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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 29
ParisParis
4–1
FT
MonacoMonaco

Momentum

– ParisMonaco –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
29

Venue

Stadium
Stade Jean Bouin, Paris
Capacity
15,097
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
16,520

Teams

Coaches
Antoine Kombouare · Sebastien Pocognoli
Position
13 · 5
Formation
4-1-4-1 · 3-4-3

Referee

Eric Wattellier

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
13.7° (feels 12.4°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
49%

Where to watch · 156

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Paris

WDDWD 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 4 · xG 6.15–8.08 · xPts 5.66

  • D A Lorient 1–1 xG 1.28–1.15 FRA L1
  • W H Le Havre 3–2 xG 1.57–2.43 FRA L1
  • D A Strasbourg 0–0 xG 0.65–1.37 FRA L1
  • D A Olympique Lyonnais 1–1 xG 1.44–2.03 FRA L1
  • W H Nice 1–0 xG 1.2–1.1 FRA L1

Monaco

WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 3 · xG 8.7–7.07 · xPts 7.87

  • W H Olympique Marseille 2–1 xG 0.93–1.92 FRA L1
  • W A Olympique Lyonnais 2–1 xG 2.89–1.19 FRA L1
  • W H Brest 2–0 xG 1.75–1.41 FRA L1
  • W A Paris Saint Germain 3–1 xG 1.27–1.92 FRA L1
  • W H Angers SCO 2–0 xG 1.86–0.63 FRA L1

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Paris 20 draws0 Monaco

Goals 5–1 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Paris 20 draws0 Monaco

Goals 5–1 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Paris 20 draws0 Monaco

Goals 5–1 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • W Paris 4–1 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Monaco 0–1 Paris FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricParis all · 34Paris at home · 17Monaco all · 34Monaco away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.291.471.591.29
W / D / L11 / 11 / 127 / 4 / 616 / 6 / 126 / 4 / 7
Goals for / match1.381.651.761.59
Goals against / match1.471.591.591.82
Clean sheets24%24%21%12%
Failed to score26%29%21%29%
Both teams scored62%53%65%71%
Over 2.556%65%65%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.321.531.631.50
xG against / match1.621.601.431.65
xG difference-0.30-0.070.20-0.15
Finishing vs xG0.060.120.140.09
xPts / match1.251.391.491.30
Points vs xPts0.040.080.10-0.01
Game state
Scored first41%35%44%35%
PPG when scoring first2.142.672.531.83
PPG when conceding first0.630.800.821.00
Came back from behind33%40%33%30%
Leads held69%88%84%67%
Minutes leading23%25%28%22%
Minutes level49%40%51%54%
Minutes trailing28%34%21%25%
First goal (min)41414347
First goal conceded (min)40324747
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%54%63%63%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%52%61%64%
Late goals for (76'+)0.410.590.350.29
Late goals against0.380.350.410.53
Style
Possession50%52%54%53%
Shots11.713.512.512.9
On target4.04.54.44.4
Shot conversion12%12%14%12%
Shots inside box67%69%73%73%
Big chances created2.42.83.02.8
Corners4.45.55.15.2
xG from set plays26%30%25%24%
Goals from headers4%7%12%11%
Pressure index10.512.712.311.3
Dominant minutes46.054.550.047.4
Pass accuracy84%84%83%83%
Fouls10.610.813.013.2
Cards2.352.822.442.82

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Paris

0–15'73
16–30'99
31–45'59
46–60'510
61–75'76
76–90'1413

Monaco

0–15'55
16–30'76
31–45'1010
46–60'127
61–75'1412
76–90'1214

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Paris · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.124
Early press (0-15, level)-0.364
Late push (76+, level)-0.313

Game state

When ahead-0.062
When level-0.154
10 min after scoring-0.242

Situations

At home-0.212
Away-0.042
4+ days rest-0.124

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.082
v bottom-tier opponents-0.162
As favourite-0.162

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded when ahead+0.222
Conceded late (76+)-0.194

Ahead vs level +0.09

Monaco · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.03) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.43

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.037
Early press (0-15, level)+0.197
Late push (76+, level)+0.162

Game state

When ahead-0.096
When level+0.037
When behind+0.122
10 min after conceding-0.434
10 min after scoring+0.267

Situations

At home-0.113
Away+0.024
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.025

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.223
As favourite-0.044
Evenly matched+0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.196
Conceded late (76+)+0.106

Congested vs rested -0.03 · Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level +0.09

Paris

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-310 29%1.51.92.01.421.79
5-4-18 24%1.00.750.881.041.42
4-2-3-17 21%1.431.571.01.341.09
4-1-4-13 9%2.02.671.671.962.36
4-4-22 6%1.51.01.01.430.83

Monaco

Current: unbeaten 7 · wins 1 · scoring 8 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 41%1.571.641.291.471.31
4-2-3-17 21%1.861.711.141.731.2
3-1-4-23 9%2.03.03.02.472.15
4-2-2-22 6%0.50.51.50.920.66
3-4-1-22 6%3.02.51.02.081.55

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.4h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.8Home 25% P 25%3.75Draw 25% P 25%1.9Away 50% P 50%

Double Chance

1.8Paris FC or Draw 26%1.25Paris FC or Monaco 37%1.28Draw or Monaco 37%

Draw No Bet

2.751 34%1.42 66%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59%2.25No 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 59% P 58%2.3Under 41% P 42%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 22.5–25% · away 50–52.5% · 348 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home25%24%27%+3.4
Draw25%25%29%+3.7
Away50%51%44%-7.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 54%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.558%59%60%+0.8

Eric Wattellier

Career
147 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
3.39 (3.16 yellow · 0.18 red)
Fouls / match
21.6 · 6.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.4
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 94 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.434.06-1.338
Fouls / match20.624.3-1.89
Fouls per card6.16.0+0.04 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.430.36+0.5976
Time added6.36.7-0.2032
First card
40' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.33

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-03 10 170 36'4
2026-03-08 · Paris 20 161 27'9
2026-02-13 · Monaco 71 230 45'8
2026-02-01 11 141 75'11
2026-01-25 10 151 72'8
2026-01-03 21 180 13'6
2025-12-07 30 221 45'7
2025-11-29 30 170 42'7
2025-11-01 · Paris · Monaco 50 220 36'8
2025-10-26 41 341 61'11