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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 30
LorientLorient
2–0
FT
Olympique MarseilleOM

Momentum

– LorientOM –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
30

Venue

Stadium
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir, Lorient
Capacity
18,110
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
16,585

Teams

Coaches
Olivier Pantaloni · Habib Beye
Position
9 · 4
Formation
3-4-3 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Eric Wattellier

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
17.2° (feels 16.2°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
48%

Where to watch · 156

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Lorient

DWLDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 5.8–5.72 · xPts 6.72

  • L A Olympique Lyonnais 0–2 xG 1.3–1.11 FRA L1
  • D H Paris 1–1 xG 1.15–1.28 FRA L1
  • L A Toulouse 0–1 xG 0.72–1.05 FRA L1
  • W H Lens 2–1 xG 2.04–1.64 FRA L1
  • D A LOSC Lille 1–1 xG 0.59–0.64 FRA L1

Olympique Marseille

WWLLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 5 · xG 6.99–3.85 · xPts 8.78

  • W H Metz 3–1 xG 2.39–0.33 FRA L1
  • L A Monaco 1–2 xG 1.92–0.93 FRA L1
  • L H LOSC Lille 1–2 xG 0.84–1.24 FRA L1
  • W H Auxerre 1–0 xG 1.14–0.39 FRA L1
  • W A Toulouse 1–0 xG 0.7–0.97 FRA L1

All meetings · 32 matches since 2006

Lorient 77 draws18 Olympique Marseille

Goals 36–58 · 2.94 per match · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 56%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Lorient 11 draws8 Olympique Marseille

Goals 9–25 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Lorient 11 draws3 Olympique Marseille

Goals 5–11 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Lorient 2–0 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Marseille 4–0 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Marseille 3–1 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lorient 2–4 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Lorient 0–0 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Marseille 3–1 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lorient 0–3 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Marseille 4–1 Lorient neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Marseille 3–2 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lorient 0–1 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricLorient all · 34Lorient at home · 17Olympique Marseille all · 34Olympique Marseille away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.321.761.741.29
W / D / L11 / 12 / 118 / 6 / 318 / 5 / 117 / 1 / 9
Goals for / match1.411.821.851.29
Goals against / match1.501.471.321.47
Clean sheets21%24%26%24%
Failed to score29%6%24%41%
Both teams scored53%71%50%35%
Over 2.544%53%62%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.621.701.61
xG against / match1.381.181.201.35
xG difference-0.030.430.490.25
Finishing vs xG0.070.210.16-0.31
xPts / match1.341.611.691.55
Points vs xPts-0.010.160.04-0.26
Game state
Scored first47%65%59%47%
PPG when scoring first2.192.182.402.38
PPG when conceding first0.531.000.790.33
Came back from behind42%62%31%10%
Leads held65%67%72%78%
Minutes leading26%37%38%28%
Minutes level49%50%41%43%
Minutes trailing25%13%21%29%
First goal (min)37363638
First goal conceded (min)45484647
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half58%55%59%54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half67%72%69%68%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.240.500.29
Late goals against0.470.530.440.29
Style
Possession45%46%57%56%
Shots11.311.915.114.4
On target3.94.45.75.1
Shot conversion12%15%12%9%
Shots inside box63%64%64%64%
Big chances created2.02.53.02.6
Corners3.53.25.24.8
xG from set plays33%34%26%26%
Goals from headers6%10%10%4%
Pressure index10.110.617.615.8
Dominant minutes42.843.658.355.6
Pass accuracy84%84%87%87%
Fouls9.59.512.712.5
Cards1.681.712.532.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Lorient

0–15'46
16–30'76
31–45'95
46–60'811
61–75'77
76–90'1316

Olympique Marseille

0–15'95
16–30'106
31–45'73
46–60'1010
61–75'106
76–90'1715

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Lorient · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.96

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.124
Early press (0-15, level)+0.374
Late push (76+, level)-0.152

Game state

When ahead-0.322
When level-0.144
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.963

Situations

At home-0.072
Away-0.182
4+ days rest-0.124

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.022
Evenly matched-0.232

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.214
Conceded when ahead+0.162
Conceded late (76+)-0.064

Ahead vs level -0.18 · Behind vs level +0.28

Olympique Marseille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.56

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.105
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.064

Game state

When level+0.245
When behind-0.024
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.563

Situations

At home+0.282
Away-0.033
4+ days rest+0.105

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.173
As favourite+0.282
As underdog-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.065
Conceded late (76+)-0.325

Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level -0.27

Lorient

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-128 82%1.291.391.681.371.46
3-4-34 12%1.751.750.51.680.99
5-4-12 6%1.01.01.00.410.96

Olympique Marseille

Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%2.172.441.171.91.23
3-4-2-19 26%1.441.671.441.521.09
3-4-1-22 6%1.51.01.01.310.95
3-5-1-11 3%1.01.01.01.811.38
3-5-21 3%3.01.00.00.590.83

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.7h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.75Home 20% P 20%4.33Draw 22% P 22%1.61Away 58% P 59%

Double Chance

2.2Lorient or Draw 21%1.2Lorient or Marseille 39%1.18Draw or Marseille 40%

Draw No Bet

3.751 25%1.252 75%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59%2.25No 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.5Over 64% P 65%2.62Under 36% P 35%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%
4.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 17.5–20% · away 57.5–60% · 326 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home20%19%15%-3.2
Draw22%23%21%-1.4
Away59%59%63%+4.6

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 59%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.565%64%63%-0.4

Eric Wattellier

Career
147 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
3.39 (3.16 yellow · 0.18 red)
Fouls / match
21.6 · 6.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.4
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 94 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.434.06-1.368
Fouls / match20.624.3-1.90
Fouls per card6.16.0+0.05 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.430.36+0.6076
Time added6.36.7-0.2132
First card
40' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.33

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-10 10 110 59'7
2026-04-03 10 170 36'4
2026-03-08 20 161 27'9
2026-02-13 71 230 45'8
2026-02-01 11 141 75'11
2026-01-25 10 151 72'8
2026-01-03 21 180 13'6
2025-12-07 30 221 45'7
2025-11-29 · Olympique Marseille 30 170 42'7
2025-11-01 50 220 36'8