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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 32
Paris Saint GermainPSG
2–2
FT
LorientLorient

Momentum

– PSGLorient –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
32

Venue

Stadium
Parc des Princes, Paris
Capacity
48,583
Surface
grass
Attendance
47,926

Teams

Coaches
Luis Enrique · Olivier Pantaloni
Position
1 · 9
Formation
4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Bastien Dechepy

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
22.4° (feels 22.0°)
Wind
7.2
Humidity
52%

Where to watch · 156

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Paris Saint Germain

WLWWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 14 GA 6 · xG 11.08–7.75 · xPts 8.82

  • W H FC Bayern München 5–4 xG 2.02–2.41 UEFA CL
  • W A Angers SCO 3–0 xG 2.42–0.74 FRA L1
  • W H Nantes 3–0 xG 2.09–1.2 FRA L1
  • L H Olympique Lyonnais 1–2 xG 3.34–0.85 FRA L1
  • W A Liverpool 2–0 xG 1.21–2.56 UEFA CL

Lorient

LDLWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 6.58–7.06 · xPts 6.48

  • L H Strasbourg 2–3 xG 2.17–1.59 FRA L1
  • W H Olympique Marseille 2–0 xG 1.24–2.04 FRA L1
  • L A Olympique Lyonnais 0–2 xG 1.3–1.11 FRA L1
  • D H Paris 1–1 xG 1.15–1.28 FRA L1
  • L A Toulouse 0–1 xG 0.72–1.05 FRA L1

All meetings · 32 matches since 2006

Paris Saint Germain 178 draws7 Lorient

Goals 59–37 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 66% · over 2.5 62%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Paris Saint Germain 44 draws2 Lorient

Goals 20–13 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Paris Saint Germain 13 draws1 Lorient

Goals 8–7 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Paris Saint Germain 2–2 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Lorient 1–1 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lorient 1–4 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Paris Saint Germain 0–0 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 1–3 Lorient neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lorient 1–2 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Paris Saint Germain 5–1 Lorient neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Lorient 1–1 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lorient 3–2 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Paris Saint Germain 2–0 Lorient neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricParis Saint Germain all · 34Paris Saint Germain at home · 17Lorient all · 34Lorient away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.242.411.320.88
W / D / L24 / 4 / 613 / 2 / 211 / 12 / 113 / 6 / 8
Goals for / match2.182.411.411.00
Goals against / match0.850.711.501.53
Clean sheets53%65%21%18%
Failed to score6%0%29%53%
Both teams scored41%35%53%35%
Over 2.562%71%44%35%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.992.251.351.08
xG against / match0.980.801.381.57
xG difference1.011.45-0.03-0.49
Finishing vs xG0.180.160.07-0.08
xPts / match1.992.241.341.07
Points vs xPts0.250.18-0.01-0.18
Game state
Scored first85%88%47%29%
PPG when scoring first2.622.732.192.20
PPG when conceding first0.000.000.530.27
Came back from behind14%33%42%27%
Leads held83%87%65%60%
Minutes leading44%50%26%16%
Minutes level45%38%49%48%
Minutes trailing11%12%25%36%
First goal (min)38363738
First goal conceded (min)38254542
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%58%58%65%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%42%67%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.530.590.380.53
Late goals against0.240.060.470.41
Style
Possession69%69%45%45%
Shots17.720.211.310.7
On target6.77.03.93.5
Shot conversion12%12%12%9%
Shots inside box63%61%63%61%
Big chances created3.73.52.01.5
Corners6.47.53.53.8
xG from set plays29%31%33%30%
Goals from headers15%12%6%0%
Pressure index27.430.310.19.6
Dominant minutes73.077.242.842.1
Pass accuracy91%91%84%84%
Fouls9.19.59.59.5
Cards1.181.241.681.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Paris Saint Germain

0–15'113
16–30'76
31–45'154
46–60'115
61–75'123
76–90'188

Lorient

0–15'46
16–30'76
31–45'95
46–60'811
61–75'77
76–90'1316

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Paris Saint Germain · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.475
Early press (0-15, level)+0.635
Late push (76+, level)-0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.203

Game state

When ahead+0.283
When level+0.405
When behind+0.673
10 min after conceding+0.143
10 min after scoring+0.675

Situations

At home+0.582
Away+0.433
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.232
v mid-tier opponents+0.472
As favourite+0.475

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.315
Conceded when ahead-0.223
Conceded late (76+)-0.424

Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level +0.26

Lorient · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.96

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.124
Early press (0-15, level)+0.374
Late push (76+, level)-0.152

Game state

When ahead-0.322
When level-0.144
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.963

Situations

At home-0.072
Away-0.182
4+ days rest-0.124

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.022
Evenly matched-0.232

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.214
Conceded when ahead+0.162
Conceded late (76+)-0.064

Ahead vs level -0.18 · Behind vs level +0.28

Paris Saint Germain

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 36 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-333 97%2.32.240.852.030.97
3-5-21 3%0.00.01.00.661.17

Lorient

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-128 82%1.291.391.681.371.46
3-4-34 12%1.751.750.51.680.99
5-4-12 6%1.01.01.00.410.96

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.4h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.36Home 70% P 71%5.75Draw 17% P 17%7.0Away 14% P 12%

Double Chance

1.1PSG or Draw 43%1.14PSG or Lorient 41%3.0Draw or Lorient 16%

Draw No Bet

1.121 84%6.02 16%

Both Teams To Score

1.7Yes 55%2.05No 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.44Over 66% P 68%2.75Under 34% P 32%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

2.51.83Over 50% P 53%1.83Under 50% P 47%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 70–72.5% · away 10–12.5% · 534 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home71%71%75%+4.2
Draw17%18%15%-2.5
Away12%11%9%-1.7

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 62%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.568%69%69%+0.6

Bastien Dechepy

Career
99 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
4.14 (3.87 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
25.1 · 6.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.41
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 82 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.34.06+0.4276
Fouls / match24.624.3+0.23
Fouls per card5.86.0-0.33 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.36+0.5072
Time added6.56.7-0.0636
First card
36' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.21

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-18 40 190 21'8
2026-03-22 40 260 32'7
2026-03-07 50 290 12'7
2026-02-14 30 221 45'8
2026-01-31 · Lorient 90 300 16'7
2026-01-17 70 390 14'5
2025-12-13 40 261 45'7
2025-11-30 30 261 44'8
2025-11-08 31 342 45'10
2025-10-29 60 211 35'8