
When level+0.555
10 min after conceding-0.423
10 min after scoring-0.024

Situations

At home-0.123
Away+0.832
4+ days rest+0.275

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.252
v bottom-tier opponents+0.142
As favourite+0.444

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.105
Conceded when ahead+0.174
Conceded late (76+)-0.155

Ahead vs level -0.54

Metz

No pressure profile yet.

Rennes

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-218 53%1.51.561.721.41.61
4-4-26 18%2.02.331.832.01.29
4-3-35 15%2.01.60.61.471.07
4-2-3-12 6%3.03.00.51.352.23
4-1-4-11 3%0.01.03.02.532.87

Metz

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 22 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-119 56%0.581.112.051.041.7
3-4-2-15 15%0.20.42.60.771.98
4-3-34 12%0.250.753.01.022.05
4-1-4-13 9%1.00.671.331.421.38
5-3-22 6%0.00.02.00.321.82

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.3Home 73% P 74%5.75Draw 16% P 16%9.0Away 11% P 9%

Double Chance

1.07Rennes or Draw 44% P 45%1.14Rennes or Metz 42% P 42%3.4Draw or Metz 14% P 13%

Draw No Bet

1.081 88%8.02 12%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 48%1.8No 52% P 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.57Over 60% P 62%2.37Under 40% P 38%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 53%1.83Under 50% P 47%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 72.5–75% · away 7.5–10% · 458 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home74%74%74%+0.5
Draw16%17%18%+0.9
Away9%9%8%-1.5

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 60%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes48%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.562%61%63%+1.5

Bastien Dechepy

Career
99 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
4.14 (3.87 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
25.1 · 6.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.41
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 82 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.34.06+0.4276
Fouls / match24.624.3+0.23
Fouls per card5.86.0-0.33 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.36+0.5072
Time added6.56.7-0.0636
First card
36' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.21

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-07 50 290 12'7
2026-02-14 30 221 45'8
2026-01-31 90 300 16'7
2026-01-17 70 390 14'5
2025-12-13 40 261 45'7
2025-11-30 30 261 44'8
2025-11-08 31 342 45'10
2025-10-29 60 211 35'8
2025-10-18 31 291 34'11
2025-09-28 · Rennes 61 250 1'7