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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 30

Momentum

LOSC LilleNice
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
30

Venue

Stadium
Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
Capacity
50,186
Surface
grass
Attendance
40,159

Teams

Coaches
Bruno Génésio · Claude Puel
Position
3 · 15
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 5-4-1

Referee

Bastien Dechepy

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
10.1° (feels 9.1°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
75%

Where to watch · 156

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

LOSC Lille

WLWWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 11 GA 4 · xG 7.67–5.38 · xPts 8.08

  • W A Toulouse 4–0 xG 1.98–1.21 FRA L1
  • W H Lens 3–0 xG 2.61–0.61 FRA L1
  • W A Olympique Marseille 2–1 xG 1.24–0.84 FRA L1
  • L A Aston Villa 0–2 xG 0.46–1.06 UEFA EL
  • W A Rennes 2–1 xG 1.39–1.66 FRA L1

Nice

LWLLD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 12 · xG 6.1–10.77 · xPts 4.68

  • D H Le Havre 1–1 xG 2.28–2.11 FRA L1
  • L A Strasbourg 1–3 xG 0.56–3.08 FRA L1
  • L H Paris Saint Germain 0–4 xG 0.46–2.69 FRA L1
  • W A Angers SCO 2–0 xG 1.28–0.98 FRA L1
  • L H Rennes 0–4 xG 1.52–1.91 FRA L1

All meetings · 41 matches since 2005

LOSC Lille 919 draws13 Nice

Goals 45–48 · 2.27 per match · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 32%

Last 10 · 10 matches

LOSC Lille 24 draws4 Nice

Goals 11–16 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

LOSC Lille 13 draws1 Nice

Goals 6–7 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D LOSC Lille 0–0 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nice 2–0 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W LOSC Lille 2–1 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nice 2–2 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D LOSC Lille 2–2 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nice 1–1 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nice 1–0 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L LOSC Lille 1–2 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nice 1–3 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L LOSC Lille 0–4 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricLOSC Lille all · 34LOSC Lille at home · 17Nice all · 34Nice away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.791.710.940.71
W / D / L18 / 7 / 98 / 5 / 47 / 11 / 163 / 3 / 11
Goals for / match1.531.411.091.06
Goals against / match1.091.001.761.94
Clean sheets38%35%18%12%
Failed to score29%24%32%29%
Both teams scored38%47%59%65%
Over 2.538%29%50%59%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.581.711.241.11
xG against / match1.040.891.711.78
xG difference0.540.83-0.47-0.67
Finishing vs xG-0.05-0.30-0.15-0.05
xPts / match1.711.891.120.99
Points vs xPts0.09-0.18-0.18-0.28
Game state
Scored first53%47%38%41%
PPG when scoring first2.672.501.851.43
PPG when conceding first0.791.000.280.11
Came back from behind40%50%24%8%
Leads held86%80%54%43%
Minutes leading26%18%20%15%
Minutes level52%59%48%47%
Minutes trailing22%22%32%38%
First goal (min)48604242
First goal conceded (min)44473838
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half71%71%49%39%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%65%52%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.680.650.210.24
Late goals against0.210.240.350.29
Style
Possession56%57%46%47%
Shots13.614.811.29.5
On target4.64.83.93.5
Shot conversion11%10%10%11%
Shots inside box70%73%65%66%
Big chances created2.83.12.72.1
Corners5.76.45.14.6
xG from set plays30%30%27%28%
Goals from headers10%8%11%6%
Pressure index15.215.89.08.4
Dominant minutes61.463.040.939.2
Pass accuracy85%85%82%82%
Fouls10.710.512.412.5
Cards2.412.062.122.24

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

LOSC Lille

0–15'53
16–30'54
31–45'57
46–60'99
61–75'57
76–90'237

Nice

0–15'59
16–30'67
31–45'813
46–60'79
61–75'410
76–90'712

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

LOSC Lille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.05) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.055
Early press (0-15, level)+0.255

Game state

When ahead-0.065
When level+0.025
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.385

Situations

At home+0.023
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.182
As favourite+0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.265
Conceded when ahead+0.155
Conceded late (76+)-0.165

Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.26

Nice · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: when behind +0.41

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.254
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)-0.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.082

Game state

When level+0.174
When behind+0.413
10 min after conceding+0.023

Situations

At home+0.262
Away+0.242
4+ days rest+0.254

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.432
v bottom-tier opponents+0.082
Evenly matched+0.272

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.204
Conceded late (76+)-0.084

Behind vs level +0.23

LOSC Lille

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-129 85%1.931.550.91.580.98
4-3-32 6%0.50.52.00.861.28
5-4-11 3%0.01.04.01.963.0
4-3-1-21 3%1.01.01.00.640.59
4-4-21 3%3.04.02.03.730.93

Nice

Current: winless 12 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 21%0.861.291.861.331.64
3-4-2-16 18%1.171.01.51.611.26
5-4-15 15%0.60.61.00.891.23
3-4-1-24 12%1.751.51.00.951.66
3-4-33 9%1.332.03.01.23.1

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.5Home 63% P 65%4.33Draw 22% P 21%6.25Away 15% P 15%

Double Chance

1.12Lille or Draw 42%1.2Lille or Nice 39%2.5Draw or Nice 19%

Draw No Bet

1.161 81%5.02 19%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52%1.95No 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 58%2.2Under 43% P 42%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

4.51.9Over 49%1.8Under 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 62.5–65% · away 12.5–15% · 544 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home65%64%63%-0.9
Draw21%22%24%+2.1
Away15%14%13%-1.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 55%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.558%59%60%+0.8

Bastien Dechepy

Career
99 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
4.14 (3.87 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
25.1 · 6.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.41
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 82 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.34.06+0.4376
Fouls / match24.624.3+0.23
Fouls per card5.86.0-0.34 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.36+0.4972
Time added6.56.7-0.0536
First card
36' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.21

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-22 40 260 32'7
2026-03-07 50 290 12'7
2026-02-14 30 221 45'8
2026-01-31 90 300 16'7
2026-01-17 70 390 14'5
2025-12-13 40 261 45'7
2025-11-30 30 261 44'8
2025-11-08 31 342 45'10
2025-10-29 · LOSC Lille · Nice 60 211 35'8
2025-10-18 31 291 34'11