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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 29

Momentum

LensPSG
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
29

Venue

Stadium
Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens
Capacity
38,223
Surface
grass
Attendance
38,139

Teams

Coaches
Pierre Sage · Luis Enrique
Position
2 · 1
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Benoît Bastien

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
8.0° (feels 4.8°)
Wind
5.9
Humidity
84%

Where to watch · 156

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Lens

LWDDW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 8 GA 9 · xG 9.37–5.5 · xPts 8.3

  • W H Nantes 1–0 xG 1.03–1.28 FRA L1
  • D A Nice 1–1 xG 0.69–1.0 FRA L1
  • D A Brest 3–3 xG 3.7–0.34 FRA L1
  • W H Toulouse 3–2 xG 3.34–0.27 FRA L1
  • L A LOSC Lille 0–3 xG 0.61–2.61 FRA L1

Paris Saint Germain

WWDDW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 12 GA 7 · xG 10.88–6.04 · xPts 9.8

  • W H Brest 1–0 xG 1.95–0.27 FRA L1
  • D A FC Bayern München 1–1 xG 1.37–1.8 UEFA CL
  • D H Lorient 2–2 xG 3.13–0.83 FRA L1
  • W H FC Bayern München 5–4 xG 2.02–2.41 UEFA CL
  • W A Angers SCO 3–0 xG 2.42–0.74 FRA L1

All meetings · 24 matches since 2005

Lens 47 draws13 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 23–41 · 2.67 per match · BTTS 62% · over 2.5 46%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Lens 12 draws7 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 8–18 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Lens 00 draws5 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 1–9 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • L Lens 0–2 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 2–0 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lens 1–2 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 1–0 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lens 0–2 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 3–1 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 3–1 Lens neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lens 3–1 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Paris Saint Germain 1–1 Lens neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Lens 1–1 Paris Saint Germain neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricLens all · 34Lens at home · 17Paris Saint Germain all · 34Paris Saint Germain away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.062.472.242.06
W / D / L22 / 4 / 814 / 0 / 324 / 4 / 611 / 2 / 4
Goals for / match1.942.062.181.94
Goals against / match1.030.760.851.00
Clean sheets35%47%53%41%
Failed to score18%12%6%12%
Both teams scored50%41%41%47%
Over 2.565%59%62%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.982.231.991.74
xG against / match1.291.080.981.16
xG difference0.691.151.010.58
Finishing vs xG-0.04-0.170.180.20
xPts / match1.732.011.991.74
Points vs xPts0.320.460.250.32
Game state
Scored first59%65%85%82%
PPG when scoring first2.752.732.622.50
PPG when conceding first1.082.000.000.00
Came back from behind43%57%14%0%
Leads held92%93%83%79%
Minutes leading35%41%44%37%
Minutes level43%42%45%52%
Minutes trailing21%17%11%11%
First goal (min)40383841
First goal conceded (min)37313846
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%63%55%52%
Goals conceded in 2nd half43%38%55%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.440.410.530.47
Late goals against0.150.060.240.41
Style
Possession51%52%69%68%
Shots16.418.217.715.2
On target5.66.46.76.4
Shot conversion12%11%12%13%
Shots inside box70%69%63%66%
Big chances created3.74.23.73.8
Corners6.26.86.45.2
xG from set plays23%24%29%26%
Goals from headers17%23%15%18%
Pressure index16.718.927.424.6
Dominant minutes54.660.673.068.8
Pass accuracy84%84%91%91%
Fouls12.712.69.18.6
Cards2.181.651.181.12

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Lens

0–15'67
16–30'77
31–45'136
46–60'163
61–75'97
76–90'155

Paris Saint Germain

0–15'113
16–30'76
31–45'154
46–60'115
61–75'123
76–90'188

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Lens · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.08) · stands out: when ahead -0.48

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.086
Early press (0-15, level)-0.116
Late push (76+, level)+0.144
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.124

Game state

When ahead-0.483
When level+0.196
When behind+0.165
10 min after conceding-0.106
10 min after scoring-0.095

Situations

Against ten men+0.012
At home-0.112
Away+0.174
4+ days rest+0.075

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.073
v bottom-tier opponents-0.102
As favourite-0.054

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.066
Conceded when ahead+0.513
Conceded late (76+)-0.416

Congested vs rested +0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.67 · Behind vs level -0.02

Paris Saint Germain · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: when behind +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.475
Early press (0-15, level)+0.635
Late push (76+, level)-0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.203

Game state

When ahead+0.283
When level+0.405
When behind+0.673
10 min after conceding+0.143
10 min after scoring+0.665

Situations

At home+0.582
Away+0.433
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.232
v mid-tier opponents+0.472
As favourite+0.475

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.325
Conceded when ahead-0.223
Conceded late (76+)-0.424

Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level +0.26

Lens

Current: winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-134 100%2.061.941.031.981.29

Paris Saint Germain

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 36 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-333 97%2.32.240.852.030.97
3-5-21 3%0.00.01.00.661.17

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.2Home 30% P 30%4.1Draw 23% P 24%2.0Away 47% P 47%

Double Chance

1.7Lens or Draw 28%1.25Lens or PSG 38%1.36Draw or PSG 35%

Draw No Bet

2.21 42%1.612 58%

Both Teams To Score

1.4Yes 66%2.75No 34%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.44Over 66% P 69%2.75Under 34% P 31%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58% P 54%2.2Under 42% P 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 45–47.5% · 218 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home30%28%34%+6.0
Draw24%26%22%-3.6
Away47%46%44%-2.4

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 59%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.569%69%69%+0.6

Benoît Bastien

Career
347 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.35 (4.09 yellow · 0.18 red)
Fouls / match
23.7 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.37
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 92 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.264.06+0.3472
Fouls / match24.624.3+0.19
Fouls per card5.86.0-0.30 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.380.36+0.1652
Time added7.36.7+0.5280
First card
31' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.22

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-05-10 60 422 41'9
2026-04-26 50 301 38'12
2026-04-12 50 310 45'9
2026-04-09 40 301 17'10
2026-03-22 40 140 1'13
2026-03-18 12 8
2026-03-08 40 320 21'7
2026-02-26 41 240 28'8
2026-02-13 · Paris Saint Germain 19 7
2026-02-08 40 210 13'7