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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 31
ToulouseToulouse
2–2
FT
MonacoMonaco

Momentum

– ToulouseMonaco –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
31

Venue

Stadium
Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
Capacity
33,150
Attendance
24,750

Teams

Coaches
Carles Martínez Novell · Sebastien Pocognoli
Position
12 · 7
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Clément Turpin

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
16.1° (feels 15.7°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
77%

Where to watch · 156

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Toulouse

WWLLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 8 GA 13 · xG 4.36–9.53 · xPts 4.16

  • L A Lens 2–3 xG 0.27–3.34 FRA L1
  • L H LOSC Lille 0–4 xG 1.21–1.98 FRA L1
  • L A Paris Saint Germain 1–3 xG 0.15–1.49 FRA L1
  • W H Lorient 1–0 xG 1.05–0.72 FRA L1
  • W A Metz 4–3 xG 1.68–2.0 FRA L1

Monaco

WWWLD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 8 · xG 9.9–7.69 · xPts 8.22

  • D H Auxerre 2–2 xG 2.18–0.74 FRA L1
  • L A Paris 1–4 xG 2.15–2.44 FRA L1
  • W H Olympique Marseille 2–1 xG 0.93–1.92 FRA L1
  • W A Olympique Lyonnais 2–1 xG 2.89–1.19 FRA L1
  • W H Brest 2–0 xG 1.75–1.41 FRA L1

All meetings · 33 matches since 2005

Toulouse 612 draws15 Monaco

Goals 35–50 · 2.58 per match · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 46%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Toulouse 22 draws6 Monaco

Goals 10–16 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Toulouse 12 draws2 Monaco

Goals 5–7 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Toulouse 2–2 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Monaco 1–0 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Toulouse 1–1 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Monaco 2–0 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Monaco 1–2 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Toulouse 1–2 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Monaco 1–2 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Toulouse 0–2 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Toulouse 1–2 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Monaco 2–1 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricToulouse all · 33Toulouse at home · 17Monaco all · 34Monaco away · 17
Results
Matches33173417
Points per game1.331.411.591.29
W / D / L12 / 8 / 136 / 6 / 516 / 6 / 126 / 4 / 7
Goals for / match1.421.471.761.59
Goals against / match1.391.411.591.82
Clean sheets27%35%21%12%
Failed to score30%35%21%29%
Both teams scored48%41%65%71%
Over 2.554%53%65%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.381.631.631.50
xG against / match1.261.151.431.65
xG difference0.120.480.20-0.15
Finishing vs xG0.04-0.160.140.09
xPts / match1.471.681.491.30
Points vs xPts-0.13-0.270.10-0.01
Game state
Scored first39%35%44%35%
PPG when scoring first2.383.002.531.83
PPG when conceding first0.610.440.821.00
Came back from behind38%44%33%30%
Leads held80%100%84%67%
Minutes leading24%24%28%22%
Minutes level45%43%51%54%
Minutes trailing31%33%21%25%
First goal (min)41424347
First goal conceded (min)40354747
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%72%63%63%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%54%61%64%
Late goals for (76'+)0.480.590.350.29
Late goals against0.300.240.410.53
Style
Possession42%43%54%53%
Shots12.814.712.512.9
On target4.34.84.44.4
Shot conversion11%10%14%12%
Shots inside box65%68%73%73%
Big chances created1.92.13.02.8
Corners4.55.15.15.2
xG from set plays38%38%25%24%
Goals from headers15%8%12%11%
Pressure index8.69.512.311.3
Dominant minutes38.240.850.047.4
Pass accuracy80%82%83%83%
Fouls14.413.913.013.2
Cards2.582.182.442.82

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Toulouse

0–15'95
16–30'49
31–45'78
46–60'58
61–75'66
76–90'1610

Monaco

0–15'55
16–30'76
31–45'1010
46–60'127
61–75'1412
76–90'1214

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Toulouse · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.20) · stands out: when level +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.204
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)+0.262
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.182

Game state

When level+0.354
When behind+0.033
10 min after conceding-0.264
10 min after scoring+0.392

Situations

At home+0.422
Away-0.012
4+ days rest+0.204

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.422
v mid-tier opponents-0.012
Evenly matched+0.063

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.044
Conceded late (76+)+0.104

Ahead vs level -0.73 · Behind vs level -0.32

Monaco · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.00) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.41

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.006
Early press (0-15, level)+0.306

Game state

When ahead-0.165
When level+0.216
When behind+0.122
10 min after conceding-0.413
10 min after scoring+0.236

Situations

At home-0.072
Away+0.024
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest+0.024

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.242
As favourite+0.013
Evenly matched+0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.235
Conceded late (76+)+0.025

Congested vs rested -0.07 · Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level -0.10

Toulouse

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 10

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-123 70%1.01.041.391.251.2
3-4-39 27%2.332.220.891.611.24
5-4-11 3%0.03.06.02.362.75

Monaco

Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 41%1.571.641.291.471.31
4-2-3-17 21%1.861.711.141.731.2
3-1-4-23 9%2.03.03.02.472.15
4-4-22 6%3.03.51.52.121.25
3-4-1-22 6%3.02.51.02.081.55

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.5h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.5Home 21% P 21%4.1Draw 23% P 23%1.7Away 56% P 55%

Double Chance

2.05Toulouse or Draw 23%1.22Toulouse or Monaco 39%1.22Draw or Monaco 39%

Draw No Bet

3.251 29%1.332 71%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58%2.2No 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.57Over 60% P 61%2.37Under 40% P 39%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.756 - 8 32%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 20–22.5% · away 55–57.5% · 207 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home21%21%18%-2.6
Draw23%23%25%+2.1
Away55%56%57%+0.4

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 63%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.561%61%63%+1.5

Clément Turpin

Career
413 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.74 (3.47 yellow · 0.21 red)
Fouls / match
21.9 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.39
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 90 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.494.06-1.2412
Fouls / match23.724.3-0.25
Fouls per card6.96.0+1.14 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.290.36-0.7016
Time added6.16.7-0.3524
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.11

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-22 30 191 35'6
2026-04-14 11 230 69'12
2026-04-05 · Monaco 40 230 8'7
2026-03-22 11 220 55'7
2026-03-17 31 131 20'13
2026-02-27 40 160 4'7
2026-02-24 30 130 40'9
2026-02-08 · Toulouse 50 270 54'5
2026-01-28 30 301 17'8
2026-01-24 20 250 19'6