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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 31

Momentum

Le HavreMetz
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
31

Venue

Stadium
Stade Océane, Le Havre
Capacity
25,181
Surface
grass
Attendance
19,162

Teams

Coaches
Didier Digard · Benoit Tavenot
Position
14 · 18
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-5-2

Referee

François Letexier

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
18.5° (feels 17.7°)
Wind
5.1
Humidity
48%

Where to watch · 156

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Le Havre

DLDDD 0W 4D 1L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 7.84–7.7 · xPts 6.86

  • D A Angers SCO 1–1 xG 1.68–1.08 FRA L1
  • D A Nice 1–1 xG 2.11–2.28 FRA L1
  • D H Auxerre 1–1 xG 0.66–1.49 FRA L1
  • L A Paris 2–3 xG 2.43–1.57 FRA L1
  • D H Olympique Lyonnais 0–0 xG 0.96–1.28 FRA L1

Metz

LDDLL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 10 · xG 5.71–7.98 · xPts 5.53

  • L H Paris 1–3 xG 0.94–1.41 FRA L1
  • L A Olympique Marseille 1–3 xG 0.33–2.39 FRA L1
  • D H Nantes 0–0 xG 2.01–0.77 FRA L1
  • D A Rennes 0–0 xG 0.44–1.74 FRA L1
  • L H Toulouse 3–4 xG 2.0–1.68 FRA L1

All meetings · 4 matches since 2023

Le Havre 03 draws1 Metz

Goals 4–5 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 25%

Last 10 · 4 matches

Le Havre 03 draws1 Metz

Goals 4–5 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 25%

Last 5 · 4 matches

Le Havre 03 draws1 Metz

Goals 4–5 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 25%

Recent meetings

  • D Le Havre 4–4 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Metz 0–0 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Le Havre 0–1 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Metz 0–0 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricLe Havre all · 34Le Havre at home · 17Metz all · 34Metz away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.031.350.500.41
W / D / L7 / 14 / 135 / 8 / 43 / 8 / 231 / 4 / 12
Goals for / match0.941.180.941.00
Goals against / match1.291.062.242.59
Clean sheets24%24%21%18%
Failed to score41%35%44%41%
Both teams scored50%59%50%53%
Over 2.532%41%62%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.331.000.84
xG against / match1.531.171.772.13
xG difference-0.360.16-0.77-1.29
Finishing vs xG-0.24-0.15-0.060.16
xPts / match1.191.500.930.65
Points vs xPts-0.16-0.15-0.43-0.24
Game state
Scored first35%35%21%24%
PPG when scoring first2.082.671.141.00
PPG when conceding first0.290.500.180.09
Came back from behind28%50%8%8%
Leads held58%83%38%25%
Minutes leading14%18%6%6%
Minutes level60%58%52%45%
Minutes trailing26%24%42%50%
First goal (min)41394237
First goal conceded (min)38343124
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%55%56%53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half48%33%55%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.240.320.29
Late goals against0.260.120.710.71
Style
Possession47%47%49%48%
Shots10.912.010.18.4
On target3.63.93.22.5
Shot conversion9%10%9%12%
Shots inside box62%62%62%64%
Big chances created2.02.21.41.0
Corners4.34.84.23.5
xG from set plays31%38%33%37%
Goals from headers19%15%16%19%
Pressure index9.912.68.77.3
Dominant minutes43.951.440.333.9
Pass accuracy80%81%85%85%
Fouls13.713.411.411.2
Cards2.031.941.762.06

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Le Havre

0–15'46
16–30'46
31–45'611
46–60'56
61–75'76
76–90'69

Metz

0–15'412
16–30'49
31–45'613
46–60'59
61–75'29
76–90'1124

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Le Havre · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: at home +0.15

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.144
Early press (0-15, level)-0.064
Late push (76+, level)-0.302
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.102

Game state

When level+0.084
When behind+0.212
10 min after conceding+0.113
10 min after scoring+0.212

Situations

At home+0.153
4+ days rest+0.144

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.102
Evenly matched+0.182
As underdog+0.102

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.054
Conceded late (76+)-0.364

Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level +0.12

Metz

No pressure profile yet.

Le Havre

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-37 21%0.860.571.141.231.31
4-1-3-26 18%1.00.671.171.361.68
4-1-4-15 15%0.61.01.61.221.26
4-2-3-15 15%1.21.61.41.511.35
3-4-1-24 12%0.750.751.01.191.9

Metz

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 22 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-119 56%0.581.112.051.041.7
3-4-2-15 15%0.20.42.60.771.98
4-3-34 12%0.250.753.01.022.05
4-1-4-13 9%1.00.671.331.421.38
5-3-22 6%0.00.02.00.321.82

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.6Home 59% P 60%4.33Draw 22% P 23%5.0Away 19% P 17%

Double Chance

1.14Le Havre or Draw 41%1.2Le Havre or Metz 39%2.25Draw or Metz 21%

Draw No Bet

1.21 78%4.332 22%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50%1.9No 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 59%2.0Under 47% P 41%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58% P 57%2.2Under 42% P 43%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 15–17.5% · 649 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home60%61%62%+0.4
Draw23%23%23%+0.7
Away17%16%15%-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 58%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.559%59%60%+0.8

François Letexier

Career
253 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
4.35 (4.09 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
23.3 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.39
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 86 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.444.06+0.7184
Fouls / match22.924.3-0.68
Fouls per card5.26.0-1.21 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.380.36+0.2056
Time added7.26.7+0.4472
First card
31' on average
Card timing
19% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.36

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-15 10 180 70'5
2026-04-04 50 221 45'14
2026-03-22 31 301 40'10
2026-03-18 40 221 17'18
2026-03-14 40 230 50'9
2026-02-17 40 150 51'16
2026-02-14 60 211 26'6
2026-02-08 50 190 8'6
2026-02-01 50 260 42'9
2026-01-28 20 191 45'8