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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 30
MetzMetz
1–3
FT
ParisParis

Momentum

– MetzParis –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
30

Venue

Stadium
Stade Saint-Symphorien, Longeville-lès-Metz
Capacity
28,786
Surface
grass
Attendance
19,409

Teams

Coaches
Benoit Tavenot · Antoine Kombouare
Position
18 · 12
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Jeremy Stinat

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
15.6° (feels 14.2°)
Wind
5.1
Humidity
41%

Where to watch · 156

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Metz

LLDDL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 10 · xG 5.21–9.48 · xPts 4.7

  • L A Olympique Marseille 1–3 xG 0.33–2.39 FRA L1
  • D H Nantes 0–0 xG 2.01–0.77 FRA L1
  • D A Rennes 0–0 xG 0.44–1.74 FRA L1
  • L H Toulouse 3–4 xG 2.0–1.68 FRA L1
  • L A Lens 0–3 xG 0.43–2.9 FRA L1

Paris

DDWDW 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 9 GA 5 · xG 7.39–9.13 · xPts 5.79

  • W H Monaco 4–1 xG 2.44–2.15 FRA L1
  • D A Lorient 1–1 xG 1.28–1.15 FRA L1
  • W H Le Havre 3–2 xG 1.57–2.43 FRA L1
  • D A Strasbourg 0–0 xG 0.65–1.37 FRA L1
  • D A Olympique Lyonnais 1–1 xG 1.44–2.03 FRA L1

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Metz 00 draws2 Paris

Goals 3–6 · 4.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Metz 00 draws2 Paris

Goals 3–6 · 4.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Metz 00 draws2 Paris

Goals 3–6 · 4.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • L Metz 1–3 Paris FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris 3–2 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricMetz all · 34Metz at home · 17Paris all · 34Paris away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.500.591.291.12
W / D / L3 / 8 / 232 / 4 / 1111 / 11 / 124 / 7 / 6
Goals for / match0.940.881.381.12
Goals against / match2.241.881.471.35
Clean sheets21%24%24%24%
Failed to score44%47%26%24%
Both teams scored50%47%62%71%
Over 2.562%53%56%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.001.161.321.12
xG against / match1.771.411.621.64
xG difference-0.77-0.25-0.30-0.52
Finishing vs xG-0.06-0.280.060.00
xPts / match0.931.211.251.11
Points vs xPts-0.43-0.620.040.01
Game state
Scored first21%18%41%47%
PPG when scoring first1.141.332.141.75
PPG when conceding first0.180.270.630.33
Came back from behind8%8%33%25%
Leads held38%50%69%50%
Minutes leading6%6%23%21%
Minutes level52%58%49%58%
Minutes trailing42%35%28%20%
First goal (min)42484141
First goal conceded (min)31394047
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%60%55%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%56%58%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.320.350.410.24
Late goals against0.710.710.380.41
Style
Possession49%50%50%49%
Shots10.111.811.79.9
On target3.23.84.03.4
Shot conversion9%8%12%11%
Shots inside box62%61%67%64%
Big chances created1.41.82.41.9
Corners4.24.94.43.2
xG from set plays33%31%26%21%
Goals from headers16%13%4%0%
Pressure index8.710.110.58.3
Dominant minutes40.346.846.037.5
Pass accuracy85%86%84%84%
Fouls11.411.510.610.4
Cards1.761.472.351.88

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Metz

0–15'412
16–30'49
31–45'613
46–60'59
61–75'29
76–90'1124

Paris

0–15'73
16–30'99
31–45'59
46–60'510
61–75'76
76–90'1413

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Metz

No pressure profile yet.

Paris · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.124
Early press (0-15, level)-0.364
Late push (76+, level)-0.313

Game state

When ahead-0.062
When level-0.154
10 min after scoring-0.242

Situations

At home-0.212
Away-0.042
4+ days rest-0.124

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.082
v bottom-tier opponents-0.162
As favourite-0.162

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded when ahead+0.222
Conceded late (76+)-0.194

Ahead vs level +0.09

Metz

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 22 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-119 56%0.581.112.051.041.7
3-4-2-15 15%0.20.42.60.771.98
4-3-34 12%0.250.753.01.022.05
4-1-4-13 9%1.00.671.331.421.38
5-3-22 6%0.00.02.00.321.82

Paris

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-310 29%1.51.92.01.421.79
5-4-18 24%1.00.750.881.041.42
4-2-3-17 21%1.431.571.01.341.09
4-1-4-13 9%2.02.671.671.962.36
4-4-22 6%1.51.01.01.430.83

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.9Home 32% P 31%3.6Draw 26% P 27%2.25Away 42% P 42%

Double Chance

1.61Metz or Draw 29%1.28Metz or Paris FC 37%1.36Draw or Paris FC 34%

Draw No Bet

2.21 42%1.612 58%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58%2.2No 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 57%2.0Under 47% P 43%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.52.1Over 44% P 45%1.66Under 56% P 55%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 40–42.5% · 560 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home31%31%31%-0.2
Draw27%28%24%-4.2
Away42%41%46%+4.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 54%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.557%56%56%-0.2

Jeremy Stinat

Career
134 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
4.1 (3.85 yellow · 0.16 red)
Fouls / match
25.3 · 6.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 90 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.14.06+0.0160
Fouls / match24.324.3+0.08
Fouls per card6.16.0+0.05 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.30.36-0.6020
Time added7.26.7+0.4472
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.18

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-15 41 230 42'5
2026-03-01 · Metz 31 250 22'8
2026-02-22 50 191 29'11
2026-01-30 30 300 49'13
2026-01-04 50 250 13'7
2025-11-28 · Metz –– 17– –7
2025-11-02 30 260 58'6
2025-10-29 · Paris 82 340 25'11
2025-10-18 40 290 1'8
2025-09-14 61 221 23'11