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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 31
Olympique MarseilleOM
1–1
FT
NiceNice

Momentum

– OMNice –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
31

Venue

Stadium
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille
Capacity
67,395
Surface
grass
Attendance
60,021

Teams

Coaches
Habib Beye · Claude Puel
Position
6 · 15
Formation
3-5-1-1 · 5-4-1

Referee

Willy Delajod

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
16.9° (feels 16.8°)
Wind
3.2
Humidity
84%

Where to watch · 156

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Olympique Marseille

WLLWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 8.33–4.13 · xPts 9.57

  • L A Lorient 0–2 xG 2.04–1.24 FRA L1
  • W H Metz 3–1 xG 2.39–0.33 FRA L1
  • L A Monaco 1–2 xG 1.92–0.93 FRA L1
  • L H LOSC Lille 1–2 xG 0.84–1.24 FRA L1
  • W H Auxerre 1–0 xG 1.14–0.39 FRA L1

Nice

WLLDD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 8 · xG 4.76–9.56 · xPts 4.26

  • D A LOSC Lille 0–0 xG 0.18–0.7 FRA L1
  • D H Le Havre 1–1 xG 2.28–2.11 FRA L1
  • L A Strasbourg 1–3 xG 0.56–3.08 FRA L1
  • L H Paris Saint Germain 0–4 xG 0.46–2.69 FRA L1
  • W A Angers SCO 2–0 xG 1.28–0.98 FRA L1

All meetings · 41 matches since 2005

Olympique Marseille 236 draws12 Nice

Goals 69–44 · 2.76 per match · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 51%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Olympique Marseille 43 draws3 Nice

Goals 17–12 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Olympique Marseille 22 draws1 Nice

Goals 10–6 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Olympique Marseille 1–1 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nice 1–5 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nice 2–0 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Olympique Marseille 2–0 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Marseille 2–2 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nice 1–0 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Marseille 1–3 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nice 0–3 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Olympique Marseille 2–1 Nice neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nice 1–1 Olympique Marseille neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricOlympique Marseille all · 34Olympique Marseille at home · 17Nice all · 34Nice away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.742.180.940.71
W / D / L18 / 5 / 1111 / 4 / 27 / 11 / 163 / 3 / 11
Goals for / match1.852.411.091.06
Goals against / match1.321.181.761.94
Clean sheets26%29%18%12%
Failed to score24%6%32%29%
Both teams scored50%65%59%65%
Over 2.562%71%50%59%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.701.781.241.11
xG against / match1.201.051.711.78
xG difference0.490.74-0.47-0.67
Finishing vs xG0.160.63-0.15-0.05
xPts / match1.691.831.120.99
Points vs xPts0.040.34-0.18-0.28
Game state
Scored first59%71%38%41%
PPG when scoring first2.402.421.851.43
PPG when conceding first0.791.600.280.11
Came back from behind31%67%24%8%
Leads held72%69%54%43%
Minutes leading38%47%20%15%
Minutes level41%40%48%47%
Minutes trailing21%14%32%38%
First goal (min)36364242
First goal conceded (min)46463838
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%61%49%39%
Goals conceded in 2nd half69%70%52%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.710.210.24
Late goals against0.440.590.350.29
Style
Possession57%58%46%47%
Shots15.115.811.29.5
On target5.76.33.93.5
Shot conversion12%15%10%11%
Shots inside box64%64%65%66%
Big chances created3.03.42.72.1
Corners5.25.65.14.6
xG from set plays26%26%27%28%
Goals from headers10%12%11%6%
Pressure index17.619.49.08.4
Dominant minutes58.361.040.939.2
Pass accuracy87%87%82%82%
Fouls12.712.912.412.5
Cards2.532.412.122.24

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Olympique Marseille

0–15'95
16–30'106
31–45'73
46–60'1010
61–75'106
76–90'1715

Nice

0–15'59
16–30'67
31–45'813
46–60'79
61–75'410
76–90'712

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Olympique Marseille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.56

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.105
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.064

Game state

When level+0.245
When behind-0.024
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.563

Situations

At home+0.282
Away-0.033
4+ days rest+0.105

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.173
As favourite+0.282
As underdog-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.065
Conceded late (76+)-0.325

Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level -0.27

Nice · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: when behind +0.40

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.254
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)-0.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.092

Game state

When level+0.174
When behind+0.403
10 min after conceding+0.023

Situations

At home+0.252
Away+0.242
4+ days rest+0.254

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.432
v bottom-tier opponents+0.082
Evenly matched+0.272

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.204
Conceded late (76+)-0.084

Behind vs level +0.23

Olympique Marseille

Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%2.172.441.171.91.23
3-4-2-19 26%1.441.671.441.521.09
3-4-1-22 6%1.51.01.01.310.95
3-5-1-11 3%1.01.01.01.811.38
4-1-4-11 3%0.00.02.01.670.83

Nice

Current: winless 12 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 21%0.861.291.861.331.64
3-4-2-16 18%1.171.01.51.611.26
5-4-15 15%0.60.61.00.891.23
3-4-1-24 12%1.751.51.00.951.66
3-4-33 9%1.332.03.01.23.1

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.7Home 55% P 56%3.8Draw 25% P 24%4.75Away 20% P 20%

Double Chance

1.14Marseille or Draw 41%1.22Marseille or Nice 39%2.37Draw or Nice 20%

Draw No Bet

1.221 77%4.02 23%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58%2.2No 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.57Over 60% P 58%2.37Under 40% P 42%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 21%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.9Over 49%1.8Under 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 20–22.5% · 298 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home56%56%60%+4.1
Draw24%23%21%-1.7
Away20%21%18%-2.4

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 59%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.558%59%60%+0.8

Willy Delajod

Career
170 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
4.05 (3.76 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
25.5 · 6.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.43
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 92 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.984.06-0.2336
Fouls / match24.824.3+0.33
Fouls per card6.36.0+0.38 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.36+0.4868
Time added6.96.7+0.2352
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.14

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-11 40 350 4'9
2026-03-21 · Nice 21 171 16'5
2026-03-07 20 330 47'7
2026-02-21 40 250 74'5
2026-02-08 · Olympique Marseille 40 290 9'6
2026-01-29 20 160 52'6
2026-01-25 40 240 36'6
2026-01-16 10 250 70'6
2025-12-14 · Nice 20 300 10'5
2025-12-11 11 180 14'4