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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 30
LensLens
3–2
FT
ToulouseToulouse

Momentum

– LensToulouse –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
30

Venue

Stadium
Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens
Capacity
38,223
Surface
grass
Attendance
37,351

Teams

Coaches
Pierre Sage · Carles Martínez Novell
Position
2 · 10
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Jérémie Pignard

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
15.0° (feels 14.6°)
Wind
1.3
Humidity
76%

Where to watch · 156

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Lens

DWLWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 7 · xG 9.98–7.5 · xPts 8.45

  • L A LOSC Lille 0–3 xG 0.61–2.61 FRA L1
  • W H Angers SCO 5–1 xG 3.02–1.9 FRA L1
  • L A Lorient 1–2 xG 1.64–2.04 FRA L1
  • W H Metz 3–0 xG 2.9–0.43 FRA L1
  • D A Strasbourg 1–1 xG 1.81–0.52 FRA L1

Toulouse

LWWLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 11 · xG 5.05–6.89 · xPts 5.62

  • L H LOSC Lille 0–4 xG 1.21–1.98 FRA L1
  • L A Paris Saint Germain 1–3 xG 0.15–1.49 FRA L1
  • W H Lorient 1–0 xG 1.05–0.72 FRA L1
  • W A Metz 4–3 xG 1.68–2.0 FRA L1
  • L H Olympique Marseille 0–1 xG 0.97–0.7 FRA L1

All meetings · 20 matches since 2005

Lens 115 draws4 Toulouse

Goals 26–13 · 1.95 per match · BTTS 35% · over 2.5 20%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Lens 81 draws1 Toulouse

Goals 18–5 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Lens 31 draws1 Toulouse

Goals 9–4 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Lens 3–2 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Toulouse 0–3 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Toulouse 1–1 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lens 0–1 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Toulouse 0–2 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lens 2–1 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Toulouse 0–1 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lens 3–0 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lens 1–0 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Toulouse 0–2 Lens neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricLens all · 34Lens at home · 17Toulouse all · 33Toulouse away · 16
Results
Matches34173316
Points per game2.062.471.331.25
W / D / L22 / 4 / 814 / 0 / 312 / 8 / 136 / 2 / 8
Goals for / match1.942.061.421.38
Goals against / match1.030.761.391.38
Clean sheets35%47%27%19%
Failed to score18%12%30%25%
Both teams scored50%41%48%56%
Over 2.565%59%54%56%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.982.231.381.11
xG against / match1.291.081.261.38
xG difference0.691.150.12-0.26
Finishing vs xG-0.04-0.170.040.26
xPts / match1.732.011.471.24
Points vs xPts0.320.46-0.130.01
Game state
Scored first59%65%39%44%
PPG when scoring first2.752.732.381.86
PPG when conceding first1.082.000.610.78
Came back from behind43%57%38%33%
Leads held92%93%80%67%
Minutes leading35%41%24%24%
Minutes level43%42%45%47%
Minutes trailing21%17%31%29%
First goal (min)40384141
First goal conceded (min)37314044
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%63%57%41%
Goals conceded in 2nd half43%38%52%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.440.410.480.38
Late goals against0.150.060.300.38
Style
Possession51%52%42%41%
Shots16.418.212.810.9
On target5.66.44.33.8
Shot conversion12%11%11%13%
Shots inside box70%69%65%60%
Big chances created3.74.21.91.7
Corners6.26.84.53.8
xG from set plays23%24%38%36%
Goals from headers17%23%15%23%
Pressure index16.718.98.67.6
Dominant minutes54.660.638.235.5
Pass accuracy84%84%80%79%
Fouls12.712.614.414.8
Cards2.181.652.583.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Lens

0–15'67
16–30'77
31–45'136
46–60'163
61–75'97
76–90'155

Toulouse

0–15'95
16–30'49
31–45'78
46–60'58
61–75'66
76–90'1610

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Lens · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: when ahead -0.48

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.015
Early press (0-15, level)-0.195
Late push (76+, level)+0.023
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.043

Game state

When ahead-0.483
When level+0.055
When behind+0.274
10 min after conceding-0.155
10 min after scoring-0.234

Situations

Against ten men+0.012
At home-0.112
Away+0.083
4+ days rest-0.044

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.073
v bottom-tier opponents-0.102
As favourite-0.054

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.115
Conceded when ahead+0.513
Conceded late (76+)-0.365

Congested vs rested +0.22 · Ahead vs level -0.54 · Behind vs level +0.22

Toulouse · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.20) · stands out: when level +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.204
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)+0.262
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.182

Game state

When level+0.354
When behind+0.033
10 min after conceding-0.264
10 min after scoring+0.392

Situations

At home+0.422
Away-0.012
4+ days rest+0.204

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.422
v mid-tier opponents-0.012
Evenly matched+0.063

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.044
Conceded late (76+)+0.104

Ahead vs level -0.73 · Behind vs level -0.32

Lens

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-134 100%2.061.941.031.981.29

Toulouse

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 10

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-123 70%1.01.041.391.251.2
3-4-39 27%2.332.220.891.611.24
5-4-11 3%0.03.06.02.362.75

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.6h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.42Home 66% P 64%4.5Draw 21% P 21%7.0Away 13% P 15%

Double Chance

1.1Lens or Draw 43%1.18Lens or Toulouse 40%2.75Draw or Toulouse 17%

Draw No Bet

1.121 84%6.02 16%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52%1.95No 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 59% P 58%2.3Under 41% P 42%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 62.5–65% · away 15–17.5% · 338 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home64%63%64%+0.7
Draw21%21%19%-2.0
Away15%16%17%+1.3

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 62%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.558%59%60%+0.8

Jérémie Pignard

Career
139 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
4.65 (4.34 yellow · 0.19 red)
Fouls / match
22.8 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.4
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 89 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.734.06+1.3192
Fouls / match23.224.3-0.51
Fouls per card4.96.0-1.54 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.510.36+1.3796
Time added6.16.7-0.3524
First card
31' on average
Card timing
20% in first 30' · 26% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.24

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-14 30 170 36'5
2026-03-07 30 210 11'9
2026-02-22 70 301 14'8
2026-02-07 · Lens 61 300 32'8
2026-01-31 50 272 43'8
2026-01-18 50 241 25'6
2025-12-14 74 311 17'9
2025-12-11 50 170 7'6
2025-11-21 40 190 14'6
2025-11-02 · Lens 40 181 26'4