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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 30
Paris Saint GermainPSG
1–2
FT
Olympique LyonnaisLYO

Momentum

– PSGLYO –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
30

Venue

Stadium
Parc des Princes, Paris
Capacity
48,583
Surface
grass
Attendance
47,926

Teams

Coaches
Luis Enrique · Paulo Rodrigues Fonseca
Position
1 · 6
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-3-1-2

Referee

Jérôme Brisard

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
13.3° (feels 12.3°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
61%

Where to watch · 156

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Paris Saint Germain

WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 14 GA 1 · xG 8.42–5.12 · xPts 9.23

  • W A Liverpool 2–0 xG 1.21–2.56 UEFA CL
  • W H Liverpool 2–0 xG 1.94–0.25 UEFA CL
  • W H Toulouse 3–1 xG 1.49–0.15 FRA L1
  • W A Nice 4–0 xG 2.69–0.46 FRA L1
  • W A Chelsea 3–0 xG 1.1–1.7 UEFA CL

Olympique Lyonnais

DLLDW 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 4 · xG 4.76–7.15 · xPts 5.5

  • W H Lorient 2–0 xG 1.11–1.3 FRA L1
  • D A Angers SCO 0–0 xG 0.98–0.44 FRA L1
  • L H Monaco 1–2 xG 1.19–2.89 FRA L1
  • L H Celta de Vigo 0–2 xG 0.2–1.55 UEFA EL
  • D A Le Havre 0–0 xG 1.28–0.96 FRA L1

All meetings · 42 matches since 2005

Paris Saint Germain 218 draws13 Olympique Lyonnais

Goals 76–52 · 3.05 per match · BTTS 62% · over 2.5 55%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Paris Saint Germain 71 draws2 Olympique Lyonnais

Goals 22–12 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Paris Saint Germain 40 draws1 Olympique Lyonnais

Goals 14–8 · 4.4 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • L Paris Saint Germain 1–2 Olympique Lyonnais FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Olympique Lyonnais 2–3 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Olympique Lyonnais 2–3 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Paris Saint Germain 3–1 Olympique Lyonnais FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Paris Saint Germain 4–1 Olympique Lyonnais FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Olympique Lyonnais 1–4 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 0–1 Olympique Lyonnais neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Olympique Lyonnais 0–1 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Lyonnais 1–1 Paris Saint Germain neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Paris Saint Germain 2–1 Olympique Lyonnais neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricParis Saint Germain all · 34Paris Saint Germain at home · 17Olympique Lyonnais all · 34Olympique Lyonnais away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.242.411.761.35
W / D / L24 / 4 / 613 / 2 / 218 / 6 / 106 / 5 / 6
Goals for / match2.182.411.561.35
Goals against / match0.850.711.181.29
Clean sheets53%65%44%41%
Failed to score6%0%18%29%
Both teams scored41%35%50%53%
Over 2.562%71%56%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.992.251.541.29
xG against / match0.980.801.391.53
xG difference1.011.450.15-0.24
Finishing vs xG0.180.160.020.06
xPts / match1.992.241.471.24
Points vs xPts0.250.180.300.12
Game state
Scored first85%88%62%53%
PPG when scoring first2.622.732.332.11
PPG when conceding first0.000.000.780.00
Came back from behind14%33%23%0%
Leads held83%87%78%67%
Minutes leading44%50%36%38%
Minutes level45%38%50%45%
Minutes trailing11%12%14%17%
First goal (min)38363727
First goal conceded (min)38254646
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%58%49%39%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%42%62%68%
Late goals for (76'+)0.530.590.260.24
Late goals against0.240.060.440.59
Style
Possession69%69%55%53%
Shots17.720.212.311.0
On target6.77.04.74.6
Shot conversion12%12%13%12%
Shots inside box63%61%68%67%
Big chances created3.73.52.72.3
Corners6.47.55.95.2
xG from set plays29%31%26%27%
Goals from headers15%12%17%22%
Pressure index27.430.314.511.2
Dominant minutes73.077.253.448.8
Pass accuracy91%91%85%84%
Fouls9.19.513.012.7
Cards1.181.242.152.47

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Paris Saint Germain

0–15'113
16–30'76
31–45'154
46–60'115
61–75'123
76–90'188

Olympique Lyonnais

0–15'63
16–30'93
31–45'129
46–60'105
61–75'75
76–90'915

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Paris Saint Germain · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.475
Early press (0-15, level)+0.635
Late push (76+, level)-0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.203

Game state

When ahead+0.283
When level+0.405
When behind+0.673
10 min after conceding+0.143
10 min after scoring+0.675

Situations

At home+0.582
Away+0.433
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.232
v mid-tier opponents+0.472
As favourite+0.475

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.315
Conceded when ahead-0.223
Conceded late (76+)-0.424

Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level +0.26

Olympique Lyonnais · 8 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.42

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.028
Early press (0-15, level)-0.118
Late push (76+, level)-0.353
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.332

Game state

When ahead+0.155
When level-0.128
When behind-0.052
10 min after conceding-0.145
10 min after scoring+0.427

Situations

At home+0.094
Away-0.134
4+ days rest-0.017

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.032
v mid-tier opponents-0.242
v bottom-tier opponents+0.102
As favourite+0.094
Evenly matched-0.163

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.008
Conceded when ahead-0.115
Conceded late (76+)-0.327

Congested vs rested -0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.07

Paris Saint Germain

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 36 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-333 97%2.32.240.852.030.97
3-5-21 3%0.00.01.00.661.17

Olympique Lyonnais

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-117 50%1.351.411.291.621.38
4-3-37 21%2.571.290.711.251.15
4-3-1-24 12%1.51.752.251.461.94
3-4-2-13 9%2.01.670.331.611.37
4-1-4-12 6%2.01.50.51.571.37

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.33Home 71% P 72%5.5Draw 17% P 17%8.0Away 12% P 11%

Double Chance

1.07PSG or Draw 44%1.12PSG or Lyon 42%3.4Draw or Lyon 14%

Draw No Bet

1.111 85%6.52 15%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53%2.0No 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.4Over 68% P 65%3.0Under 32% P 35%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46% P 45%1.72Under 54% P 55%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 70–72.5% · away 10–12.5% · 534 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home72%71%75%+4.2
Draw17%18%15%-2.5
Away11%11%9%-1.7

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 62%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.565%64%63%-0.4

Jérôme Brisard

Career
207 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
4.0 (3.73 yellow · 0.2 red)
Fouls / match
24.4 · 6.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.35
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 89 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.914.06-0.3828
Fouls / match23.424.3-0.39
Fouls per card6.16.0+0.13 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.360.36-0.0344
Time added7.46.7+0.5988
First card
32' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.1

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-05 31 240 38'7
2026-03-15 70 230 16'15
2026-03-01 · Olympique Lyonnais 50 240 30'16
2026-02-15 61 230 2'12
2026-01-16 · Paris Saint Germain 10 200 62'6
2026-01-03 · Olympique Lyonnais 51 260 7'13
2025-12-05 20 200 26'9
2025-11-27 21 240 27'6
2025-11-22 52 260 3'7
2025-11-02 10 200 88'7