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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 30

Momentum

StrasbourgRennes
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
30

Venue

Stadium
Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
Capacity
29,200
Surface
grass
Attendance
29,000

Teams

Coaches
Gary O'Neil · Franck Haise
Position
8 · 6
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Ruddy Buquet

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
17.0° (feels 15.7°)
Wind
5.1
Humidity
36%

Where to watch · 156

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Strasbourg

DWWLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 6 · xG 10.84–5.09 · xPts 9.96

  • W H FSV Mainz 05 4–0 xG 2.93–0.34 UEFA ECL
  • L A FSV Mainz 05 0–2 xG 1.08–1.55 UEFA ECL
  • W H Nice 3–1 xG 3.08–0.56 FRA L1
  • W A Nantes 3–2 xG 2.11–1.39 FRA L1
  • D H Rijeka 1–1 xG 1.64–1.25 UEFA ECL

Rennes

WLDWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 6 · xG 9.82–5.68 · xPts 9.4

  • W H Angers SCO 2–1 xG 1.29–1.16 FRA L1
  • W A Brest 4–3 xG 3.21–1.18 FRA L1
  • D H Metz 0–0 xG 1.74–0.44 FRA L1
  • L H LOSC Lille 1–2 xG 1.66–1.39 FRA L1
  • W A Nice 4–0 xG 1.91–1.52 FRA L1

All meetings · 21 matches since 2005

Strasbourg 62 draws13 Rennes

Goals 22–34 · 2.67 per match · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 57%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Strasbourg 31 draws6 Rennes

Goals 10–18 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Strasbourg 20 draws3 Rennes

Goals 6–9 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Strasbourg 0–3 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Rennes 4–1 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Rennes 1–0 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Strasbourg 3–1 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Strasbourg 2–0 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Rennes 1–1 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Rennes 3–0 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Strasbourg 1–3 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Strasbourg 2–1 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Rennes 1–0 Strasbourg neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricStrasbourg all · 34Strasbourg at home · 17Rennes all · 34Rennes away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.561.761.741.47
W / D / L15 / 8 / 119 / 3 / 517 / 8 / 97 / 4 / 6
Goals for / match1.711.761.741.71
Goals against / match1.381.121.471.94
Clean sheets26%41%29%35%
Failed to score18%18%18%18%
Both teams scored65%53%59%47%
Over 2.565%65%71%76%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.461.501.561.40
xG against / match1.331.051.541.73
xG difference0.130.450.02-0.33
Finishing vs xG0.240.260.180.30
xPts / match1.441.631.431.20
Points vs xPts0.120.130.310.27
Game state
Scored first56%71%56%71%
PPG when scoring first2.052.082.261.83
PPG when conceding first0.921.001.080.60
Came back from behind31%17%40%14%
Leads held65%69%71%54%
Minutes leading26%31%36%42%
Minutes level52%59%41%35%
Minutes trailing22%10%23%23%
First goal (min)41383731
First goal conceded (min)39464037
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%57%54%45%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%63%62%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.410.240.350.18
Late goals against0.350.350.290.41
Style
Possession54%52%54%52%
Shots11.512.114.112.5
On target4.65.15.04.5
Shot conversion15%15%12%14%
Shots inside box69%70%62%65%
Big chances created3.03.32.42.0
Corners4.24.96.05.5
xG from set plays23%21%29%30%
Goals from headers16%10%19%7%
Pressure index14.216.314.112.7
Dominant minutes54.756.651.951.4
Pass accuracy88%88%84%84%
Fouls11.19.612.311.8
Cards1.941.471.822.06

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Strasbourg

0–15'47
16–30'106
31–45'115
46–60'914
61–75'103
76–90'1412

Rennes

0–15'78
16–30'151
31–45'510
46–60'1211
61–75'810
76–90'1210

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Strasbourg · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.02

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.044
Early press (0-15, level)+0.114
Late push (76+, level)-0.532

Game state

When ahead+0.393
When level-0.044
When behind-0.063
10 min after conceding-0.144
10 min after scoring+1.023

Situations

At home+0.082
Away+0.002
4+ days rest+0.044

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.053
Evenly matched-0.022
As underdog+0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.214
Conceded when ahead+0.053
Conceded late (76+)+0.044

Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level -0.02

Rennes · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.27) · stands out: when level +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.275
Early press (0-15, level)+0.245
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.014
When level+0.555
10 min after conceding-0.423
10 min after scoring-0.024

Situations

At home-0.123
Away+0.832
4+ days rest+0.275

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.252
v bottom-tier opponents+0.142
As favourite+0.444

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.105
Conceded when ahead+0.174
Conceded late (76+)-0.155

Ahead vs level -0.54

Strasbourg

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 12

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-117 50%1.591.761.471.61.46
3-4-2-110 29%1.11.61.41.551.24
4-4-1-12 6%1.52.02.01.021.73
3-1-4-21 3%3.01.00.01.340.72
5-3-21 3%3.01.00.00.740.21

Rennes

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-218 53%1.51.561.721.41.61
4-4-26 18%2.02.331.832.01.29
4-3-35 15%2.01.60.61.471.07
4-2-3-12 6%3.03.00.51.352.23
5-3-21 3%3.01.00.00.972.28

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.9Home 24% P 24%4.2Draw 23% P 24%1.8Away 53% P 52%

Double Chance

1.53Strasbourg or Draw 30%1.28Strasbourg or Rennes 36%1.4Draw or Rennes 33%

Draw No Bet

2.751 34%1.42 66%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59%2.25No 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 62%2.2Under 43% P 38%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 22.5–25% · away 50–52.5% · 348 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home24%24%27%+3.4
Draw24%25%29%+3.7
Away52%51%44%-7.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 54%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,029 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.562%61%63%+1.6

Ruddy Buquet

Career
355 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
4.37 (4.08 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
20.3 · 3.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 76 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.334.06+0.4880
Fouls / match24.024.3-0.08
Fouls per card5.56.0-0.66 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.350.36-0.0736
Time added7.16.7+0.3764
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.26

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-05 30 270 46'7
2026-03-06 40 180 45'16
2026-03-01 40 210 20'9
2026-02-22 · Strasbourg 30 231 54'13
2026-01-31 · Rennes 30 240 12'12
2026-01-17 20 170 68'9
2025-12-07 20 231 78'7
2025-11-23 20 340 45'10
2025-10-29 · Strasbourg 20 270 90'7
2025-10-24 50 230 24'14