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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 28
MonacoMonaco
2–1
FT
Olympique MarseilleOM

Momentum

– MonacoOM –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
28

Venue

Stadium
Stade Louis II., Monaco
Capacity
18,523
Surface
grass
Attendance
10,495

Teams

Coaches
Sebastien Pocognoli · Habib Beye
Position
7 · 4
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-1-2

Referee

Clément Turpin

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
14.5° (feels 14.2°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
82%

Where to watch · 156

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Monaco

DWWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 11 GA 4 · xG 9.07–7.03 · xPts 8.14

  • W A Olympique Lyonnais 2–1 xG 2.89–1.19 FRA L1
  • W H Brest 2–0 xG 1.75–1.41 FRA L1
  • W A Paris Saint Germain 3–1 xG 1.27–1.92 FRA L1
  • W H Angers SCO 2–0 xG 1.86–0.63 FRA L1
  • D A Paris Saint Germain 2–2 xG 1.3–1.88 UEFA CL

Olympique Marseille

LWWWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 6.39–4.73 · xPts 7.93

  • L H LOSC Lille 1–2 xG 0.84–1.24 FRA L1
  • W H Auxerre 1–0 xG 1.14–0.39 FRA L1
  • W A Toulouse 1–0 xG 0.7–0.97 FRA L1
  • W H Olympique Lyonnais 3–2 xG 2.05–1.3 FRA L1
  • L A Brest 0–2 xG 1.67–0.83 FRA L1

All meetings · 38 matches since 2005

Monaco 158 draws15 Olympique Marseille

Goals 65–53 · 3.11 per match · BTTS 66% · over 2.5 66%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Monaco 52 draws3 Olympique Marseille

Goals 17–12 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Monaco 30 draws2 Olympique Marseille

Goals 8–4 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Monaco 2–0 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Monaco 2–1 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Marseille 1–0 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Monaco 3–0 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Marseille 2–1 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Marseille 2–2 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Monaco 3–2 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Marseille 1–1 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Monaco 2–3 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Olympique Marseille 0–1 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricMonaco all · 34Monaco at home · 17Olympique Marseille all · 34Olympique Marseille away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.591.881.741.29
W / D / L16 / 6 / 1210 / 2 / 518 / 5 / 117 / 1 / 9
Goals for / match1.761.941.851.29
Goals against / match1.591.351.321.47
Clean sheets21%29%26%24%
Failed to score21%12%24%41%
Both teams scored65%59%50%35%
Over 2.565%65%62%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.631.761.701.61
xG against / match1.431.211.201.35
xG difference0.200.550.490.25
Finishing vs xG0.140.180.16-0.31
xPts / match1.491.681.691.55
Points vs xPts0.100.200.04-0.26
Game state
Scored first44%53%59%47%
PPG when scoring first2.533.002.402.38
PPG when conceding first0.820.630.790.33
Came back from behind33%38%31%10%
Leads held84%100%72%78%
Minutes leading28%34%38%28%
Minutes level51%49%41%43%
Minutes trailing21%17%21%29%
First goal (min)43393638
First goal conceded (min)47484647
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half63%64%59%54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half61%56%69%68%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.410.500.29
Late goals against0.410.290.440.29
Style
Possession54%55%57%56%
Shots12.512.115.114.4
On target4.44.55.75.1
Shot conversion14%16%12%9%
Shots inside box73%74%64%64%
Big chances created3.03.13.02.6
Corners5.14.95.24.8
xG from set plays25%26%26%26%
Goals from headers12%12%10%4%
Pressure index12.313.217.615.8
Dominant minutes50.052.658.355.6
Pass accuracy83%84%87%87%
Fouls13.012.812.712.5
Cards2.442.062.532.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Monaco

0–15'55
16–30'76
31–45'1010
46–60'127
61–75'1412
76–90'1214

Olympique Marseille

0–15'95
16–30'106
31–45'73
46–60'1010
61–75'106
76–90'1715

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Monaco · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.00) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.41

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.006
Early press (0-15, level)+0.306

Game state

When ahead-0.165
When level+0.216
When behind+0.122
10 min after conceding-0.413
10 min after scoring+0.236

Situations

At home-0.072
Away+0.024
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest+0.024

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.242
As favourite+0.013
Evenly matched+0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.235
Conceded late (76+)+0.025

Congested vs rested -0.07 · Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level -0.10

Olympique Marseille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.56

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.105
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.064

Game state

When level+0.245
When behind-0.024
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.563

Situations

At home+0.282
Away-0.033
4+ days rest+0.105

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.173
As favourite+0.282
As underdog-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.065
Conceded late (76+)-0.325

Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level -0.27

Monaco

Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 41%1.571.641.291.471.31
4-2-3-17 21%1.861.711.141.731.2
3-1-4-23 9%2.03.03.02.472.15
4-4-22 6%3.03.51.52.121.25
3-4-1-22 6%3.02.51.02.081.55

Olympique Marseille

Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%2.172.441.171.91.23
3-4-2-19 26%1.441.671.441.521.09
3-4-1-22 6%1.51.01.01.310.95
3-2-4-11 3%0.00.01.02.280.97
5-4-11 3%0.00.05.00.843.03

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.05Home 46% P 44%3.7Draw 26% P 26%3.4Away 28% P 30%

Double Chance

1.36Monaco or Draw 35%1.25Monaco or Marseille 38%1.7Draw or Marseille 28%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.5Yes 62%2.5No 38%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.57Over 60% P 61%2.37Under 40% P 39%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.1Over 44% P 42%1.66Under 56% P 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home44%44%43%-0.3
Draw26%28%30%+2.4
Away30%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.561%61%63%+1.5

Clément Turpin

Career
413 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.74 (3.47 yellow · 0.21 red)
Fouls / match
21.9 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.39
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 90 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.494.06-1.2412
Fouls / match23.724.3-0.25
Fouls per card6.96.0+1.14 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.290.36-0.7016
Time added6.16.7-0.3524
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.11

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-22 11 220 55'7
2026-03-17 31 131 20'13
2026-02-27 40 160 4'7
2026-02-24 30 130 40'9
2026-02-08 50 270 54'5
2026-01-28 30 301 17'8
2026-01-24 20 250 19'6
2026-01-03 30 241 4'6
2025-12-10 60 311 11'7
2025-11-29 · Monaco 41 230 12'9