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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 28
BrestBrest
3–4
FT
RennesRennes

Momentum

– BrestRennes –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
28

Venue

Stadium
Stade Francis-Le Ble, Brest
Capacity
15,097
Surface
grass
Attendance
15,031

Teams

Coaches
Eric Roy · Franck Haise
Position
11 · 7
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Marc Bollengier

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
11.9° (feels 11.2°)
Wind
9.3
Humidity
78%

Where to watch · 156

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Brest

WWWLL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5 · xG 5.62–7.38 · xPts 5.6

  • L A Auxerre 0–3 xG 0.94–1.52 FRA L1
  • L A Monaco 0–2 xG 1.41–1.75 FRA L1
  • W H Le Havre 2–0 xG 1.61–1.22 FRA L1
  • W A Metz 1–0 xG 0.82–1.23 FRA L1
  • W H Olympique Marseille 2–0 xG 0.83–1.67 FRA L1

Rennes

WWWLD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 2 · xG 7.23–4.79 · xPts 8.55

  • D H Metz 0–0 xG 1.74–0.44 FRA L1
  • L H LOSC Lille 1–2 xG 1.66–1.39 FRA L1
  • W A Nice 4–0 xG 1.91–1.52 FRA L1
  • W H Toulouse 1–0 xG 0.8–0.65 FRA L1
  • W A Auxerre 3–0 xG 1.11–0.79 FRA L1

All meetings · 20 matches since 2010

Brest 37 draws10 Rennes

Goals 23–33 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 65% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Brest 23 draws5 Rennes

Goals 15–21 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Brest 21 draws2 Rennes

Goals 12–13 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Brest 3–4 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Rennes 3–1 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Rennes 1–2 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Brest 1–1 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Rennes 4–5 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Brest 0–0 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Brest 1–2 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Rennes 3–1 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Rennes 2–0 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Brest 1–1 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricBrest all · 34Brest at home · 17Rennes all · 34Rennes away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.151.531.741.47
W / D / L10 / 9 / 157 / 5 / 517 / 8 / 97 / 4 / 6
Goals for / match1.261.651.741.71
Goals against / match1.621.351.471.94
Clean sheets26%41%29%35%
Failed to score32%24%18%18%
Both teams scored47%47%59%47%
Over 2.550%47%71%76%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.291.681.561.40
xG against / match1.541.421.541.73
xG difference-0.250.250.02-0.33
Finishing vs xG-0.03-0.030.180.30
xPts / match1.281.611.431.20
Points vs xPts-0.13-0.080.310.27
Game state
Scored first47%59%56%71%
PPG when scoring first1.942.302.261.83
PPG when conceding first0.380.201.080.60
Came back from behind21%17%40%14%
Leads held56%70%71%54%
Minutes leading24%33%36%42%
Minutes level44%43%41%35%
Minutes trailing32%24%23%23%
First goal (min)35263731
First goal conceded (min)33274037
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%50%54%45%
Goals conceded in 2nd half51%39%62%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.240.350.18
Late goals against0.320.180.290.41
Style
Possession43%44%54%52%
Shots11.213.914.112.5
On target3.54.55.04.5
Shot conversion11%12%12%14%
Shots inside box63%63%62%65%
Big chances created2.23.02.42.0
Corners3.94.66.05.5
xG from set plays36%33%29%30%
Goals from headers21%25%19%7%
Pressure index8.110.214.112.7
Dominant minutes36.740.751.951.4
Pass accuracy78%78%84%84%
Fouls12.712.612.311.8
Cards1.851.761.822.06

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Brest

0–15'98
16–30'612
31–45'77
46–60'86
61–75'511
76–90'811

Rennes

0–15'78
16–30'151
31–45'510
46–60'1211
61–75'810
76–90'1210

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Brest · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: when level +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.184
Early press (0-15, level)+0.434
Late push (76+, level)+1.122
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.012

Game state

When ahead-0.192
When level+0.654
When behind-0.073
10 min after conceding-0.204
10 min after scoring+0.453

Situations

At home+0.142
Away+0.212
4+ days rest+0.184

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.212
Evenly matched+0.313

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.124
Conceded when ahead+0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.204

Ahead vs level -0.84 · Behind vs level -0.72

Rennes · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.27) · stands out: when level +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.275
Early press (0-15, level)+0.245
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.014
When level+0.555
10 min after conceding-0.423
10 min after scoring-0.024

Situations

At home-0.123
Away+0.832
4+ days rest+0.275

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.252
v bottom-tier opponents+0.142
As favourite+0.444

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.105
Conceded when ahead+0.174
Conceded late (76+)-0.155

Ahead vs level -0.54

Brest

Current: winless 1 · conceding 13

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 71%1.421.381.421.351.38
4-3-35 15%0.21.02.21.512.04
4-1-4-12 6%0.51.53.50.512.69
4-4-21 3%3.02.00.01.791.34
4-2-2-21 3%0.00.02.00.90.43

Rennes

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-218 53%1.51.561.721.41.61
4-4-26 18%2.02.331.832.01.29
4-3-35 15%2.01.60.61.471.07
4-2-3-12 6%3.03.00.51.352.23
5-3-21 3%3.01.00.00.972.28

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.0Home 32% P 31%3.4Draw 28% P 28%2.35Away 40% P 41%

Double Chance

1.57Brest or Draw 30%1.3Brest or Rennes 36%1.36Draw or Rennes 34%

Draw No Bet

2.11 44%1.662 56%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53%2.0No 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 40–42.5% · 560 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home31%31%31%-0.2
Draw28%28%24%-4.2
Away41%41%46%+4.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 54%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Marc Bollengier

Career
69 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
3.99 (3.7 yellow · 0.16 red)
Fouls / match
25.9 · 6.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.43
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 68 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.04.06-0.1844
Fouls / match25.924.3+0.92
Fouls per card6.66.0+0.73 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.440.36+0.7480
Time added6.76.7+0.0940
First card
37' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.24

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-13 60 290 22'7
2026-02-28 30 221 31'7
2026-02-15 40 250 6'5
2026-01-24 30 290 21'8
2026-01-04 52 371 26'10
2025-12-14 60 321 24'8
2025-12-06 · Rennes 31 140 53'6
2025-11-23 40 300 29'6
2025-10-26 · Rennes 70 350 29'8
2025-10-19 · Brest 50 251 51'8