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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 31
ParisParis
0–1
FT
LOSC LilleLOSC Lille

Momentum

– ParisLOSC Lille –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
31

Venue

Stadium
Stade Jean Bouin, Paris
Capacity
15,097
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
17,243

Teams

Coaches
Antoine Kombouare · Bruno Génésio
Position
12 · 4
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Mathieu Vernice

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
21.5° (feels 20.4°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
25%

Where to watch · 156

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Paris

DWDWW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 11 GA 5 · xG 7.35–8.03 · xPts 6.46

  • W A Metz 3–1 xG 1.41–0.94 FRA L1
  • W H Monaco 4–1 xG 2.44–2.15 FRA L1
  • D A Lorient 1–1 xG 1.28–1.15 FRA L1
  • W H Le Havre 3–2 xG 1.57–2.43 FRA L1
  • D A Strasbourg 0–0 xG 0.65–1.37 FRA L1

LOSC Lille

LWWWD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 3 · xG 6.98–3.9 · xPts 8.68

  • D H Nice 0–0 xG 0.7–0.18 FRA L1
  • W A Toulouse 4–0 xG 1.98–1.21 FRA L1
  • W H Lens 3–0 xG 2.61–0.61 FRA L1
  • W A Olympique Marseille 2–1 xG 1.24–0.84 FRA L1
  • L A Aston Villa 0–2 xG 0.46–1.06 UEFA EL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Paris 00 draws2 LOSC Lille

Goals 2–5 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Paris 00 draws2 LOSC Lille

Goals 2–5 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Paris 00 draws2 LOSC Lille

Goals 2–5 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • L Paris 0–1 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L LOSC Lille 4–2 Paris FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricParis all · 34Paris at home · 17LOSC Lille all · 34LOSC Lille away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.291.471.791.88
W / D / L11 / 11 / 127 / 4 / 618 / 7 / 910 / 2 / 5
Goals for / match1.381.651.531.65
Goals against / match1.471.591.091.18
Clean sheets24%24%38%41%
Failed to score26%29%29%35%
Both teams scored62%53%38%29%
Over 2.556%65%38%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.321.531.581.46
xG against / match1.621.601.041.20
xG difference-0.30-0.070.540.26
Finishing vs xG0.060.12-0.050.19
xPts / match1.251.391.711.52
Points vs xPts0.040.080.090.36
Game state
Scored first41%35%53%59%
PPG when scoring first2.142.672.672.80
PPG when conceding first0.630.800.790.50
Came back from behind33%40%40%29%
Leads held69%88%86%91%
Minutes leading23%25%26%34%
Minutes level49%40%52%45%
Minutes trailing28%34%22%21%
First goal (min)41414834
First goal conceded (min)40324440
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%54%71%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%52%62%60%
Late goals for (76'+)0.410.590.680.71
Late goals against0.380.350.210.18
Style
Possession50%52%56%55%
Shots11.713.513.612.4
On target4.04.54.64.5
Shot conversion12%12%11%13%
Shots inside box67%69%70%66%
Big chances created2.42.82.82.4
Corners4.45.55.75.1
xG from set plays26%30%30%30%
Goals from headers4%7%10%11%
Pressure index10.512.715.214.5
Dominant minutes46.054.561.459.8
Pass accuracy84%84%85%85%
Fouls10.610.810.710.9
Cards2.352.822.412.76

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Paris

0–15'73
16–30'99
31–45'59
46–60'510
61–75'76
76–90'1413

LOSC Lille

0–15'53
16–30'54
31–45'57
46–60'99
61–75'57
76–90'237

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Paris · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.124
Early press (0-15, level)-0.364
Late push (76+, level)-0.313

Game state

When ahead-0.062
When level-0.154
10 min after scoring-0.242

Situations

At home-0.212
Away-0.042
4+ days rest-0.124

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.082
v bottom-tier opponents-0.162
As favourite-0.162

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded when ahead+0.222
Conceded late (76+)-0.194

Ahead vs level +0.09

LOSC Lille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.05) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.055
Early press (0-15, level)+0.255

Game state

When ahead-0.065
When level+0.025
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.385

Situations

At home+0.023
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.182
As favourite+0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.265
Conceded when ahead+0.155
Conceded late (76+)-0.155

Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.26

Paris

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-310 29%1.51.92.01.421.79
5-4-18 24%1.00.750.881.041.42
4-2-3-17 21%1.431.571.01.341.09
4-1-4-13 9%2.02.671.671.962.36
4-4-22 6%1.51.01.01.430.83

LOSC Lille

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-129 85%1.931.550.91.580.98
4-3-32 6%0.50.52.00.861.28
4-3-1-21 3%1.01.01.00.640.59
5-4-11 3%0.01.04.01.963.0
4-4-21 3%3.04.02.03.730.93

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.75Home 20% P 20%3.9Draw 24% P 25%1.72Away 55% P 55%

Double Chance

2.05Paris FC or Draw 23%1.25Paris FC or Lille 37%1.18Draw or Lille 40%

Draw No Bet

3.51 27%1.282 73%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53%2.0No 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 55%2.1Under 45% P 45%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 20–22.5% · away 55–57.5% · 207 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home20%21%18%-2.6
Draw25%23%25%+2.1
Away55%56%57%+0.4

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 63%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.555%56%56%-0.2

Mathieu Vernice

Career
66 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.64 (4.29 yellow · 0.23 red)
Fouls / match
26.9 · 5.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.39
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 61 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.524.06+0.8788
Fouls / match26.924.3+1.44
Fouls per card6.06.0+0.02 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.460.36+0.9288
Time added7.36.7+0.5280
First card
29' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.33

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-11 20 241 15'6
2026-03-22 60 320 16'5
2026-03-08 30 290 14'8
2026-02-22 · LOSC Lille 40 251 21'6
2026-02-07 71 240 2'11
2026-01-23 10 220 72'4
2026-01-02 51 320 23'10
2025-12-07 61 330 37'7
2025-11-22 30 180 32'5
2025-09-28 · LOSC Lille 80 440 43'14