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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 31

Momentum

BrestLens
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
31

Venue

Stadium
Stade Francis-Le Ble, Brest
Capacity
15,097
Surface
grass
Attendance
14,550

Teams

Coaches
Eric Roy · Pierre Sage
Position
12 · 2
Formation
4-1-4-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Stéphanie Frappart

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
15.2° (feels 14.5°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
64%

Where to watch · 156

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Brest

WLLLD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 10 · xG 5.47–8.64 · xPts 4.96

  • D A Nantes 1–1 xG 0.32–0.95 FRA L1
  • L H Rennes 3–4 xG 1.18–3.21 FRA L1
  • L A Auxerre 0–3 xG 0.94–1.52 FRA L1
  • L A Monaco 0–2 xG 1.41–1.75 FRA L1
  • W H Le Havre 2–0 xG 1.61–1.22 FRA L1

Lens

WLWLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 12 GA 8 · xG 11.51–7.25 · xPts 9.03

  • W H Toulouse 3–2 xG 3.34–0.27 FRA L1
  • L A LOSC Lille 0–3 xG 0.61–2.61 FRA L1
  • W H Angers SCO 5–1 xG 3.02–1.9 FRA L1
  • L A Lorient 1–2 xG 1.64–2.04 FRA L1
  • W H Metz 3–0 xG 2.9–0.43 FRA L1

All meetings · 14 matches since 2010

Brest 44 draws6 Lens

Goals 23–23 · 3.29 per match · BTTS 71% · over 2.5 57%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Brest 32 draws5 Lens

Goals 16–18 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Brest 01 draws4 Lens

Goals 5–12 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Brest 3–3 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lens 3–1 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Brest 1–3 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lens 2–0 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lens 1–0 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Brest 3–2 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Brest 1–1 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lens 3–2 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lens 0–1 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Brest 4–0 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricBrest all · 34Brest at home · 17Lens all · 34Lens away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.151.532.061.65
W / D / L10 / 9 / 157 / 5 / 522 / 4 / 88 / 4 / 5
Goals for / match1.261.651.941.82
Goals against / match1.621.351.031.29
Clean sheets26%41%35%24%
Failed to score32%24%18%24%
Both teams scored47%47%50%59%
Over 2.550%47%65%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.291.681.981.74
xG against / match1.541.421.291.50
xG difference-0.250.250.690.23
Finishing vs xG-0.03-0.03-0.040.09
xPts / match1.281.611.731.46
Points vs xPts-0.13-0.080.320.18
Game state
Scored first47%59%59%53%
PPG when scoring first1.942.302.752.78
PPG when conceding first0.380.201.080.29
Came back from behind21%17%43%29%
Leads held56%70%92%89%
Minutes leading24%33%35%29%
Minutes level44%43%43%45%
Minutes trailing32%24%21%26%
First goal (min)35264042
First goal conceded (min)33273741
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%50%61%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half51%39%43%46%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.240.440.47
Late goals against0.320.180.150.24
Style
Possession43%44%51%50%
Shots11.213.916.414.6
On target3.54.55.64.7
Shot conversion11%12%12%12%
Shots inside box63%63%70%71%
Big chances created2.23.03.73.3
Corners3.94.66.25.6
xG from set plays36%33%23%22%
Goals from headers21%25%17%10%
Pressure index8.110.216.714.6
Dominant minutes36.740.754.648.6
Pass accuracy78%78%84%84%
Fouls12.712.612.712.7
Cards1.851.762.182.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Brest

0–15'98
16–30'612
31–45'77
46–60'86
61–75'511
76–90'811

Lens

0–15'67
16–30'77
31–45'136
46–60'163
61–75'97
76–90'155

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Brest · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: when level +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.184
Early press (0-15, level)+0.434
Late push (76+, level)+1.122
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.012

Game state

When ahead-0.192
When level+0.654
When behind-0.073
10 min after conceding-0.204
10 min after scoring+0.453

Situations

At home+0.142
Away+0.212
4+ days rest+0.184

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.212
Evenly matched+0.313

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.124
Conceded when ahead+0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.204

Ahead vs level -0.84 · Behind vs level -0.72

Lens · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: when ahead -0.48

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.015
Early press (0-15, level)-0.195
Late push (76+, level)+0.023
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.043

Game state

When ahead-0.483
When level+0.055
When behind+0.274
10 min after conceding-0.155
10 min after scoring-0.234

Situations

Against ten men+0.012
At home-0.112
Away+0.083
4+ days rest-0.044

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.073
v bottom-tier opponents-0.102
As favourite-0.054

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.115
Conceded when ahead+0.513
Conceded late (76+)-0.365

Congested vs rested +0.22 · Ahead vs level -0.54 · Behind vs level +0.22

Brest

Current: winless 1 · conceding 13

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 71%1.421.381.421.351.38
4-3-35 15%0.21.02.21.512.04
4-1-4-12 6%0.51.53.50.512.69
4-2-2-21 3%0.00.02.00.90.43
4-4-21 3%3.02.00.01.791.34

Lens

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-134 100%2.061.941.031.981.29

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.5h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.75Home 20% P 16%4.0Draw 24% P 22%1.7Away 56% P 62%

Double Chance

2.37Brest or Draw 20%1.22Brest or Lens 39%1.14Draw or Lens 41%

Draw No Bet

4.331 22%1.22 78%

Both Teams To Score

1.7Yes 55%2.05No 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 59% P 55%2.3Under 41% P 45%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 15–17.5% · away 60–62.5% · 275 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home16%16%15%-1.7
Draw22%23%20%-3.0
Away62%61%66%+4.7

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 61%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.555%56%56%-0.2

Stéphanie Frappart

Career
125 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
4.19 (3.99 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
24.5 · 5.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 76 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.214.06+0.2468
Fouls / match24.724.3+0.29
Fouls per card6.06.0+0.00 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.250.36-1.0812
Time added6.76.7+0.0840
First card
28' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 27% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.1

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-10 30 200 45'7
2026-03-20 · Lens 12 8
2026-02-28 40 220 24'6
2026-02-15 15 7
2026-02-01 · Brest 80 361 13'10
2026-01-18 50 320 33'13
2025-12-12 30 301 24'8
2025-12-06 60 340 28'5
2025-11-09 60 311 21'8
2025-10-25 · Lens 60 211 22'8