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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 31
LorientLorient
2–3
FT
StrasbourgStrasbourg

Momentum

– LorientStrasbourg –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
31

Venue

Stadium
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir, Lorient
Capacity
18,110
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
15,674

Teams

Coaches
Olivier Pantaloni · Gary O'Neil
Position
9 · 8
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-4-1-1

Referee

Benoît Millot

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
20.4° (feels 20.2°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
62%

Where to watch · 156

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Lorient

WLDLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5 · xG 6.45–7.12 · xPts 6.37

  • W H Olympique Marseille 2–0 xG 1.24–2.04 FRA L1
  • L A Olympique Lyonnais 0–2 xG 1.3–1.11 FRA L1
  • D H Paris 1–1 xG 1.15–1.28 FRA L1
  • L A Toulouse 0–1 xG 0.72–1.05 FRA L1
  • W H Lens 2–1 xG 2.04–1.64 FRA L1

Strasbourg

WWLWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 10 GA 8 · xG 9.95–7.19 · xPts 8.56

  • L H Rennes 0–3 xG 0.75–3.35 FRA L1
  • W H FSV Mainz 05 4–0 xG 2.93–0.34 UEFA ECL
  • L A FSV Mainz 05 0–2 xG 1.08–1.55 UEFA ECL
  • W H Nice 3–1 xG 3.08–0.56 FRA L1
  • W A Nantes 3–2 xG 2.11–1.39 FRA L1

All meetings · 12 matches since 2007

Lorient 45 draws3 Strasbourg

Goals 14–14 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Lorient 34 draws3 Strasbourg

Goals 13–14 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Lorient 21 draws2 Strasbourg

Goals 8–7 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Lorient 2–3 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Strasbourg 0–0 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Strasbourg 1–3 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lorient 1–2 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lorient 2–1 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Strasbourg 1–1 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Lorient 0–0 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Strasbourg 4–0 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Strasbourg 1–1 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lorient 3–1 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricLorient all · 34Lorient at home · 17Strasbourg all · 34Strasbourg away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.321.761.561.35
W / D / L11 / 12 / 118 / 6 / 315 / 8 / 116 / 5 / 6
Goals for / match1.411.821.711.65
Goals against / match1.501.471.381.65
Clean sheets21%24%26%12%
Failed to score29%6%18%18%
Both teams scored53%71%65%76%
Over 2.544%53%65%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.621.461.42
xG against / match1.381.181.331.61
xG difference-0.030.430.13-0.19
Finishing vs xG0.070.210.240.23
xPts / match1.341.611.441.25
Points vs xPts-0.010.160.120.10
Game state
Scored first47%65%56%41%
PPG when scoring first2.192.182.052.00
PPG when conceding first0.531.000.920.89
Came back from behind42%62%31%40%
Leads held65%67%65%60%
Minutes leading26%37%26%21%
Minutes level49%50%52%46%
Minutes trailing25%13%22%34%
First goal (min)37364144
First goal conceded (min)45483935
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half58%55%57%57%
Goals conceded in 2nd half67%72%62%61%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.240.410.59
Late goals against0.470.530.350.35
Style
Possession45%46%54%56%
Shots11.311.911.510.9
On target3.94.44.64.2
Shot conversion12%15%15%15%
Shots inside box63%64%69%69%
Big chances created2.02.53.02.8
Corners3.53.24.23.5
xG from set plays33%34%23%26%
Goals from headers6%10%16%21%
Pressure index10.110.614.212.2
Dominant minutes42.843.654.752.8
Pass accuracy84%84%88%88%
Fouls9.59.511.112.6
Cards1.681.711.942.41

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Lorient

0–15'46
16–30'76
31–45'95
46–60'811
61–75'77
76–90'1316

Strasbourg

0–15'47
16–30'106
31–45'115
46–60'914
61–75'103
76–90'1412

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Lorient · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.96

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.124
Early press (0-15, level)+0.374
Late push (76+, level)-0.152

Game state

When ahead-0.322
When level-0.144
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.963

Situations

At home-0.072
Away-0.182
4+ days rest-0.124

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.022
Evenly matched-0.232

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.214
Conceded when ahead+0.162
Conceded late (76+)-0.064

Ahead vs level -0.18 · Behind vs level +0.28

Strasbourg · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.02

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.044
Early press (0-15, level)+0.114
Late push (76+, level)-0.532

Game state

When ahead+0.393
When level-0.044
When behind-0.063
10 min after conceding-0.144
10 min after scoring+1.023

Situations

At home+0.082
Away+0.002
4+ days rest+0.044

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.053
Evenly matched-0.022
As underdog+0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.214
Conceded when ahead+0.053
Conceded late (76+)+0.044

Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level -0.02

Lorient

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-128 82%1.291.391.681.371.46
3-4-34 12%1.751.750.51.680.99
5-4-12 6%1.01.01.00.410.96

Strasbourg

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 12

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-117 50%1.591.761.471.61.46
3-4-2-110 29%1.11.61.41.551.24
4-4-1-12 6%1.52.02.01.021.73
4-4-21 3%3.03.02.01.961.72
3-1-4-21 3%3.01.00.01.340.72

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.1Home 44% P 45%3.6Draw 26% P 27%3.1Away 30% P 28%

Double Chance

1.28Lorient or Draw 37%1.28Lorient or Strasbourg 37%1.83Draw or Strasbourg 26%

Draw No Bet

1.41 66%2.752 34%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 57%2.1Under 45% P 43%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 48%1.83Under 50% P 52%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home45%44%43%-0.3
Draw27%28%30%+2.4
Away28%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.557%56%56%-0.2

Benoît Millot

Career
284 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.14 (3.93 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
25.5 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.28
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 83 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.994.06-0.2140
Fouls / match25.824.3+0.86
Fouls per card6.56.0+0.71 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.30.36-0.5924
Time added7.06.7+0.3060
First card
35' on average
Card timing
19% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.19

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-05 40 370 17'8
2026-03-15 · Strasbourg 10 280 37'8
2026-02-21 70 200 34'10
2026-02-01 41 220 9'8
2026-01-18 40 300 22'10
2025-12-13 50 380 29'8
2025-11-23 30 212 29'8
2025-10-29 40 230 43'7
2025-10-26 50 300 22'15
2025-10-03 · Lorient 30 290 45'6