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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 28
StrasbourgStrasbourg
3–1
FT
NiceNice

Momentum

– StrasbourgNice –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
28

Venue

Stadium
Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
Capacity
29,200
Surface
grass
Attendance
29,000

Teams

Coaches
Gary O'Neil · Claude Puel
Position
8 · 15
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Thomas Léonard

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
16.1° (feels 15.3°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
59%

Where to watch · 156

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Strasbourg

DWDDW 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 4 · xG 8.3–6.21 · xPts 8.3

  • W A Nantes 3–2 xG 2.11–1.39 FRA L1
  • D H Rijeka 1–1 xG 1.64–1.25 UEFA ECL
  • D H Paris 0–0 xG 1.37–0.65 FRA L1
  • W A Rijeka 2–1 xG 1.81–1.66 UEFA ECL
  • D A Auxerre 0–0 xG 1.37–1.26 FRA L1

Nice

DLLWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 12 · xG 6.49–9.3 · xPts 5.45

  • L H Paris Saint Germain 0–4 xG 0.46–2.69 FRA L1
  • W A Angers SCO 2–0 xG 1.28–0.98 FRA L1
  • L H Rennes 0–4 xG 1.52–1.91 FRA L1
  • L A Paris 0–1 xG 1.1–1.2 FRA L1
  • D H Lorient 3–3 xG 2.13–2.52 FRA L1

All meetings · 21 matches since 2005

Strasbourg 76 draws8 Nice

Goals 23–22 · 2.14 per match · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 33%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Strasbourg 34 draws3 Nice

Goals 14–12 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Strasbourg 12 draws2 Nice

Goals 8–9 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Strasbourg 3–1 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nice 1–1 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Strasbourg 2–2 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nice 2–1 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Strasbourg 1–3 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nice 2–0 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Strasbourg 2–0 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nice 1–1 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Strasbourg 0–0 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nice 0–3 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricStrasbourg all · 34Strasbourg at home · 17Nice all · 34Nice away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.561.760.940.71
W / D / L15 / 8 / 119 / 3 / 57 / 11 / 163 / 3 / 11
Goals for / match1.711.761.091.06
Goals against / match1.381.121.761.94
Clean sheets26%41%18%12%
Failed to score18%18%32%29%
Both teams scored65%53%59%65%
Over 2.565%65%50%59%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.461.501.241.11
xG against / match1.331.051.711.78
xG difference0.130.45-0.47-0.67
Finishing vs xG0.240.26-0.15-0.05
xPts / match1.441.631.120.99
Points vs xPts0.120.13-0.18-0.28
Game state
Scored first56%71%38%41%
PPG when scoring first2.052.081.851.43
PPG when conceding first0.921.000.280.11
Came back from behind31%17%24%8%
Leads held65%69%54%43%
Minutes leading26%31%20%15%
Minutes level52%59%48%47%
Minutes trailing22%10%32%38%
First goal (min)41384242
First goal conceded (min)39463838
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%57%49%39%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%63%52%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.410.240.210.24
Late goals against0.350.350.350.29
Style
Possession54%52%46%47%
Shots11.512.111.29.5
On target4.65.13.93.5
Shot conversion15%15%10%11%
Shots inside box69%70%65%66%
Big chances created3.03.32.72.1
Corners4.24.95.14.6
xG from set plays23%21%27%28%
Goals from headers16%10%11%6%
Pressure index14.216.39.08.4
Dominant minutes54.756.640.939.2
Pass accuracy88%88%82%82%
Fouls11.19.612.412.5
Cards1.941.472.122.24

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Strasbourg

0–15'47
16–30'106
31–45'115
46–60'914
61–75'103
76–90'1412

Nice

0–15'59
16–30'67
31–45'813
46–60'79
61–75'410
76–90'712

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Strasbourg · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.02

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.044
Early press (0-15, level)+0.114
Late push (76+, level)-0.532

Game state

When ahead+0.393
When level-0.044
When behind-0.063
10 min after conceding-0.144
10 min after scoring+1.023

Situations

At home+0.082
Away+0.002
4+ days rest+0.044

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.053
Evenly matched-0.022
As underdog+0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.214
Conceded when ahead+0.053
Conceded late (76+)+0.044

Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level -0.02

Nice · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: when behind +0.40

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.254
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)-0.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.092

Game state

When level+0.174
When behind+0.403
10 min after conceding+0.023

Situations

At home+0.252
Away+0.242
4+ days rest+0.254

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.432
v bottom-tier opponents+0.082
Evenly matched+0.272

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.204
Conceded late (76+)-0.084

Behind vs level +0.23

Strasbourg

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 12

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-117 50%1.591.761.471.61.46
3-4-2-110 29%1.11.61.41.551.24
4-4-1-12 6%1.52.02.01.021.73
3-5-21 3%0.01.02.00.621.57
3-4-1-21 3%3.02.00.00.410.26

Nice

Current: winless 12 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 21%0.861.291.861.331.64
3-4-2-16 18%1.171.01.51.611.26
5-4-15 15%0.60.61.00.891.23
3-4-1-24 12%1.751.51.00.951.66
3-5-23 9%0.330.671.671.421.86

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.95Home 49% P 49%3.6Draw 26% P 27%3.75Away 25% P 24%

Double Chance

1.25Strasbourg or Draw 38%1.28Strasbourg or Nice 37%1.83Draw or Nice 26%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58%2.2No 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 56%2.2Under 43% P 44%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 22.5–25% · 808 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home49%49%47%-1.9
Draw27%28%29%+1.7
Away24%24%24%+0.3

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 48%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.556%56%56%-0.2

Thomas Léonard

Career
156 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.08 (3.84 yellow · 0.18 red)
Fouls / match
24.6 · 6.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 88 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.924.06-0.3632
Fouls / match24.524.3+0.17
Fouls per card6.26.0+0.30 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.320.36-0.4332
Time added6.86.7+0.1648
First card
35' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.29

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-14 50 170 23'11
2026-03-01 40 260 17'13
2026-02-15 · Nice 40 280 21'7
2026-01-25 20 210 25'8
2025-12-05 61 320 10'8
2025-11-23 40 211 20'5
2025-11-02 · Strasbourg 20 240 83'7
2025-10-29 30 180 3'12
2025-10-19 50 190 21'9
2025-10-05 40 300 51'6